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Since model bias and associated initialization shock are serious shortcomings that reduce prediction skills in state-of-the-art decadal climate prediction efforts, we pursue a complementary machine-learning-based approach to climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-09 Xihaier Luo , Balasubramanya T. Nadiga , Yihui Ren , Ji Hwan Park , Wei Xu , Shinjae Yoo

The current explosion in machine learning for climate has led to skilled, computationally cheap emulators for the atmosphere. However, the research for ocean emulators remains nascent despite the large potential for accelerating coupled…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-08 Adam Subel , Laure Zanna

We are developing schemes that predict future hurricane numbers by first predicting future sea surface temperatures (SSTs), and then apply the observed statistical relationship between SST and hurricane numbers. As part of this overall…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Thomas Laepple , Stephen Jewson , Jonathan Meagher , Adam O'Shay , Jeremy Penzer

Physics-based numerical models have been the bedrock of atmospheric sciences for decades, offering robust solutions but often at the cost of significant computational resources. Deep learning (DL) models have emerged as powerful tools in…

Accurate and robust weather forecasting remains a fundamental challenge due to the inherent spatio-temporal complexity of atmospheric systems. In this paper, we propose a novel self-supervised learning framework that leverages…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Yao Liu

Forecasting future weather and climate is inherently difficult. Machine learning offers new approaches to increase the accuracy and computational efficiency of forecasts, but current methods are unable to accurately model uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-02 Yusuke Hatanaka , Yannik Glaser , Geoff Galgon , Giuseppe Torri , Peter Sadowski

Subseasonal forecasting, which is pivotal for agriculture, water resource management, and early warning of disasters, faces challenges due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere. Recent advances in machine learning (ML) have revolutionized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Shan Zhao , Zhitong Xiong , Xiao Xiang Zhu

Accurate modeling of physical systems governed by partial differential equations is a central challenge in scientific computing. In oceanography, high-resolution current data are critical for coastal management, environmental monitoring,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Abdessamad El-Kabid , Loubna Benabbou , Redouane Lguensat , Alex Hernández-García

The modeling and forecasting of sea ice conditions in the Arctic region are important tasks for ship routing, offshore oil production, and environmental monitoring. We propose the adaptive surrogate modeling approach named LANE-SI…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Julia Borisova , Nikolay O. Nikitin

Stochastic reduced models are an important tool in climate systems whose many spatial and temporal scales cannot be fully discretized or underlying physics may not be fully accounted for. One form of reduced model, the linear inverse model…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-29 Dallas Foster , Darin Comeau , Nathan M. Urban

Today's ocean numerical prediction skills depend on the availability of in-situ and remote ocean observations at the time of the predictions only. Because observations are scarce and discontinuous in time and space, numerical models are…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-06 Ali Muhamed Ali , Hanqi Zhuang , Yu Huang , Ali K. Ibrahim , Ali Salem Altaher , Laurent Chérubin

We present a framework for forecasting significant wave height on the Southwestern Atlantic Ocean using the long short-term memory algorithm (LSTM), trained with the ERA5 database available through Copernicus Climate Data Store (CDS)…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-28 Felipe C. Minuzzi , Leandro Farina

Machine learning is a promising technique for angle-of-arrival (AOA) estimation of waves impinging a sensor array. However, the majority of the methods proposed so far only consider a known, fixed number of impinging waves, i.e., a fixed…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-19 Noud Kanters , Andrés Alayón Glazunov

This paper presents a novel spatio-temporal LSTM (SPATIAL) architecture for time series forecasting applied to environmental datasets. The framework was evaluated across multiple sensors and for three different oceanic variables: current…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-27 Yihao Hu , Fearghal O'Donncha , Paulito Palmes , Meredith Burke , Ramon Filgueira , Jon Grant

Near-surface air temperature is a key physical property of the Earth's surface. Although weather stations offer continuous monitoring and satellites provide broad spatial coverage, no single data source offers seamless data in a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Shengjie Kris Liu , Siqin Wang , Lu Zhang

Land surface temperature (LST) retrieval from remote sensing data is pivotal for analyzing climate processes and surface energy budgets. However, LST retrieval is an ill-posed inverse problem, which becomes particularly severe when only a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-18 Tian Xie , Menghui Jiang , Huanfeng Shen , Huifang Li , Chao Zeng , Jun Ma , Guanhao Zhang , Liangpei Zhang

In light of growing threats posed by climate change in general and sea level rise (SLR) in particular, the necessity for computationally efficient means to estimate and analyze potential coastal flood hazards has become increasingly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-08 Areg Karapetyan , Aaron Chung Hin Chow , Samer Madanat

Satellite altimeter observations retrieved since 1993 show that the global mean sea level is rising at an unprecedented rate (3.4mm/year). With almost three decades of observations, we can now investigate the contributions of anthropogenic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-07 Saumya Sinha , John Fasullo , R. Steven Nerem , Claire Monteleoni

This study aims to improve the spatial representation of uncertainties when regressing surface wind speeds from large-scale atmospheric predictors for sub-seasonal forecasting. Sub-seasonal forecasting often relies on large-scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Ganglin Tian , Anastase Alexandre Charantonis , Camille Le Coz , Alexis Tantet , Riwal Plougonven

The proliferation of data-driven models in weather and climate sciences has marked a significant paradigm shift, with advanced models demonstrating exceptional skill in medium-range forecasting. However, these models are often limited by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Haiwen Guan , Moein Darman , Dibyajyoti Chakraborty , Troy Arcomano , Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Romit Maulik
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