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Related papers: Data-driven Exploration of Tropical Cyclone's Cont…

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Accurate forecasting of Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity is crucial for formulating disaster risk reduction strategies. Current methods predominantly rely on limited spatiotemporal information from ERA5 data and neglect the causal…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-22 Xinyu Wang , Kang Chen , Lei Liu , Tao Han , Bin Li , Lei Bai

We demonstrate that chaos can be controlled using a multiplicative exponential feedback control. All three types of unstable orbits - unstable fixed points, limit cycles and chaotic trajectories can be stabilized using this control. The…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Sangeeta D. Gadre , V. S. Varma

In this paper, the ensemble consider Kalman filter is proposed to mitigate the negative effects of uncertain parameters in nonlinear dynamic and measurement models. The ensemble Kalman filter can avoid using the Jacobian matrices and reduce…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-18 Tai-shan Lou , Nan-hua Chen , Hua Xiong , Ya-xi Li , Lei Wang

It is shown that a relevant control of Hamiltonian chaos is possible through suitable small perturbations whose form can be explicitly computed. In particular, it is possible to control (reduce) the chaotic diffusion in the phase space of a…

Event-triggered Control (ETC) presents a promising paradigm for efficient resource usage in networked and embedded control systems by reducing communication instances compared to traditional time-triggered strategies. This paper introduces…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-22 Zeyad M. Manaa , Ayman M. Abdallah , Mohamed Ismail , Samil El Ferik

Tropical cyclones (TC) are among the most destructive natural disasters, causing catastrophic damage to coastal regions through extreme winds, heavy rainfall, and storm surges. Timely monitoring of tropical cyclones is crucial for reducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Jiakang Shen , Qinghui Chen , Runtong Wang , Chenrui Xu , Jinglin Zhang , Cong Bai , Feng Zhang

Tropical cyclone (TC) trajectories are governed by large-scale steering flows with sensitive dependence on initial conditions, raising the question of whether targeted perturbations can induce track deviations. We present a case study…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-29 Qin Huang , Moyan Liu , Yeongbin Kwon , Upmanu Lall

It is shown that a relevant control of Hamiltonian chaos is possible through suitable small perturbations whose form can be explicitly computed. In particular, it is possible to control (reduce) the chaotic diffusion in the phase space of a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 G. Ciraolo , F. Briolle , C. Chandre , E. Floriani , R. Lima , M. Vittot , M. Pettini , C. Figarella , P. Ghendrih

Model Predictive Control (MPC) represents nowadays one of the main methods employed for process control in industry. Its strong suits comprise a simple algorithm based on a straightforward formulation and the flexibility to deal with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-23 Alberto Zenere , Mattia Zorzi

A thermal convection loop is a annular chamber filled with water, heated on the bottom half and cooled on the top half. With sufficiently large forcing of heat, the direction of fluid flow in the loop oscillates chaotically, dynamics…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Andrew J. Reagan , Yves Dubief , Peter Sheridan Dodds , Christopher M. Danforth

When the complete understanding of a complex system is not available, as, e.g., for systems considered in the real-world, we need a top-down approach to complexity. In this approach one may start with the desire to understand general…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-22 Joachim Peinke , Mohammad Reza Rahimi Tabar , Matthias Wächter

Control of non-condensing non-ideal-gas power cycles is challenging because their output power dynamics depend on complex system interactions, non-ideal-gas effects complicate turbomachinery behavior, and state constraints must be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-30 Viv Bone , Michael Kearney , Ingo Jahn

We propose a novel framework for designing a resilient Model Predictive Control (MPC) targeting uncertain linear systems under cyber attack. Assuming a periodic attack scenario, we model the system under Denial of Service (DoS) attack, also…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-16 Milad Farsi , Shuhao Bian , Nasser L. Azad , Xiaobing Shi , Andrew Walenstein

We introduce a novel data-driven method to mitigate the risk of cascading failures in delayed discrete-time Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) systems. Our approach involves formulating a distributionally robust finite-horizon optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-19 Guangyi Liu , Arash Amini , Vivek Pandey , Nader Motee

The diurnal cycle of tropical cyclones (TCs) is a daily cycle in clouds that appears in satellite images and may have implications for TC structure and intensity. The diurnal pattern can be seen in infrared (IR) satellite imagery as…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-01-14 Sarah Tymochko , Elizabeth Munch , Jason Dunion , Kristen Corbosiero , Ryan Torn

We consider the optimal control problem of steering an agent population to a desired distribution over an infinite horizon. This is an optimal transport problem over dynamical systems, which is challenging due to its high computational…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Kaito Ito , Kenji Kashima

This study proposes introducing convex optimization to find initial perturbations of atmospheric states to realize specified changes in subsequent weather. In the proposed method, we formulate and solve an inverse problem to find effective…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-13 Toshiyuki Ohtsuka , Atsushi Okazaki , Masaki Ogura , Shunji Kotsuki

The advents of Artificial Intelligence (AI)-driven models marks a paradigm shift in risk management strategies for meteorological hazards. This study specifically employs tropical cyclones (TCs) as a focal example. We engineer a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-30 Kairui Feng , Dazhi Xi , Wei Ma , Cao Wang , Yuanlong Li , Xuanhong Chen

Tropical cyclones (TCs), driven by heat exchange between the air and sea, pose a substantial risk to many communities around the world. Accurate characterization of the subsurface ocean thermal response to TC passage is crucial for accurate…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-18 Addison J. Hu , Mikael Kuusela , Ann B. Lee , Donata Giglio , Kimberly M. Wood

Intensification of tropical storms measured as the central pressure tendency represents a subtle imbalance, of the order of $10^{-3}$, between the inflow and outflow of air in the storm core. Factors driving this imbalance, especially in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-30 Anastassia M. Makarieva , Andrei V. Nefiodov