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Providing forecasts for ultra-long time series plays a vital role in various activities, such as investment decisions, industrial production arrangements, and farm management. This paper develops a novel distributed forecasting framework to…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-23 Xiaoqian Wang , Yanfei Kang , Rob J Hyndman , Feng Li

Time series anomaly detection is critical in many real-world applications, where effective solutions must localize anomalous regions and support reliable decision-making under complex settings. However, most existing methods frame anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Xiaoyu Tao , Yuchong Wu , Mingyue Cheng , Ze Guo , Tian Gao

Time series analysis plays a critical role in numerous applications, supporting tasks such as forecasting, classification, anomaly detection, and imputation. In this work, we present the time series pattern machine (TSPM), a model designed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Shiyu Wang , Jiawei Li , Xiaoming Shi , Zhou Ye , Baichuan Mo , Wenze Lin , Shengtong Ju , Zhixuan Chu , Ming Jin

Time series anomaly detection is critical for supply chain management to take proactive operations, but faces challenges: classical unsupervised anomaly detection based on exploiting data patterns often yields results misaligned with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Haoting Zhang , Shekhar Jain

Data augmentation in time series forecasting plays a crucial role in enhancing model performance by introducing variability while maintaining the underlying temporal patterns. However, time series data offers fewer augmentation strategies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Dang Nha Nguyen , Hai Dang Nguyen , Khoa Tho Anh Nguyen

Anomaly detection in time series data is a critical challenge across various domains. Traditional methods typically focus on identifying anomalies in immediate subsequent steps, often underestimating the significance of temporal dynamics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Jiang You , Arben Cela , René Natowicz , Jacob Ouanounou , Patrick Siarry

Since with massive data growth, the need for autonomous and generic anomaly detection system is increased. However, developing one stand-alone generic anomaly detection system that is accurate and fast is still a challenge. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-03 Sooyeon Lee , Huy Kang Kim

Time series data are integral to critical applications across domains such as finance, healthcare, transportation, and environmental science. While recent work has begun to explore multi-task time series question answering (QA), current…

Detecting anomalies in time series data is a critical task across many domains. The challenge intensifies when anomalies are sparse and the data are multivariate with relational dependencies across sensors or nodes. Traditional univariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Sneh Pillai

Large companies need to monitor various metrics (for example, Page Views and Revenue) of their applications and services in real time. At Microsoft, we develop a time-series anomaly detection service which helps customers to monitor the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Hansheng Ren , Bixiong Xu , Yujing Wang , Chao Yi , Congrui Huang , Xiaoyu Kou , Tony Xing , Mao Yang , Jie Tong , Qi Zhang

Time series data is used in a wide range of real world applications. In a variety of domains , detailed analysis of time series data (via Forecasting and Anomaly Detection) leads to a better understanding of how events associated with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-11 Yunus Parvej Faniband , Iskandar Ishak , Sadiq M. Sait

Time series anomaly detection (TSAD) is becoming increasingly vital due to the rapid growth of time series data across various sectors. Anomalies in web service data, for example, can signal critical incidents such as system failures or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Jiaxin Zhuang , Leon Yan , Zhenwei Zhang , Ruiqi Wang , Jiawei Zhang , Yuantao Gu

Modern time series forecasting increasingly relies on complex ensemble models generated by AutoML systems like AutoGluon, delivering superior accuracy but with significant costs to transparency and interpretability. This paper introduces a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Yikai Zhao , Jiekai Ma

A time series represents a set of observations collected over time. Typically, these observations are captured with a uniform sampling frequency (e.g. daily). When data points are observed in uneven time intervals the time series is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Pedro Costa , Vitor Cerqueira , João Vinagre

Time series analysis remains a major challenge due to its sparse characteristics, high dimensionality, and inconsistent data quality. Recent advancements in transformer-based techniques have enhanced capabilities in forecasting and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Robert Leppich , Vanessa Borst , Veronika Lesch , Samuel Kounev

For modern industrial applications, accurately detecting and diagnosing anomalies in multivariate time series data is essential. Despite such need, most state-of-the-art methods often prioritize detection performance over model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Minha Kim , Kishor Kumar Bhaumik , Amin Ahsan Ali , Simon S. Woo

Many businesses and industries require accurate forecasts for weekly time series nowadays. However, the forecasting literature does not currently provide easy-to-use, automatic, reproducible and accurate approaches dedicated to this task.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Rakshitha Godahewa , Christoph Bergmeir , Geoffrey I. Webb , Pablo Montero-Manso

Forecasting models that are trained across sets of many time series, known as Global Forecasting Models (GFM), have shown recently promising results in forecasting competitions and real-world applications, outperforming many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-07 Kasun Bandara , Hansika Hewamalage , Yuan-Hao Liu , Yanfei Kang , Christoph Bergmeir

Despite the high performance of neural network-based time series forecasting methods, the inherent challenge in explaining their predictions has limited their applicability in certain application areas. Due to the difficulty in identifying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-09 Ozan Ozyegen , Juyoung Wang , Mucahit Cevik

This paper proposes a framework for time series generation built to investigate anomaly detection in cloud microservices. In the field of cloud computing, ensuring the reliability of microservices is of paramount concern and yet a…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-08-02 Mohamed Allam , Noureddine Boujnah , Noel E. O'Connor , Mingming Liu