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We characterise the learning of a mixture of two clouds of data points with generic centroids via empirical risk minimisation in the high dimensional regime, under the assumptions of generic convex loss and convex regularisation. Each cloud…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-19 Urte Adomaityte , Gabriele Sicuro , Pierpaolo Vivo

The synthetic control method has become a widely popular tool to estimate causal effects with observational data. Despite this, inference for synthetic control methods remains challenging. Often, inferential results rely on linear factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-09 Ignacio Martinez , Jaume Vives-i-Bastida

In this paper, we propose a uniformly dithered 1-bit quantization scheme for high-dimensional statistical estimation. The scheme contains truncation, dithering, and quantization as typical steps. As canonical examples, the quantization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-23 Junren Chen , Cheng-Long Wang , Michael K. Ng , Di Wang

This paper proposes a~simple, yet powerful, method for balancing distributions of covariates for causal inference based on observational studies. The method makes it possible to balance an arbitrary number of quantiles (e.g., medians,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-14 Maciej Beręsewicz

This paper introduces the Trimmed Functional Empirical Process (TFEP) as a robust framework for statistical inference when dealing with heavy-tailed or skewed distributions, where classical moments such as the mean or variance may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-09 Abdoulaye Camara , Saliou Diouf , Moumouni Diallo , Gane Samb Lo

In Bayesian inverse problems, one aims at characterizing the posterior distribution of a set of unknowns, given indirect measurements. For non-linear/non-Gaussian problems, analytic solutions are seldom available: Sequential Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-26 Alessandro Viani , Adam M Johansen , Alberto Sorrentino

We propose and demonstrate a novel, effective approach to slice sampling. Using the probability integral transform, we first generalize Neal's shrinkage algorithm, standardizing the procedure to an automatic and universal starting point:…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-16 Matthew J. Heiner , Samuel B. Johnson , Joshua R. Christensen , David B. Dahl

This paper develops conformal inference methods to construct a confidence interval for the frequency of a queried object in a very large discrete data set, based on a sketch with a lower memory footprint. This approach requires no knowledge…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-17 Matteo Sesia , Stefano Favaro , Edgar Dobriban

Significant progress has been made in learning image classification neural networks under long-tail data distribution using robust training algorithms such as data re-sampling, re-weighting, and margin adjustment. Those methods, however,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Lechao Cheng , Chaowei Fang , Dingwen Zhang , Guanbin Li , Gang Huang

We study high-probability convergence in online learning, in the presence of heavy-tailed noise. To combat the heavy tails, a general framework of nonlinear SGD methods is considered, subsuming several popular nonlinearities like sign,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-24 Aleksandar Armacki , Shuhua Yu , Pranay Sharma , Gauri Joshi , Dragana Bajovic , Dusan Jakovetic , Soummya Kar

Bayesian density deconvolution using nonparametric prior distributions is a useful alternative to the frequentist kernel based deconvolution estimators due to its potentially wide range of applicability, straightforward uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-10 Abhra Sarkar , Debdeep Pati , Bani K. Mallick , Raymond J. Carroll

We develop a new extreme value theory for repeated cross-sectional and panel data to construct asymptotically valid confidence intervals (CIs) for conditional extremal quantiles from a fixed number $k$ of nearest-neighbor tail observations.…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-07-21 Yuya Sasaki , Yulong Wang

Inference in semi-supervised (SS) settings has gained substantial attention in recent years due to increased relevance in modern big-data problems. In a typical SS setting, there is a much larger-sized unlabeled data, containing only…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Gözde Sert , Abhishek Chakrabortty , Anirban Bhattacharya

We introduce a Bayesian approach to predictive density calibration and combination that accounts for parameter uncertainty and model set incompleteness through the use of random calibration functionals and random combination weights.…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-26 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Francesco Ravazzolo

Distribution estimation for noisy data via density deconvolution is a notoriously difficult problem for typical noise distributions like Gaussian. We develop a density deconvolution estimator based on quadratic programming (QP) that can…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-06 Ran Yang , Daniel Apley , Jeremy Staum , David Ruppert

Variational inference is an approximation framework for Bayesian inference that seeks to improve quantified uncertainty in predictions by optimizing a simplified distribution over parameters to stand in for the full posterior. Capturing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Jed A. Duersch

A new statistical estimation method, Independent Approximates (IAs), is defined and proven to enable closed-form estimation of the parameters of heavy-tailed distributions. Given independent, identically distributed samples from a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-25 Kenric P. Nelson

Compressing large-scale neural networks is essential for deploying models on resource-constrained devices. Most existing methods adopt weight pruning or low-bit quantization individually, often resulting in suboptimal compression rates to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Ziyi Wang , Nan Jiang , Guang Lin , Qifan Song

The sampling of probability distributions specified up to a normalization constant is an important problem in both machine learning and statistical mechanics. While classical stochastic sampling methods such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-27 Hao Wu , Jonas Köhler , Frank Noé

The Gaussian kernel and its traditional normalizations (e.g., row-stochastic) are popular approaches for assessing similarities between data points. Yet, they can be inaccurate under high-dimensional noise, especially if the noise magnitude…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-12 Boris Landa , Xiuyuan Cheng