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In the common time series model $X_{i,n} = \mu (i/n) + \varepsilon_{i,n}$ with non-stationary errors we consider the problem of detecting a significant deviation of the mean function $\mu$ from a benchmark $g (\mu )$ (such as the initial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Holger Dette , Florian Heinrichs

Hypothesis testing based on surrogate data has emerged as a popular way to test the null hypothesis that a signal is a realization of a linear stochastic process. Typically, this is done by generating surrogates which are made to conform to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-08-12 Diego Guarin , Alvaro Orozco , Edilson Delgado

Reliable inference for spatial regression remains challenging because it requires the correct specification of the spatial dependence structure, the mean trend, and the error distribution. Existing parametric testing methods rely on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Kanghyun Wi , Hyoeun Kim , Tomáš Mrkvička , Jorge Mateu , Jaewoo Park

We give the asymptotic behavior of the Mann-Whitney U-statistic for two independent stationary sequences. The result applies to a large class of short-range dependent sequences, including many non-mixing processes in the sense of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-22 Jérôme Dedecker , Guillaume Saulière

The analysis of nonstationary time series is of great importance in many scientific fields such as physics and neuroscience. In recent years, Gaussian process regression has attracted substantial attention as a robust and powerful method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-01 Luca Ambrogioni , Eric Maris

Moving from univariate to bivariate jointly dependent long-memory time series introduces a phase parameter $(\gamma)$, at the frequency of principal interest, zero; for short-memory series $\gamma=0$ automatically. The latter case has also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-07 P. M. Robinson

Nonlinear dynamic volatility has been observed in many financial time series. The recently proposed quantile periodogram offers an alternative way to examine this phenomena in the frequency domain. The quantile periodogram is constructed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-26 Ta-Hsin Li

Temporal dependence and the resulting autocovariances in time series data can introduce bias into ANOVA test statistics, thereby affecting their size and power. This manuscript accounts for temporal dependence in ANOVA and develops a test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-12 Yunyi Zhang

Bootstrap methods for estimating the long-run covariance of stationary functional time series are considered. We introduce a versatile bootstrap method that relies on functional principal component analysis, where principal component scores…

Computation · Statistics 2016-10-05 Han Lin Shang

When analysing time series an important issue is to decide whether the time series is stationary or a random walk. Relaxing these notions, we consider the problem to decide in favor of the I(0)- or I(1)-property. Fixed-sample statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-01 Ansgar Steland

A crucial assumption to reduce computational complexity in spatial-temporal data analysis is separability, which factors the covariance structure into a purely spatial and a purely temporal component. In this paper, we develop statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Lujia Bai , Holger Dette , Zihao Yuan

The paper deals with a question of robustness of inferences, carried out on a continuous-time stationary process contaminated by a small trend, to this departure from stationarity. We show that a smoothed periodogram approach to parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-27 M. S. Ginovyan , A. A. Sahakyan

A method for testing nonlinearity in time series is described based on information-theoretic functionals -- redundancies, linear and nonlinear forms of which allow either qualitative, or, after incorporating the surrogate data technique,…

comp-gas · Physics 2015-06-24 Milan PALUS

For spatially dependent functional data, a generalized Karhunen-Lo\`{e}ve expansion is commonly used to decompose data into an additive form of temporal components and spatially correlated coefficients. This structure provides a convenient…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-08 Decai Liang , Hui Huang , Yongtao Guan , Fang Yao

In unit root testing, a piecewise locally stationary process is adopted to accommodate nonstationary errors that can have both smooth and abrupt changes in second- or higher-order properties. Under this framework, the limiting null…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-02-16 Yeonwoo Rho , Xiaofeng Shao

Modern time series data often exhibit complex dependence and structural changes which are not easily characterised by shifts in the mean or model parameters. We propose a nonparametric data segmentation methodology for multivariate time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-06 Euan T. McGonigle , Haeran Cho

This article presents a homogeneity test for testing the equality of several high-dimensional covariance matrices for stationary processes with ignoring the assumption of normality. We give the asymptotic distribution of the proposed test.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-24 Abdullah Qayed , Dong Han

We propose a novel estimator of the autocorrelation function in presence of missing observations. We establish the consistency, the asymptotic normality, and we derive deviation bounds for various classes of weakly dependent stationary time…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-04-22 Natalia Bahamonde , Paul Doukhan , Eric Moulines

Modelling a large bundle of curves arises in a broad spectrum of real applications. However, existing literature relies primarily on the critical assumption of independent curve observations. In this paper, we provide a general theory for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Shaojun Guo , Xinghao Qiao

In this paper, we propose a fast, well-performing, and consistent method for segmenting a piecewise-stationary, linear time series with an unknown number of breakpoints. The time series model we use is the nonparametric Locally Stationary…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-30 Haeran Cho , Piotr Fryzlewicz