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Computing the probability of a formula given the probabilities or weights associated with other formulas is a natural extension of logical inference to the probabilistic setting. Surprisingly, this problem has received little attention in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Vibhav Gogate , Pedro Domingos

A new finite form of de Finetti's representation theorem is established using elementary information-theoretic tools. The distribution of the first $k$ random variables in an exchangeable vector of $n\geq k$ random variables is close to a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Mario Berta , Lampros Gavalakis , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

We prove a computable version of de Finetti's theorem on exchangeable sequences of real random variables. As a consequence, exchangeable stochastic processes expressed in probabilistic functional programming languages can be automatically…

Logic · Mathematics 2012-02-03 Cameron E. Freer , Daniel M. Roy

We introduce a novel framework for incorporating human expertise into algorithmic predictions. Our approach leverages human judgment to distinguish inputs which are algorithmically indistinguishable, or "look the same" to predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Rohan Alur , Manish Raghavan , Devavrat Shah

Fair Machine Learning endeavors to prevent unfairness arising in the context of machine learning applications embedded in society. Despite the variety of definitions of fairness and proposed "fair algorithms", there remain unresolved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Rabanus Derr , Robert C. Williamson

We map the recently proposed notions of algorithmic fairness to economic models of Equality of opportunity (EOP)---an extensively studied ideal of fairness in political philosophy. We formally show that through our conceptual mapping, many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-28 Hoda Heidari , Michele Loi , Krishna P. Gummadi , Andreas Krause

I give an introduction to algorithmic uses of the principle of inclusion-exclusion. The presentation is intended to be be concrete and accessible, at the expense of generality and comprehensiveness.

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Thore Husfeldt

Quantum theory makes the most accurate empirical predictions and yet it lacks simple, comprehensible physical principles from which the theory can be uniquely derived. A broad class of probabilistic theories exist which all share some…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-04-17 Borivoje Dakic , Caslav Brukner

A finite form of de Finetti's representation theorem is established using elementary information-theoretic tools: The distribution of the first $k$ random variables in an exchangeable binary vector of length $n\geq k$ is close to a mixture…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Lampros Gavalakis , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

With the increased use of machine learning systems for decision making, questions about the fairness properties of such systems start to take center stage. Most existing work on algorithmic fairness assume complete observation of features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Nikil Roashan Selvam , Guy Van den Broeck , YooJung Choi

Efforts to promote equitable public policy with algorithms appear to be fundamentally constrained by the "impossibility of fairness" (an incompatibility between mathematical definitions of fairness). This technical limitation raises a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Ben Green

The principle that rational agents should maximize expected utility or choiceworthiness is intuitively plausible in many ordinary cases of decision-making under uncertainty. But it is less plausible in cases of extreme, low-probability risk…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-11 Christian Tarsney

A predictive distribution over a sequence of $N+1$ events is said to be "frequency mimicking" whenever the probability for the final event conditioned on the outcome of the first $N$ events equals the relative frequency of successes among…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-06 Frank Lad , Giuseppe Sanfilippo

We introduce the notion of a restricted exchangeable partition of $\mathbb{N}$. We obtain integral representations, consider associated fragmentations, embeddings into continuum random trees and convergence to such limit trees. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-12 Bo Chen , Matthias Winkel

Algorithmic randomness theory starts with a notion of an individual random object. To be reasonable, this notion should have some natural properties; in particular, an object should be random with respect to image distribution if and only…

Logic · Mathematics 2016-07-15 Laurent Bienvenu , Mathieu Hoyrup , Alexander Shen

An operational probabilistic theory where all systems are classical, and all pure states of composite systems are entangled, is constructed. The theory is endowed with a rule for composing an arbitrary number of systems, and with a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-01-24 Giacomo Mauro D'Ariano , Marco Erba , Paolo Perinotti

The classic model of computable randomness considers martingales that take real or rational values. Recent work by Bienvenu et al. (2012) and Teutsch (2014) shows that fundamental features of the classic model change when the martingales…

Logic · Mathematics 2015-04-16 Ron Peretz

This paper considers the problem of randomly assigning a set of objects to a set of agents based on the ordinal preferences of agents. We generalize the well-known immediate acceptance algorithm to the afore-mentioned random environments…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-04-20 Yajing Chen , Patrick Harless , Zhenhua Jiao

Driven by the interest of reasoning about probabilistic programming languages, we set out to study a notion of unicity of normal forms for them. To provide a tractable proof method for it, we define a property of distribution confluence…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-11-06 Alejandro Díaz-Caro , Guido Martínez

We introduce a graceful approach to probabilistic inference called bounded conditioning. Bounded conditioning monotonically refines the bounds on posterior probabilities in a belief network with computation, and converges on final…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Eric J. Horvitz , Jaap Suermondt , Gregory F. Cooper
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