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Increasing wildfire occurrence has spurred growing interest in wildfire spread prediction. However, even the most complex wildfire models diverge from observed progression during multi-day simulations, motivating need for data assimilation.…

Wildland fires pose an increasingly serious problem in our society. The number and severity of these fires has been rising for many years. Wildfires pose direct threats to life and property as well as threats through ancillary effects like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-05 James D. Haley

Predicting wildfire risk is a reasoning-intensive spatial problem that requires the integration of visual, climatic, and geographic factors to infer continuous risk maps. Existing methods lack the causal reasoning and multimodal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Mario Markov , Stefan Maria Ailuro , Luc Van Gool , Konrad Schindler , Danda Pani Paudel

Understanding how weather and climate influence fire risk is important for many purposes, including climate adaptation planning and decision-making in sectors such as emergency management, finance, health and infrastructure (e.g., for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-27 Soubhik Biswas , Andrew Dowdy , Savin Chand

Wildfires are increasing in intensity and severity at an alarming rate. Recent advances in AI and publicly available satellite data enable monitoring critical wildfire risk factors globally, at high resolution and low latency. Live Fuel…

Global Station Weather Forecasting (GSWF), a prominent meteorological research area, is pivotal in providing timely localized weather predictions. Despite the progress existing models have made in the overall accuracy of the GSWF, executing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Songru Yang , Zili Liu , Zhenwei Shi , Zhengxia Zou

Drone swarms coupled with data intelligence can be the future of wildfire fighting. However, drone swarm firefighting faces enormous challenges, such as the highly complex environmental conditions in wildfire scenes, the highly dynamic…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Shijie Pan , Aoran Cheng , Yiqi Sun , Kai Kang , Cristobal Pais , Yulun Zhou , Zuo-Jun Max Shen

The understanding and prediction of large wildland fire events around the world is a growing interdisciplinary research area advanced rapidly by development and use of computational models. Recent models bidirectionally couple computational…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-07-06 J. L. Coen , W. Schroeder , S. Conway , L. Tarnay

Wildfire propagation is a highly stochastic process where small changes in environmental conditions (such as wind speed and direction) can lead to large changes in observed behaviour. A traditional approach to quantify uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-04 Andrew Bolt , Conrad Sanderson , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

This paper discusses the development of a convolutional architecture of a deep neural network for the recognition of wildfires on satellite images. Based on the results of image classification, a fuzzy cognitive map of the analysis of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-08 Sergey Yarushev , Alexey Averkin

The increasing frequency and severity of wildfires necessitates advanced methods for effective surveillance and management, as traditional ground-based techniques often struggle to adapt to rapidly changing fire behavior and environmental…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Afonso Oliveira , João P. Matos-Carvalho , Filipe Moutinho , Nuno Fachada

Wildfires can be devastating, causing significant damage to property, ecosystem disruption, and loss of life. Forecasting the evolution of wildfire boundaries is essential to real-time wildfire management. To this end, substantial attention…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Myungsoo Yoo , Christopher K. Wikle

Predicting future states in uncertain environments, such as wildfire spread, medical diagnosis, or autonomous driving, requires models that can consider multiple plausible outcomes. While diffusion models can effectively learn such…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Sebastian Gerard , Josephine Sullivan

Increasingly frequent wildfires significantly affect solar energy production as the atmospheric aerosols generated by wildfires diminish the incoming solar radiation to the earth. Atmospheric aerosols are measured by Aerosol Optical Depth…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-24 Guanzhou Wei , Venkat Krishnan , Yu Xie , Manajit Sengupta , Yingchen Zhang , Haitao Liao , Xiao Liu

California's wildfire season keeps getting worse over the years, overwhelming the emergency response teams. These fires cause massive destruction to both property and human life. Because of these reasons, there's a growing need for accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Shashank Bhardwaj

In recent years wildfires have caused havoc across the world, especially aggravated in certain regions, due to climate change. Remote sensing has become a powerful tool for monitoring fires, as well as for measuring their effects on…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-24 Feliu Serra-Burriel , Pedro Delicado , Fernando M. Cucchietti

The level-set method is a prominent approach to modelling the evolution of a fire over time based on a characterised rate of spread. It however does not provide a direct means for assimilating new data and quantifying uncertainty. Fire…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-20 Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , James Hilton , Stephane Mangeon , Petra Kuhnert

Over the last few decades, deforestation and climate change have caused increasing number of forest fires. In Southeast Asia, Indonesia has been the most affected country by tropical peatland forest fires. These fires have a significant…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Suwei Yang , Massimo Lupascu , Kuldeep S. Meel

Climate extremes present escalating risks to agriculture intensifying the need for reliable multi-hazard early warning systems (EWS). The situation is evolving due to climate change and hence such systems should have the intelligent to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Boyuan Zheng , Victor W. Chu

Satellite-derived fire observations are the primary input for learning-based wildfire spread prediction, yet they are inherently incomplete due to cloud cover, smoke obscuration, and sensor artifacts. This partial observability introduces a…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-11 Chen Yang , Mehdi Zafari , Ziheng Duan , A. Lee Swindlehurst
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