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Particle filters (PFs), which are successful methods for approximating the solution of the filtering problem, can be divided into two types: weighted and unweighted PFs. It is well known that weighted PFs suffer from the weight degeneracy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-15 Ehsan Abedi , Simone Carlo Surace , Jean-Pascal Pfister

This article introduces a method for adjusting macro-particle weights within a particle distribution while preserving statistical and physical properties. The method allows the weights of the new macro-particle distribution to be determined…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-03-19 Nicolas Pichoff , Samuel Marini

Particle filtering is a Bayesian inference method and a fundamental tool in state estimation for dynamic systems, but its effectiveness is often limited by the constraints of the initial prior distribution, a phenomenon we define as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-31 Yiwei Shi , Jingyu Hu , Yu Zhang , Mengyue Yang , Weinan Zhang , Cunjia Liu , Weiru Liu

Particle filters are computational techniques for estimating the state of dynamical systems by integrating observational data with model predictions. This work introduces a class of Localized Particle Filters (LPFs) that exploit spatial…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-10 Dan Crisan , Eliana Fausti

The implicit particle filter seeks to mitigate particle degeneracy by identifying particles in the target distribution's high-probability regions. This study is motivated by the need to enhance computational tractability in implementing…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-08 Iman Askari , Mulugeta A. Haile , Xuemin Tu , Huazhen Fang

This paper concerns numerical assessment of Monte Carlo error in particle filters. We show that by keeping track of certain key features of the genealogical structure arising from resampling operations, it is possible to estimate variances…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-29 Anthony Lee , Nick Whiteley

State-space models can be used to incorporate subject knowledge on the underlying dynamics of a time series by the introduction of a latent Markov state-process. A user can specify the dynamics of this process together with how the state…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-14 Paul Fearnhead , Hans Künsch

Particle filters are applicable to a wide range of nonlinear, non-Gaussian state-space models and have already been applied to a variety of problems. However, there is a problem in the calculation of smoothed distributions, where particles…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-16 G. Kitagawa

The particle filter is a powerful framework for estimating hidden states in dynamic systems where uncertainty, noise, and nonlinearity dominate. This mini-book offers a clear and structured introduction to the core ideas behind particle…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-04 Sahil Rajesh Dhayalkar

We introduce a weighted particle representation for the solution of the filtering problem based on a suitably chosen variation of the classical de Finetti theorem. This representation has important theoretical and numerical applications. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Dan Crisan , Thomas G. Kurtz , Salvador Ortiz-Latorre

A hybrid particle ensemble Kalman filter is developed for problems with medium non-Gaussianity, i.e. problems where the prior is very non-Gaussian but the posterior is approximately Gaussian. Such situations arise, e.g., when nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-15 Gregor Robinson , Ian Grooms

A series of novel filters for probabilistic inference that propose an alternative way of performing Bayesian updates, called particle flow filters, have been attracting recent interest. These filters provide approximate solutions to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-24 Flávio Eler De Melo , Simon Maskell , Matteo Fasiolo , Fred Daum

This paper investigates an approximation scheme of the optimal nonlinear Bayesian filter based on the Gaussian mixture representation of the state probability distribution function. The resulting filter is similar to the particle filter,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-30 Ibrahim Hoteit , Xiaodong Luo , Dinh-Tuan Pham

It has been widely realized that Monte Carlo methods (approximation via a sample ensemble) may fail in large scale systems. This work offers some theoretical insight into this phenomenon in the context of the particle filter. We demonstrate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Thomas Bengtsson , Peter Bickel , Bo Li

The particle filter is a popular Bayesian filtering algorithm for use in cases where the state-space model is nonlinear and/or the random terms (initial state or noises) are non-Gaussian distributed. We study the behavior of the error in…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-29 Ziyu Liu , Shihong Wei , James C. Spall

In this paper we address the problem of estimating the posterior distribution of the static parameters of a continuous time state space model with discrete time observations by an algorithm that combines the Kalman filter and a particle…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-22 Jian He , Asma Khedher , Peter Spreij

The particle filter is one of the most successful methods for state inference and identification of general non-linear and non-Gaussian models. However, standard particle filters suffer from degeneracy of the particle weights, in particular…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-27 Anna Wigren , Lawrence Murray , Fredrik Lindsten

Particle filters contain the promise of fully nonlinear data assimilation. They have been applied in numerous science areas, but their application to the geosciences has been limited due to their inefficiency in high-dimensional systems in…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-16 Peter Jan van Leeuwen , Hans R. Künsch , Lars Nerger , Roland Potthast , Sebastian Reich

Kalman filtering has been traditionally applied in three application areas of estimation, state estimation, parameter estimation (a.k.a. model updating), and dual estimation. However, Kalman filter is often not sufficient when experimenting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-11 Johnny Condori , Amin Maghareh , Shirley Dyke

The robust estimation of dynamically changing features, such as the position of prey, is one of the hallmarks of perception. On an abstract, algorithmic level, nonlinear Bayesian filtering, i.e. the estimation of temporally changing signals…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-05 Anna Kutschireiter , Simone Carlo Surace , Henning Sprekeler , Jean-Pascal Pfister