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Building an accurate load forecasting model with minimal underpredictions is vital to prevent any undesired power outages due to underproduction of electricity. However, the power consumption patterns of the residential sector contain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Jihan Ghanim , Maha Issa , Mariette Awad

The proliferation of mobile devices generates a massive volume of time series across various domains, where effective time series forecasting enables a variety of real-world applications. This study focuses on a new problem of source-free…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Kangjia Yan , Chenxi Liu , Hao Miao , Xinle Wu , Yan Zhao , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Long-term time-series forecasting is essential for planning and decision-making in economics, energy, and transportation, where long foresight is required. To obtain such long foresight, models must be both efficient and effective in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-05 Chao Ma , Yikai Hou , Xiang Li , Yinggang Sun , Haining Yu , Zhou Fang , Jiaxing Qu

In model-based reinforcement learning, most algorithms rely on simulating trajectories from one-step models of the dynamics learned on data. A critical challenge of this approach is the compounding of one-step prediction errors as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Abdelhakim Benechehab , Albert Thomas , Giuseppe Paolo , Maurizio Filippone , Balázs Kégl

Sensors provide a vital source of data that link digital systems with the physical world. However, as sensors age, the relationship between what they measure and what they output changes. This is known as sensor drift and poses a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-12 Aaron Hurst , Andrey V. Kalinichev , Klaus Koren , Daniel E. Lucani

Research on long-term time series prediction has primarily relied on Transformer and MLP models, while the potential of convolutional networks in this domain remains underexplored. To address this, we propose a novel multi-scale time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Chenghan Li , Mingchen Li , Yipu Liao , Ruisheng Diao

Communication scene recognition has been widely applied in practice, but using deep learning to address this problem faces challenges such as insufficient data and imbalanced data distribution. To address this, we designed a weighted loss…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-10 Jiasong Han , Yufei Feng , Xiaofeng Zhong

Time-series forecasting plays a critical role in many real-world applications. Although increasingly powerful models have been developed and achieved superior results on benchmark datasets, through a fine-grained sample-level inspection, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Zhining Liu , Ze Yang , Xiao Lin , Ruizhong Qiu , Tianxin Wei , Yada Zhu , Hendrik Hamann , Jingrui He , Hanghang Tong

Many machine learning problems involve iteratively and alternately optimizing different task objectives with respect to different sets of parameters. Appropriately scheduling the optimization of a task objective or a set of parameters is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-08 Haowen Xu , Hao Zhang , Zhiting Hu , Xiaodan Liang , Ruslan Salakhutdinov , Eric Xing

Time series forecasting is essential across domains from finance to supply chain management. This paper introduces ForecastGAN, a novel decomposition based adversarial framework addressing limitations in existing approaches for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Syeda Sitara Wishal Fatima , Afshin Rahimi

Long-term forecasting of multivariate urban data poses a significant challenge due to the complex spatiotemporal dependencies inherent in such datasets. This paper presents DST, a novel multivariate time-series forecasting model that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Amirhossein Sohrabbeig , Omid Ardakanian , Petr Musilek

Time series forecasting is an important challenge with significant applications in areas such as weather prediction, stock market analysis, scientific simulations and industrial process analysis. In this work, we introduce LMS-AutoTSF, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Ibrahim Delibasoglu , Sanjay Chakraborty , Fredrik Heintz

Operational forecasting centers are investing in decadal (1-10 year) forecast systems to support long-term decision making for a more climate-resilient society. One method that has previously been employed is the Dynamic Mode Decomposition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-22 Eduardo Rodrigues , Bianca Zadrozny , Campbell Watson , David Gold

Accurate time series forecasting in scientific domains such as climate modeling, physiological monitoring, and energy systems benefits from both competitive predictions and model transparency. This work proposes DecompKAN, a lightweight…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Naveen Mysore

Cross-entropy loss and focal loss are the most common choices when training deep neural networks for classification problems. Generally speaking, however, a good loss function can take on much more flexible forms, and should be tailored for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-12 Zhaoqi Leng , Mingxing Tan , Chenxi Liu , Ekin Dogus Cubuk , Xiaojie Shi , Shuyang Cheng , Dragomir Anguelov

Time series forecasting is vital in many real-world applications, yet developing models that generalize well on unseen relevant domains -- such as forecasting web traffic data on new platforms/websites or estimating e-commerce demand in new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Songgaojun Deng , Maarten de Rijke

Time series forecasting models are becoming increasingly prevalent due to their critical role in decision-making across various domains. However, most existing approaches represent the coupled temporal patterns, often neglecting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Jintao Zhang , Mingyue Cheng , Xiaoyu Tao , Zhiding Liu , Daoyu Wang

The mean squared error (MSE) is a ubiquitous loss function for speech enhancement, but its problem is that the error cannot reflect the auditory perception quality. This is because MSE causes models to over-emphasize low-frequency…

Sound · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Zixuan Li , Xueliang Zhang , Changjiang Zhao , Shuai Gao , Lei Miao , Zhipeng Yan , Ying Sun , Chong Zhu

Time-series forecasting has gained increasing attention in the field of artificial intelligence due to its potential to address real-world problems across various domains, including energy, weather, traffic, and economy. While time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Hyunwook Lee , Chunggi Lee , Hongkyu Lim , Sungahn Ko

Downscaling (DS) of meteorological variables involves obtaining high-resolution states from low-resolution meteorological fields and is an important task in weather forecasting. Previous methods based on deep learning treat downscaling as a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Zili Liu , Hao Chen , Lei Bai , Wenyuan Li , Keyan Chen , Zhengyi Wang , Wanli Ouyang , Zhengxia Zou , Zhenwei Shi
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