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Related papers: Malliavin calculcus for a Hawkes process

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A field theoretical framework is developed for the Hawkes self-excited point process with arbitrary memory kernels by embedding the original non-Markovian one-dimensional dynamics onto a Markovian infinite-dimensional one. The corresponding…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-23 Kiyoshi Kanazawa , Didier Sornette

We develop in this paper a new framework for discrete calculus of variations when the actions have densities involving an arbitrary discretization operator. We deduce the discrete Euler-Lagrange equations for piecewise continuous critical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-06-28 Philippe Ryckelynck , Laurent Smoch

We establish the large scale convergence of a class of stochastic weakly nonlinear reaction-diffusion models on a three dimensional periodic domain to the dynamic $\Phi^4_3$ model within the framework of paracontrolled distributions. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-29 Marco Furlan , Massimiliano Gubinelli

In this paper, we develop sample path large deviations for multivariate Hawkes processes with heavy-tailed mutual excitation rates. Our results address a broad class of rare events in Hawkes processes at the sample path level and, via the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Jose Blanchet , Roger J. A. Laeven , Xingyu Wang , Bert Zwart

This paper is devoted to a study on SDEs with a bounded Borel drift b. We first remark that the original integration by parts formula due to P. Malliavin can be used to deal with derivatives with respect to space variables, then we obtain a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-21 Shizan Fang , Rongrong Tian

Non-linear Hawkes processes with memory kernels given by the sum of Erlang kernels are considered. It is shown that their stability properties can be studied in terms of an associated class of piecewise deterministic Markov processes,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Aline Duarte , Eva Löcherbach , Guilherme Ost

We introduce a Hawkes-like process and study its scaling limit as the system becomes increasingly endogenous. We derive functional limit theorems for intensity and fluctuations. Then, we introduce a high-frequency model for a price of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-12 Łukasz Treszczotko

The Hawkes process is a simple point process with wide applications in finance, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. The Hawkes process is defined for continuous-time setting. However, data is also recorded in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-23 Haixu Wang

Point processes are widely used statistical models for continuous-time discrete event data, such as medical records, crime reports, and social network interactions, to capture the influence of historical events on future occurrences. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Xiuyuan Cheng , Tingnan Gong , Yao Xie

The Malliavin derivative, divergence operator, and the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck operator are extended from the traditional Gaussian setting to generalized processes from the higher-order chaos spaces.

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-06 S. V. Lototsky , B. L. Rozovskii , D. Seleši

This paper presents a novel generic asymptotic expansion formula of expectations of multidimensional Wiener functionals through a Malliavin calculus technique. The uniform estimate of the asymptotic expansion is shown under a weaker…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Akihiko Takahashi , Toshihiro Yamada

Multivariate Hawkes processes are a widely used class of self-exciting point processes, but maximum likelihood estimation naively scales as $O(N^2)$ in the number of events. The canonical linear exponential Hawkes process admits a faster…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Ahmer Raza , Hudson Smith

An explicit martingale representation for random variables described as a functional of a Levy process will be given. The Clark-Ocone theorem shows that integrands appeared in a martingale representation are given by conditional…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-18 Takuji Arai , Ryoichi Suzuki

Suppose $B$ is a Brownian motion and $B^n$ is an approximating sequence of rescaled random walks on the same probability space converging to $B$ pointwise in probability. We provide necessary and sufficient conditions for weak and strong…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Christian Bender , Peter Parczewski

We construct a strong Markov process corresponding to the Dirichlet form of Servadei and Valdinoci and use the process to solve the corresponding Neumann boundary problem for the fractional Laplacian and the half-line.

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Krzysztof Bogdan , Damian Fafuła , Paweł Sztonyk

This paper is devoted to establishing the full scaling limit theorems for multivariate Hawkes processes. Under some mild conditions on the exciting kernels, we develop a new way to prove that after a suitable time-spatial scaling, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Wei Xu

A simple Hawkes model have been developed for the price tick structure dynamics incorporating market microstructure noise and trade clustering. In this paper, the model is extended with random mark to deal with more realistic price tick…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-30 Kyungsub Lee , Byoung Ki Seo

We consider Malliavin calculus based on the It\^o chaos decomposition of square integrable random variables on the L\'evy space. We show that when a random variable satisfies a certain measurability condition, its differentiability and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-25 Eija Laukkarinen

When the sample path of a Hawkes process is observed discretely, such that only the total event counts in disjoint time intervals are known, the likelihood function becomes intractable. To overcome the challenge of likelihood-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Jason J. Lambe , Feng Chen , Tom Stindl , Tsz-Kit Jeffrey Kwan

We study quasi-linear stochastic partial differential equations with discontinuous drift coefficients. Existence and uniqueness of a solution is already known under weaker conditions on the drift, but we are interested in the regularity of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-27 Torstein Nilssen