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A folded type model is developed for analyzing compositional data. The proposed model involves an extension of the $\alpha$-transformation for compositional data and provides a new and flexible class of distributions for modeling data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-27 Michail Tsagris , Connie Stewart

To take sample biases and skewness in the observations into account, practitioners frequently weight their observations according to some marginal distribution. The present paper demonstrates that such weighting can indeed improve the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-05 Tobias Niebuhr , Mathias Trabs

This paper is concerned with forecasting probability density functions. Density functions are nonnegative and have a constrained integral; thus, they do not constitute a vector space. Implementing unconstrained functional time-series…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Frédéric Ferraty , Han Lin Shang

This paper applies conformal prediction techniques to compute simultaneous prediction bands and clustering trees for functional data. These tools can be used to detect outliers and clusters. Both our prediction bands and clustering trees…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-27 Jing Lei , Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman

Many scientific datasets are compositional in nature. Important biological examples include species abundances in ecology, cell-type compositions derived from single-cell sequencing data, and amplicon abundance data in microbiome research.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Elisabeth Ailer , Christian L. Müller , Niki Kilbertus

We study the modeling and forecasting of high-dimensional functional time series (HDFTS), which can be cross-sectionally correlated and temporally dependent. We introduce a decomposition of the HDFTS into two distinct components: a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-14 Cristian F. Jiménez-Varón , Ying Sun , Han Lin Shang

To draw real-world evidence about the comparative effectiveness of multiple time-varying treatments on patient survival, we develop a joint marginal structural survival model and a novel weighting strategy to account for time-varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji , Himanshu Joshi , Erick Scott , Fan Li

In microbiome and genomic studies, the regression of compositional data has been a crucial tool for identifying microbial taxa or genes that are associated with clinical phenotypes. To account for the variation in sequencing depth, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-11 Pixu Shi , Yuchen Zhou , Anru R. Zhang

Conformal prediction is a powerful framework for constructing prediction sets with valid coverage guarantees in multi-class classification. However, existing methods often rely on a single score function, which can limit their efficiency…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-05 Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

We study the modeling and forecasting of high-dimensional functional time series, which can be temporally dependent and cross-sectionally correlated. We implement a functional analysis of variance (FANOVA) to decompose high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Han Lin Shang , Cristian F. Jiménez-Varón

Quantile regression is a powerful statistical methodology that complements the classical linear regression by examining how covariates influence the location, scale, and shape of the entire response distribution and offering a global view…

Applications · Statistics 2013-09-11 Lu Xiaoming , Fan Zhaozhi

In many countries life expectancy gains have been substantially higher than predicted by even recent forecasts. This is primarily due to increasing rates of improvement in old-age mortality not captured by existing models. In this paper we…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-07 Søren Fiig Jarner

For survival data with high-dimensional covariates, results generated in the analysis of a single dataset are often unsatisfactory because of the small sample size. Integrative analysis pools raw data from multiple independent studies with…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-13 Qingzhao Zhang , Sanguo Zhang , Jin Liu , Jian Huang , Shuangge Ma

This paper proposes a novel framework for the approximation and analysis of circular density data using compositional periodic splines within Bayes spaces with the Hilbert space structure. By applying the centered log-ratio transformation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Jitka Machalová , Jana Heckenbergerová , Karel Hron

Motivated by two case studies using primary care records from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink, we describe statistical methods that facilitate the analysis of tall data, with very large numbers of observations. Our focus is on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-14 Kirsty Rhodes , Rebecca Turner , Rupert Payne , Ian White

Sparse decision trees are one of the most common forms of interpretable models. While recent advances have produced algorithms that fully optimize sparse decision trees for prediction, that work does not address policy design, because the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Ali Behrouz , Mathias Lecuyer , Cynthia Rudin , Margo Seltzer

A key challenge in estimating causal effects from observational data is handling confounding and is commonly achieved through weighting methods that balance distribution of covariates between treatment and control groups. Weighting…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Simion De , Jared D. Huling

Excess mortality, i.e. the difference between expected and observed mortality, is used to quantify the death toll of mortality shocks, such as infectious disease-related epidemics and pandemics. However, predictions of expected mortality…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-18 Ainhoa-Elena Leger , Silvia Rizzi , Ugofilippo Basellini

There has been growing interest on forecasting mortality. In this article, we propose a novel dynamic Bayesian approach for modeling and forecasting the age-at-death distribution, focusing on a three-components mixture of a Dirac mass, a…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-20 Emanuele Aliverti , Stefano Mazzuco , Bruno Scarpa

We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtain robust estimates. The weight, attached to each score contribution, is evaluated by comparing the statistical data depth at the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Claudio Agostinelli