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Consider an analyst who models a strategic situation using an incomplete information game. The true game may involve correlated, duplicated belief hierarchies, but the analyst lacks knowledge of the correlation structure and can only…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-13 Stephen Morris , Takashi Ui

Stability Selection was recently introduced by Meinshausen and Buhlmann (2010) as a very general technique designed to improve the performance of a variable selection algorithm. It is based on aggregating the results of applying a selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Rajen D. Shah , Richard J. Samworth

False alerts due to misconfigured/ compromised IDS in ICS networks can lead to severe economic and operational damage. To solve this problem, research has focused on leveraging deep learning techniques that help reduce false alerts.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-03-14 Abhijeet Sahu , Katherine Davis

We study the stable marriage problem in the partial information setting where the agents, although they have an underlying true strict linear order, are allowed to specify partial orders. Specifically, we focus on the case where the agents…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-09 Vijay Menon , Kate Larson

In the fundamental Stable Marriage and Stable Roommates problems, there are inherent trade-offs between the size and stability of solutions. While in the former problem, a stable matching always exists and can be found efficiently using the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Frederik Glitzner , David Manlove

In this paper, we present a very important primitive called Information Checking Protocol (ICP) which plays an important role in constructing statistical Verifiable Secret Sharing (VSS) and Weak Secret Sharing (WSS) protocols. Informally,…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2015-03-14 Arpita Patra , C. Pandu Rangan

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a distribution-free uncertainty estimation framework that constructs prediction sets guaranteed to contain the true answer with a user-specified probability. Intuitively, the size of the prediction set encodes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Alvaro H. C. Correia , Fabio Valerio Massoli , Christos Louizos , Arash Behboodi

Empirically, many strategic settings are characterized by stable outcomes in which players' decisions are publicly observed, yet no player takes the opportunity to deviate. To analyze such situations in the presence of incomplete…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-12 Paul S. Koh

In this paper, we investigate stable matching in structured networks. Consider case of matching in social networks where candidates are not fully connected. A candidate on one side of the market gets acquaintance with which one on the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-11-27 Ying Ling , Tao Wan , Zengchang Qin

Constraint Programming (CP) has proved an effective paradigm to model and solve difficult combinatorial satisfaction and optimisation problems from disparate domains. Many such problems arising from the commercial world are permeated by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-08-08 Neil Yorke-Smith , Carmen Gervet

Statistical hypothesis testing is the central method to demarcate scientific theories in both exploratory and inferential analyses. However, whether this method befits such purpose remains a matter of debate. Established approaches to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-10-29 Orestis Loukas , Ho-Ryun Chung

We address the question of whether price of stability results (existence of equilibria with low social cost) are robust to incomplete information. We show that this is the case in potential games, if the underlying algorithmic social cost…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Vasilis Syrgkanis

Input-to-State Stability (ISS) is fundamental in mathematically quantifying how stability degrades in the presence of bounded disturbances. If a system is ISS, its trajectories will remain bounded, and will converge to a neighborhood of an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-01 Preston Culbertson , Ryan K. Cosner , Maegan Tucker , Aaron D. Ames

Building and expanding on principles of statistics, machine learning, and scientific inquiry, we propose the predictability, computability, and stability (PCS) framework for veridical data science. Our framework, comprised of both a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-08 Bin Yu , Karl Kumbier

Informally, "Information Inconsistency" is the property that has been observed in many Bayesian hypothesis testing and model selection procedures whereby the Bayesian conclusion does not become definitive when the data seems to become…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-27 Joris Mulder , James O. Berger , Víctor Peña , M. J. Bayarri

Inductive conformal predictors (ICPs) are algorithms that are able to generate prediction sets, instead of point predictions, which are valid at a user-defined confidence level, only assuming exchangeability. These algorithms are useful for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Yizirui Fang , Anthony Bellotti

Many machine learning algorithms rely on iterative updates of uncertainty representations, ranging from variational inference and expectation-maximization, to reinforcement learning, continual learning, and multi-agent learning. In the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Michele Caprio , Siu Lun Chau , Krikamol Muandet

Conformal prediction provides model-agnostic and distribution-free uncertainty quantification through prediction sets that are guaranteed to include the ground truth with any user-specified probability. Yet, conformal prediction is not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Yan Scholten , Stephan Günnemann

Instance-dependent cost-sensitive (IDCS) classifiers offer a promising approach to improving cost-efficiency in credit scoring by tailoring loss functions to instance-specific costs. However, the impact of such loss functions on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Matteo Ballegeer , Matthias Bogaert , Dries F. Benoit

We consider two-sided matching markets, and study the incentives of agents to circumvent a centralized clearing house by signing binding contracts with one another. It is well-known that if the clearing house implements a stable match and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-04-14 Nick Arnosti , Nicole Immorlica , Brendan Lucier
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