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The inference procedure for the mean of a stationary time series is usually quite different under various model assumptions because the partial sum process behaves differently depending on whether the time series is short or long-range…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-22 Shuyang Bai , Murad S. Taqqu , Ting Zhang

This article analyzes and develops a method to solve fractional ordinary differential equations using the Monte Carlo Method. A numerical simulation is performed for some differential equations, comparing the results with what exists in the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-18 Luverci N. Ferreira , Matheus J. Lazo

Markov chain Monte Carlo is an inherently serial algorithm. Although likelihood calculations for individual steps can sometimes be parallelized, the serial evolution of the process is widely viewed as incompatible with parallelization,…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-31 Douglas N. VanDerwerken , Scott C. Schmidler

We introduce new variants of classical regression-based algorithms for optimal stopping problems based on computation of regression coefficients by Monte Carlo approximation of the corresponding $L^2$ inner products instead of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-29 Christian Bayer , Martin Redmann , John Schoenmakers

We establish a central limit theorem and prove a moderate deviation principle for stochastic scalar conservation laws. Due to the lack of viscous term, this is done in the framework of kinetic solution. The weak convergence method and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Zhengyan Wu , Rangrang Zhang

In this work we consider optimal stopping problems with conditional convex risk measures called optimised certainty equivalents. Without assuming any kind of time-consistency for the underlying family of risk measures, we derive a novel…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-16 Denis Belomestny , Volker Kraetschmer

We give a brief discussion of the recently developed Constrained-Path Monte Carlo Method. This method is a quantum Monte Carlo technique that eliminates the fermion sign problem plaguing simulations of systems of interacting electrons. The…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2009-10-31 J. E. Gubernatis , M. Guerrero

An algorithm is proposed that enables the imposition of shape constraints on regression curves, without requiring the constraints to be written as closed-form expressions, nor assuming the functional form of the loss function. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-08 Kenyon Ng , Berwin A. Turlach , Kevin Murray

This work explores the use of a forward-backward martingale method together with a decoupling argument and entropic estimates between the conditional and averaged measures to prove a strong averaging principle for stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-18 Bob Pepin

In this paper, we consider a class of slow-fast systems of stochastic partial differential equations where the nonlinearity in the slow equation is not continuous and unbounded. We first provide conditions that ensure the existence of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Sandra Cerrai , Yichun Zhu

Positive $T$-martingales were developed as a general framework that extends the positive measure-valued martingales and are meant to model intermittent turbulence. We extend their scope by allowing the martingale to take complex values. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Julien Barral , Xiong Jin , Benoît Mandelbrot

In this work, we propose a smart idea to couple importance sampling and Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC). We advocate a per level approach with as many importance sampling parameters as the number of levels, which enables us to compute the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-10 Ahmed Kebaier , Jérôme Lelong

In Quasi-Monte Carlo integration, the integration error is believed to be generally smaller than in classical Monte Carlo with the same number of integration points. Using an appropriate definition of an ensemble of quasi-randompoint sets,…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-10-28 Jiri Hoogland , Ronald Kleiss

In this paper we obtain the central limit theorem for triangular arrays of non-homogeneous Markov chains under a condition imposed to the maximal coefficient of correlation. The proofs are based on martingale techniques and a sharp lower…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-24 Magda Peligrad

For basic machine learning problems, expected error is used to evaluate model performance. Since the distribution of data is usually unknown, we can make simple hypothesis that the data are sampled independently and identically distributed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Xuli Shen , Qing Xu , Xiangyang Xue

We study some notions of negative dependence of a sampling scheme that can be used to derive variance bounds for the corresponding estimator or discrepancy bounds for the underlying random point set that are at least as good as the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-10 Michael Gnewuch , Marcin Wnuk , Nils Hebbinghaus

Consider a central problem in randomized approximation schemes that use a Monte Carlo approach. Given a sequence of independent, identically distributed random variables $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ with mean $\mu$ and standard deviation at most $c…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-18 Mark Huber

We develop diffusion-based samplers for target distributions known up to a normalising constant. To this end, we rely on the well-known diffusion path that smoothly interpolates between a simple base distribution and the target, popularised…

This series of six lectures is an introduction to using the Monte Carlo method to carry out nonperturbative studies in quantum field theories. Path integrals in quantum field theory are reviewed, and their evaluation by the Monte Carlo…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2007-05-23 Colin Morningstar

In the Monte Carlo (MC) method statistical noise is usually present. Statistical noise may become dominant in the calculation of a distribution, usually by iteration, but is less Important in calculating integrals. The subject of the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2013-11-08 Mihály Makai , Zoltán Szatmáry