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The reliable measurement of confidence in classifiers' predictions is very important for many applications and is, therefore, an important part of classifier design. Yet, although deep learning has received tremendous attention in recent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Amit Mandelbaum , Daphna Weinshall

We consider the problem of aggregating predictions or measurements from a set of human forecasters, models, sensors or other instruments which may be subject to bias or miscalibration and random heteroscedastic noise. We propose a Bayesian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-12 Chirag Nagpal , Robert E. Tillman , Prashant Reddy , Manuela Veloso

With the increasing capabilities of large language models (LLMs), these high-performance models have achieved state-of-the-art results on a wide range of natural language processing (NLP) tasks. However, the models' performance on…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Guanting Dong , Jinxu Zhao , Tingfeng Hui , Daichi Guo , Wenlong Wan , Boqi Feng , Yueyan Qiu , Zhuoma Gongque , Keqing He , Zechen Wang , Weiran Xu

Bootstrap inference is a powerful tool for obtaining robust inference for quantiles and difference-in-quantiles estimators. The computationally intensive nature of bootstrap inference has made it infeasible in large-scale experiments. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-10 Mårten Schultzberg , Sebastian Ankargren

Heteroscedastic regression considering the varying noises among observations has many applications in the fields like machine learning and statistics. Here we focus on the heteroscedastic Gaussian process (HGP) regression which integrates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-22 Haitao Liu , Yew-Soon Ong , Jianfei Cai

In this paper, we address the problem of conducting statistical inference in settings involving large-scale data that may be high-dimensional and contaminated by outliers. The high volume and dimensionality of the data require distributed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-30 Emadaldin Mozafari-Majd , Visa Koivunen

Bootstrap is a widely used technique that allows estimating the properties of a given estimator, such as its bias and standard error. In this paper, we evaluate and compare five bootstrap-based methods for making confidence intervals: two…

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have achieved remarkable success in a variety of computer vision tasks, where massive labeled images are routinely required for model optimization. Yet, the data collected from the open world are unavoidably…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Peng Cui , Yang Yue , Zhijie Deng , Jun Zhu

One of the key factors of enabling machine learning models to comprehend and solve real-world tasks is to leverage multimodal data. Unfortunately, annotation of multimodal data is challenging and expensive. Recently, self-supervised…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-11 Elad Amrani , Rami Ben-Ari , Daniel Rotman , Alex Bronstein

In learning tasks with label noise, improving model robustness against overfitting is a pivotal challenge because the model eventually memorizes labels, including the noisy ones. Identifying the samples with noisy labels and preventing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Reihaneh Torkzadehmahani , Reza Nasirigerdeh , Daniel Rueckert , Georgios Kaissis

Asymptotic uniform confidence bands are constructed for a multivariate nonparametric regression model with heteroscedastic noise, employing histogram estimators under flexible partition conditions. The construction is especially applicable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Natalie Neumeyer , Jan Rabe , Mathias Trabs

Finding a method to combine the numerical bootstrap with the analytic lightcone bootstrap is an important goal to advance the conformal bootstrap program. We propose a hybrid bootstrap method to do just that. The numerical and analytic…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2022-02-16 Ning Su

We present a new technique for visualizing high-dimensional data called cluster MDS (cl-MDS), which addresses a common difficulty of dimensionality reduction methods: preserving both local and global structures of the original sample in a…

Graphics · Computer Science 2024-05-27 Patricia Hernández-León , Miguel A. Caro

In this paper we study the applicability of the bootstrap to do inference on Manski's maximum score estimator under the full generality of the model. We propose three new, model-based bootstrap procedures for this problem and show their…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-21 Rohit Kumar Patra , Emilio Seijo , Bodhisattva Sen

One of the most commonly used methods for forming confidence intervals for statistical inference is the empirical bootstrap, which is especially expedient when the limiting distribution of the estimator is unknown. However, despite its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Morgane Austern , Vasilis Syrgkanis

We propose a bootstrap-based test to detect a mean shift in a sequence of high-dimensional observations with unknown time-varying heteroscedasticity. The proposed test builds on the U-statistic based approach in Wang et al. (2022), targets…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-17 Teng Wu , Stanislav Volgushev , Xiaofeng Shao

Despite decades of research and recent progress in adaptive control and reinforcement learning, there remains a fundamental lack of understanding in designing controllers that provide robustness to inherent non-asymptotic uncertainties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Benjamin Gravell , Tyler Summers

Multidimensional scaling (MDS) is a family of methods that embed a given set of points into a simple, usually flat, domain. The points are assumed to be sampled from some metric space, and the mapping attempts to preserve the distances…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2014-03-05 Yonathan Aflalo , Anastasia Dubrovina , Ron Kimmel

We propose a multi-scale extension of conformal prediction, an approach that constructs prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees under minimal statistical assumptions. Classic conformal prediction relies on a single notion of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Ali Baheri , Marzieh Amiri Shahbazi

We propose a robust inferential procedure for assessing uncertainties of parameter estimation in high-dimensional linear models, where the dimension $p$ can grow exponentially fast with the sample size $n$. Our method combines the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-19 Tianqi Zhao , Mladen Kolar , Han Liu
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