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Recent advances in time-series forecasting increasingly rely on pre-trained foundation-style models. While these models often claim broad generalization, existing evaluation protocols provide limited evidence. Indeed, most current…

The field of time series forecasting is rapidly advancing, with recent large-scale Transformers and lightweight Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) models showing strong predictive performance. However, conventional Transformer models are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-13 Zheng Zhou , Yu-Jie Xiong , Jia-Chen Zhang , Chun-Ming Xia , Xi-Jiong Xie

Accurate network traffic forecasting is essential for Internet Service Providers (ISP) to optimize resources, enhance user experience, and mitigate anomalies. This study evaluates state-of-the-art deep learning models on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Josef Koumar , Timotej Smoleň , Kamil Jeřábek , Tomáš Čejka

Recently, Transformer-base models have made significant progress in the field of time series prediction which have achieved good results and become baseline models beyond Dlinear. The paper proposes an U-Net time series prediction model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Li Chu , Xiao Bingjia , Yuan Qiping

Prediction of couriers' delivery timely rates in advance is essential to the logistics industry, enabling companies to take preemptive measures to ensure the normal operation of delivery services. This becomes even more critical during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Jinhui Yi , Huan Yan , Haotian Wang , Jian Yuan , Yong Li

Time series analysis is critical for emerging net- work intelligent control and management functions. However, existing statistical-based and shallow machine learning models have shown limited prediction capabilities on multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Yufeng Xin , Ethan Fan

This paper is concerned with online time series forecasting, where unknown distribution shifts occur over time, i.e., latent variables influence the mapping from historical to future observations. To develop an automated way of online time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Zijian Li , Changze Zhou , Minghao Fu , Sanjay Manjunath , Fan Feng , Guangyi Chen , Yingyao Hu , Ruichu Cai , Kun Zhang

We present online prediction methods for time series that let us explicitly handle nonstationary artifacts (e.g. trend and seasonality) present in most real time series. Specifically, we show that applying appropriate transformations to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-28 Christopher Xie , Avleen Bijral , Juan Lavista Ferres

Timely and accurate forecasts of severe weather events are essential for early warning and for constraining downstream analysis and decision-making. Since severe weather events prediction still depends on subjective, time-consuming expert…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Shuo Tang , Jian Xu , Jiadong Zhang , Yi Chen , Qizhao Jin , Lingdong Shen , Chenglin Liu , Shiming Xiang

Time series analysis is of immense importance in extensive applications, such as weather forecasting, anomaly detection, and action recognition. This paper focuses on temporal variation modeling, which is the common key problem of extensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Haixu Wu , Tengge Hu , Yong Liu , Hang Zhou , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Recurrent and convolutional neural networks are the most common architectures used for time series forecasting in deep learning literature. These networks use parameter sharing by repeating a set of fixed architectures with fixed parameters…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Joel Janek Dabrowski , YiFan Zhang , Ashfaqur Rahman

Accurate short-term warnings for extreme precipitation are critical for global disaster mitigation but are hindered by a persistent predictability barrier at the 2-6 hour horizon -- the "nowcasting gray zone." In this window, traditional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-29 Haofei Sun , Yunfan Yang , Wei Han , Wei Huang , Huaguan Chen , Zhiqiu Gao , Zeting Li , Zhaoyang Huo , Zeyi Niu

Time-series forecasting is crucial for numerous real-world applications including weather prediction and financial market modeling. While temporal-domain methods remain prevalent, frequency-domain approaches can effectively capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Zhixuan Li , Naipeng Chen , Seonghwa Choi , Sanghoon Lee , Weisi Lin

Intelligent transportation systems (ITS) still have a hard time accurately predicting traffic in cities, especially in big, multimodal settings with complicated spatiotemporal dynamics. This paper presents HybridST, a hybrid architecture…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-05 Ismail Zrigui , Samira Khoulji , Mohamed Larbi Kerkeb

Non-stationarity is an intrinsic property of real-world time series and plays a crucial role in time series forecasting. Previous studies primarily adopt instance normalization to attenuate the non-stationarity of original series for better…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Tianyu Jia , Zongxia Xie , Yanru Sun , Dilfira Kudrat , Qinghua Hu

Anomaly detection in network traffic is crucial for maintaining the security of computer networks and identifying malicious activities. One of the primary approaches to anomaly detection are methods based on forecasting. Nevertheless,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Josef Koumar , Karel Hynek , Tomáš Čejka , Pavel Šiška

Many organisations manage service quality and monitor a large set devices and servers where each entity is associated with telemetry or physical sensor data series. Recently, various methods have been proposed to detect behavioural…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-05-10 Len Feremans , Boris Cule , Bart Goethals

Spatio-temporal traffic forecasting is a core component of intelligent transportation systems, supporting various downstream tasks such as signal control and network-level traffic management. In real-world deployments, forecasting models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Yue Wang , Areg Karapetyan , Djellel Difallah , Samer Madanat

Extreme events frequently occur in real-world time series and often carry significant practical implications. In domains such as climate and healthcare, these events, such as floods, heatwaves, or acute medical episodes, can lead to serious…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Quan Li , Wenchao Yu , Suhang Wang , Minhua Lin , Lingwei Chen , Wei Cheng , Haifeng Chen

We focus on solving the univariate times series point forecasting problem using deep learning. We propose a deep neural architecture based on backward and forward residual links and a very deep stack of fully-connected layers. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-24 Boris N. Oreshkin , Dmitri Carpov , Nicolas Chapados , Yoshua Bengio
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