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Transformer-based architectures have achieved remarkable success in natural language processing and computer vision. However, their performance in multivariate long-term forecasting often falls short compared to simpler linear baselines.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Dizhen Liang

Traffic pattern prediction has emerged as a promising approach for efficiently managing and mitigating the impacts of event-driven bursty traffic in massive machine-type communication (mMTC) networks. However, achieving accurate predictions…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-25 Hossein Mehri , Hao Chen , Hani Mehrpouyan

Time-Series (TS) exhibits pronounced non-stationarity. Consequently, most forecasting methods display compromised robustness to concept drift, despite the prevalent application of instance normalization. We tackle this challenge by first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Daojun Liang , Jing Chen , Xiao Wang , Yinglong Wang , Shuo Li

In this work, we consider the case where a source with bursty traffic can adjust the transmission duration in order to increase the reliability. The source is equipped with a queue in order to store the arriving packets. We model the system…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Nikolaos Pappas

Non-stationarity poses significant challenges for multivariate time series forecasting due to the inherent short-term fluctuations and long-term trends that can lead to spurious regressions or obscure essential long-term relationships. Most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Peiyuan Liu , Beiliang Wu , Yifan Hu , Naiqi Li , Tao Dai , Jigang Bao , Shu-tao Xia

In this paper, we present a novel hybrid deep learning model, named ConvLSTMTransNet, designed for time series prediction, with a specific application to internet traffic telemetry. This model integrates the strengths of Convolutional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Sajal Saha , Saikat Das , Glaucio H. S. Carvalho

Distributed machine learning is becoming increasingly popular for geo-distributed data analytics, facilitating the collaborative analysis of data scattered across data centers in different regions. This paradigm eliminates the need for…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Zonghang Li , Wenjiao Feng , Weibo Cai , Hongfang Yu , Long Luo , Gang Sun , Hongyang Du , Dusit Niyato

Storm surge forecasting remains a critical challenge in mitigating the impacts of tropical cyclones on coastal regions, particularly given recent trends of rapid intensification and increasing nearshore storm activity. Traditional high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Noujoud Nader , Stefanos Giaremis , Clint Dawson , Carola Kaiser , Karame Mohammadiporshokooh , Hartmut Kaiser

Internet speed tests are indispensable for users, ISPs, and policymakers, but their static flooding-based design imposes growing costs: a single high-speed test can transfer hundreds of MB, and collectively, platforms like Ookla, M-Lab, and…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Haarika Manda , Manshi Sagar , Yogesh , Kartikay Singh , Cindy Zhao , Tarun Mangla , Phillipa Gill , Elizabeth Belding , Arpit Gupta

Precipitation nowcasting, which aims to precisely predict the short-term rainfall intensity of a local region, is gaining increasing attention in the artificial intelligence community. Existing deep learning-based algorithms use a single…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-11-26 Yuan Cao , Qiuying Li , Hongming Shan , Zhizhong Huang , Lei Chen , Leiming Ma , Junping Zhang

Forecasting rare events in multivariate time-series data is challenging due to severe class imbalance, long-range dependencies, and distributional uncertainty. We introduce EVEREST, a transformer-based architecture for probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Antanas Zilinskas , Robert N. Shorten , Jakub Marecek

Road traffic forecasting plays a critical role in smart city initiatives and has experienced significant advancements thanks to the power of deep learning in capturing non-linear patterns of traffic data. However, the promising results…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Xu Liu , Yutong Xia , Yuxuan Liang , Junfeng Hu , Yiwei Wang , Lei Bai , Chao Huang , Zhenguang Liu , Bryan Hooi , Roger Zimmermann

Telemetry streams from large-scale Internet-connected systems (e.g., IoT deployments and online platforms) naturally form an irregular multivariate time series (IMTS) whose accurate forecasting is operationally vital. A closer examination…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Ziyu Zhou , Yuchen Fang , Weilin Ruan , Shiyu Wang , James Kwok , Yuxuan Liang

Recently, multivariate time series forecasting tasks have garnered increasing attention due to their significant practical applications, leading to the emergence of various deep forecasting models. However, real-world time series exhibit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Jiaxi Hu , Qingsong Wen , Sijie Ruan , Li Liu , Yuxuan Liang

We propose Echo State Networks (ESNs) to predict the statistics of extreme events in a turbulent flow. We train the ESNs on small datasets that lack information about the extreme events. We asses whether the networks are able to extrapolate…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-04-13 Alberto Racca , Luca Magri

The abnormal fluctuations in network traffic may indicate potential security threats or system failures. Therefore, efficient network traffic prediction and anomaly detection methods are crucial for network security and traffic management.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Yujun Zhang , Runlong Li , Xiaoxiang Liang , Xinhao Yang , Tian Su , Bo Liu , Yan Zhou

Accurate and timely estimation of precipitation is critical for issuing hazard warnings (e.g., for flash floods or landslides). Current remotely sensed precipitation products have a few hours of latency, associated with the acquisition and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-20 Mohammad Reza Ehsani , Ariyan Zarei , Hoshin V. Gupta , Kobus Barnard , Ali Behrangi

We present a simple model to predict network activity at the edge level, by extending a known approximation method to compute Betweenness Centrality (BC) with a repulsive mechanism to prevent unphysical densities. By taking into account the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-12-06 Marco Cogoni , Giovanni Busonera

Continuous stress forecasting could potentially contribute to lifestyle interventions. This paper presents a novel, explainable, and individualized approach for stress prediction using physiological data from consumer-grade smartwatches. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Xueyi Wang , Claudine J. C. Lamoth , Elisabeth Wilhelm

Traffic Engineering (TE) is critical for improving network performance and reliability. A key challenge in TE is the management of sudden traffic bursts. Existing TE schemes either do not handle traffic bursts or uniformly guard against…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Ximeng Liu , Shizhen Zhao , Yong Cui , Xinbing Wang