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Deep neural networks have seen enormous success in various real-world applications. Beyond their predictions as point estimates, increasing attention has been focused on quantifying the uncertainty of their predictions. In this review, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-06 Chengyu Dong

This paper proposes a paradigm of uncertainty injection for training deep learning model to solve robust optimization problems. The majority of existing studies on deep learning focus on the model learning capability, while assuming the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Wei Cui , Wei Yu

So-called unsupervised anomaly detection is better described as semi-supervised, as it assumes all training data are nominal. This assumption simplifies training but requires manual data curation, introducing bias and limiting adaptability.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Muhammad Aqeel , Shakiba Sharifi , Marco Cristani , Francesco Setti

Deep neural networks achieve high accuracy on image classification tasks. Yet, they often produce overconfident predictions as which fail to express epistemic uncertainty, and frequently violate logical or structural constraints present in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Ezel Kilicdere , Shireen Kudukkil Manchingal , Fabio Cuzzolin

Data-driven forecasts of air quality have recently achieved more accurate short-term predictions. Despite their success, most of the current data-driven solutions lack proper quantifications of model uncertainty that communicate how much to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Abdulmajid Murad , Frank Alexander Kraemer , Kerstin Bach , Gavin Taylor

In system development, epistemic uncertainty is an ever-present possibility when reasoning about the causal factors during hazard analysis. Such uncertainty is common when complicated systems interact with one another, and it is dangerous…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2017-10-20 Chris Leong , Tim Kelly , Rob Alexander

Deep learning models have demonstrated remarkable success in various fields, including seismology. However, one major challenge in deep learning is the presence of mislabeled examples. Additionally, accurately estimating model uncertainty…

Deep learning provides a powerful tool for machine perception when the observations resemble the training data. However, real-world robotic systems must react intelligently to their observations even in unexpected circumstances. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-31 Rowan McAllister , Gregory Kahn , Jeff Clune , Sergey Levine

Ensuring the reliability of automated decision-making based on neural networks will be crucial as Artificial Intelligence systems are deployed more widely in critical situations. This paper proposes a new approach for measuring confidence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Daniel Sikar , Artur d'Avila Garcez , Tillman Weyde

Modern digital applications extensively integrate Artificial Intelligence models into their core systems, offering significant advantages for automated decision-making. However, these AI-based systems encounter reliability and safety…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Marcos Barcina-Blanco , Jesus L. Lobo , Pablo Garcia-Bringas , Javier Del Ser

Despite much research targeted at enabling conventional machine learning models to continually learn tasks and data distributions sequentially without forgetting the knowledge acquired, little effort has been devoted to account for more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Sandra Servia-Rodriguez , Cecilia Mascolo , Young D. Kwon

Neural networks are used for many real world applications, but often they have problems estimating their own confidence. This is particularly problematic for computer vision applications aimed at making high stakes decisions with humans and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-19 Matias Valdenegro-Toro

Recent breakthroughs in machine and deep learning (ML and DL) research have provided excellent tools for leveraging enormous amounts of data and optimizing huge models with millions of parameters to obtain accurate networks for image…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Mohammadreza Amirian

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are known to produce incorrect predictions with very high confidence on out-of-distribution inputs (OODs). This limitation is one of the key challenges in the adoption of DNNs in high-assurance systems such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-21 Ramneet Kaur , Susmit Jha , Anirban Roy , Sangdon Park , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee

We present a sampling-free approach for computing the epistemic uncertainty of a neural network. Epistemic uncertainty is an important quantity for the deployment of deep neural networks in safety-critical applications, since it represents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-04 Janis Postels , Francesco Ferroni , Huseyin Coskun , Nassir Navab , Federico Tombari

Quantifying model uncertainty is critical for understanding prediction reliability, yet distinguishing between aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty remains challenging. We extend recent work from classification to regression to provide a…

Vision-Language Models (VLMs) are typically deterministic in nature and lack intrinsic mechanisms to quantify epistemic uncertainty, which reflects the model's lack of knowledge or ignorance of its own representations. We theoretically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Li Ju , Mayank Nautiyal , Andreas Hellander , Ekta Vats , Prashant Singh

Popular approaches for quantifying predictive uncertainty in deep neural networks often involve distributions over weights or multiple models, for instance via Markov Chain sampling, ensembling, or Monte Carlo dropout. These techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Dennis Ulmer , Christian Hardmeier , Jes Frellsen

Effective quantification of uncertainty is an essential and still missing step towards a greater adoption of deep-learning approaches in different applications, including mission-critical ones. In particular, investigations on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Marco Forgione , Dario Piga

Assessing uncertainty is an important step towards ensuring the safety and reliability of machine learning systems. Existing uncertainty estimation techniques may fail when their modeling assumptions are not met, e.g. when the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-24 Volodymyr Kuleshov , Stefano Ermon