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We propose the spatial-temporal aggregated predictor (STAP) modeling framework to address measurement and estimation issues that arise when assessing the relationship between built environment features (BEF) and health outcomes. Many BEFs…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-25 Adam Peterson , Jana Hirsch , Brisa Sanchez

Monitoring small-area geographical population trends in opioid mortality has large scale implications to informing preventative resource allocation. A common approach to obtain small area estimates of opioid mortality is to use a standard…

Small area estimation (SAE) entails estimating characteristics of interest for domains, often geographical areas, in which there may be few or no samples available. SAE has a long history and a wide variety of methods have been suggested,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-19 Jon Wakefield , Taylor Okonek , Jon Pedersen

Accurate estimates of subnational health and demographic indicators are critical for informing health policy decisions. Many countries collect relevant data using complex household surveys, but when data are limited, direct survey weighted…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Peter A. Gao , Jon Wakefield

Health surveys allow exploring health indicators that are of great value from a public health point of view and that cannot normally be studied from regular health registries. These indicators are usually coded as ordinal variables and may…

Spatial epidemiology identifies the drivers of elevated population-level disease risks, using disease counts, exposures and known confounders at the areal unit level. Poisson regression models are typically used for inference, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Duncan Lee , Vinny Davies

Improving health in the most disadvantaged populations requires reliable estimates of health and demographic indicators to inform policy and interventions. Low- and middle-income countries with the largest burden of disease and disability…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Austin E Schumacher , Jon Wakefield

This paper presents an approach for predicting the self-rated health of individuals in a future population utilising the individuals' socio-economic characteristics. An open-source microsimulation is used to project Ireland's population…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Seán Caulfield Curley , Karl Mason , Patrick Mannion

Effectively medication recommendation with complex multimorbidity conditions is a critical task in healthcare. Most existing works predicted medications based on longitudinal records, which assumed the information transmitted patterns of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Sicen Liu , Xiaolong Wang , JIngcheng Du , Yongshuai Hou , Xianbing Zhao , Hui Xu , Hui Wang , Yang Xiang , Buzhou Tang

This work proposes a two-step method to enhance disease risk estimation in small areas by integrating spatiotemporal cluster detection within a Bayesian hierarchical spatiotemporal model. First, we introduce an efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 G. Santafé , A. Adin , M. D. Ugarte

Motivated by analyzing a national data base of annual air pollution and cardiovascular disease mortality rate for 3100 counties in the U.S. (areal data), we develop a novel statistical framework to automatically detect spatially varying…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-19 Shuo Chen , Chengsheng Jiang , Lance Waller

A novel predictive modeling framework for the spread of infectious diseases using high dimensional partial differential equations is developed and implemented. A scalar function representing the infected population is defined on a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-06 Sashikumaar Ganesan , Deepak Subramani

Wildland fire smoke exposures are an increasing threat to public health, and thus there is a growing need for studying the effects of protective behaviors on reducing health outcomes. Emerging smartphone applications provide unprecedented…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-09 Lili Wu , Chenyin Gao , Shu Yang , Brian J. Reich , Ana G. Rappold

Accurate subnational estimation of health indicators is critical for public health planning, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), where data and analytic tools are often limited. sae4health is an open-access Shiny…

Computation · Statistics 2025-09-30 Yunhan Wu , Qianyu Dong , Jieyi Xu , Zehang Richard Li , Jon Wakefield

National Forest Inventory (NFI) data are typically limited to sparse networks of sample locations due to cost constraints. While design-based estimators provide reliable forest parameter estimates for large areas, there is increasing…

Because of its important role in health policy-shaping, population health monitoring (PHM) is considered a fundamental block for public health services. However, traditional public health data collection approaches, such as…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-05 Dawei Chen , Jiangtao Wang , Wenjie Ruan , Qiang Ni , Sumi Helal

Small area estimation (SAE) improves estimates for local communities or groups, such as counties, neighborhoods, or demographic subgroups, when data are insufficient for each area. This is important for targeting local resources and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-28 Rayleigh Lei , Yajuan Si

Prior works have demonstrated many advantages of cumulative statistics over the classical methods of reliability diagrams, ECEs (empirical, estimated, or expected calibration errors), and ICIs (integrated calibration indices). The…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-13 Mark Tygert

Unsupervised Domain Adaptation (UDA) is essential for deploying medical segmentation models across diverse clinical environments. Existing methods are fundamentally limited, suffering from semantically unaware feature alignment that results…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Linkuan Zhou , Yinghao Xia , Yufei Shen , Xiangyu Li , Wenjie Du , Cong Cong , Leyi Wei , Ran Su , Qiangguo Jin

Estimating health indicators for restricted sub-populations is a recurring challenge in epidemiology and public health. When survey data are used, Small Area Estimation (SAE) methods can improve precision by borrowing strength across…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-28 Aldo Gardini , Lorenzo Mori
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