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Related papers: Uniform Convergence Beyond Glivenko-Cantelli

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In this paper, we study uniform ensemble controllability (UEC) of linear ensemble systems defined in an infinite-dimensional space through finite-dimensional settings. Specifically, with the help of the Stone-Weierstrass theorem for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-30 Wei Miao , Gong Cheng , Jr-Shin Li

We introduce a new notion of regularity of an estimator called median regularity. We prove that uniformly valid (honest) inference for a functional is possible if and only if there exists a median regular estimator of that functional. To…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman

Distribution-free uncertainty estimation for ensemble methods is increasingly desirable due to the widening deployment of multi-modal black-box predictive models. Conformal prediction is one approach that avoids such distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Eduardo Ochoa Rivera , Yash Patel , Ambuj Tewari

We consider the Grenander estimator that is the maximum likelihood estimator for non-increasing densities. We prove uniform central limit theorems for certain subclasses of bounded variation functions and for H\"older balls of smoothness…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-29 Jakob Söhl

This paper concerns the robust regression model when the number of predictors and the number of observations grow in a similar rate. Theory for M-estimators in this regime has been recently developed by several authors [El Karoui et al.,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-06 Daniel Nevo , Ya'acov Ritov

We extend a recently proposed 1-nearest-neighbor based multiclass learning algorithm and prove that our modification is universally strongly Bayes-consistent in all metric spaces admitting any such learner, making it an "optimistically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-01 Steve Hanneke , Aryeh Kontorovich , Sivan Sabato , Roi Weiss

We consider the problem of estimating the common mean of independently sampled data, where samples are drawn in a possibly non-identical manner from symmetric, unimodal distributions with a common mean. This generalizes the setting of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-09 Ankit Pensia , Varun Jog , Po-Ling Loh

We derive universal upper estimates for model-prediction error under moderate but otherwise unknown model uncertainty. Our estimates give upper bounds on the leading order trajectory-uncertainty arising along model trajectories, solely as…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-02-03 Bálint Kaszás , George Haller

We propose a general semi-supervised inference framework focused on the estimation of the population mean. As usual in semi-supervised settings, there exists an unlabeled sample of covariate vectors and a labeled sample consisting of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-15 Anru Zhang , Lawrence D. Brown , T. Tony Cai

Maximum regularized likelihood estimators (MRLEs) are arguably the most established class of estimators in high-dimensional statistics. In this paper, we derive guarantees for MRLEs in Kullback-Leibler divergence, a general measure of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-18 Rui Zhuang , Johannes Lederer

This note establishes convergence in mean of order $p$, $0<p\le 1$ for $d$-dimensional arrays of random vectors in Hilbert spaces under the Ces\`{a}ro uniform integrability conditions. In the case where $0<p<1$, our $L_p$ convergence is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Dat Thai Van

Universal supervised learning is considered from an information theoretic point of view following the universal prediction approach, see Merhav and Feder (1998). We consider the standard supervised "batch" learning where prediction is done…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-12-27 Yaniv Fogel , Meir Feder

The Vapnik-Chervonenkis dimension is a combinatorial parameter that reflects the "complexity" of a set of sets (a.k.a. concept classes). It has been introduced by Vapnik and Chervonenkis in their seminal 1971 paper and has since found many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-07-21 Shai Ben-David

We study the problem of generalized uniformity testing \cite{BC17} of a discrete probability distribution: Given samples from a probability distribution $p$ over an {\em unknown} discrete domain $\mathbf{\Omega}$, we want to distinguish,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-09-08 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Alistair Stewart

We propose a novel sampling-based federated learning framework for statistical inference on M-estimators with non-smooth objective functions, which frequently arise in modern statistical applications such as quantile regression and AUC…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Xiudi Li , Lu Tian , Tianxi Cai

The Generalized Central Limit Theorem is a remarkable generalization of the Central Limit Theorem, showing that the sum of a large number of independent, identically-distributed (i.i.d) random variables with infinite variance may converge…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-02-19 Ariel Amir

We analyze the extreme value dependence of independent, not necessarily identically distributed multivariate regularly varying random vectors. More specifically, we propose estimators of the spectral measure locally at some time point and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-05 Holger Drees

Solomonoff unified Occam's razor and Epicurus' principle of multiple explanations to one elegant, formal, universal theory of inductive inference, which initiated the field of algorithmic information theory. His central result is that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-11-09 Marcus Hutter

Machine learning (ML) models are increasingly being used in metrology applications. However, for ML models to be credible in a metrology context they should be accompanied by principled uncertainty quantification. This paper addresses the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Andrew Thompson

The problem is sequence prediction in the following setting. A sequence x1,..., xn,... of discrete-valued observations is generated according to some unknown probabilistic law (measure) mu. After observing each outcome, it is required to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-10-19 Daniil Ryabko
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