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We investigate SIR models with vital dynamics, reinfection, and randomness at the transmission coefficient and recruitment rate. Initially, we conduct an extensive analysis of the autonomous scenario, covering aspects such as local and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Javier López-de-la-Cruz , Alexandre N. Oliveira-Sousa

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model is the cornerstone of epidemiological models. However, this specification depends on two parameters only, which implies a lack of flexibility and the difficulty to replicate the volatile…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-17 Christian Gourieroux , Yang Lu

This paper presents a vaccination-based control strategy for a SEIR (susceptible plus infected plus infectious plus removed populations) propagation disease model. The model takes into account the total population amounts as a refrain for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-03-28 M. De la Sen , A. Ibeas , S. Alonso-Quesada

We develop a mechanistic model that classifies individuals both in terms of epidemiological status (SIR) and vaccination attitude (willing or unwilling), with the goal of discovering how disease spread is influenced by changing opinions…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-08-16 Yi Jiang , Kristin M. Kurianski , Jane HyoJin Lee , Yanping Ma , Daniel Cicala , Glenn Ledder

We present a series of SIR-network models, extended with a game-theoretic treatment of imitation dynamics which result from regular population mobility across residential and work areas and the ensuing interactions. Each considered…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-14 Sheryl L. Chang , Mahendra Piraveenan , Mikhail Prokopenko

Controlling and understanding epidemic outbreaks has recently drawn great interest in a large spectrum of research communities. Vaccination is one of the most well-established and effective strategies in order to contain an epidemic. In the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Sourin Chatterjee , Ahad N. Zehmakan

In this paper we consider SIR epidemics on random graphs with clustering. To incorporate group structure of the underlying social network, we use a generalized version of the configuration model in which each node is a member of a specified…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-15 Carolina Fransson , Pieter Trapman

SIR models, also with age structure, can be used to describe the evolution of an infective disease. A vaccination campaign influences this dynamics immunizing part of the susceptible individuals, essentially turning them into recovered…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Rinaldo M. Colombo , Mauro Garavello

We introduce a stochastic SIR-type partial differential equation model incorporating random diffusion, reinfection, vital dynamics, and a randomly varying transmission rate. For the associated random dynamical system, we prove the existence…

This paper presents a simple continuous-time linear vaccination-based control strategy for a SEIR (susceptible plus infected plus infectious plus removed populations) propagation disease model. The model takes into account the total…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-03-28 M. De la Sen , A. Ibeas , S. Alonso-Quesada

In this work we performed a numerical study of an epidemic model that mimics the endemic state of whooping cough in the pre-vaccine era. We considered a stochastic SIR model on dynamical networks that involve local and global contacts among…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-09 Martin Dottori , Gabriel Fabricius

A linearization-based feedback-control strategy for a SEIR epidemic model is discussed. The vaccination objective is the asymptotically tracking of the removed-by-immunity population to the total population while achieving simultaneously…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-03-24 M. De la Sen , A. Ibeas , S. Alonso-Quesada

In this paper, we consider a discrete-time stochastic SIR model, where the transmission rate and the true number of infectious individuals are random and unobservable. An advantage of this model is that it permits us to account for random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-30 Katia Colaneri , Camilla Damian , Rüdiger Frey

We propose two SIR models which incorporate sociological behavior of groups of individuals. It is these differences in behaviors which impose different infection rates on the individual susceptible populations, rather than biological…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Robert F. Allen , Katherine Heller , Matthew A. Pons

We study an optimal control problem where the objective is to find the best vaccine allocation during an epidemic outbreak. The epidemic dynamics is described by an age-structured SIR model with nonlocal interactions. Both the infection and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Luís Almeida , Romain Ducasse , Elisa Paparelli

Threshold theorem is probably the most important development of mathematical epidemic modelling. Unfortunately, some models may not behave according to the threshold. In this paper, we will focus on the final outcome of SIR model with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-03-06 Kurnia Susvitasari

Developing robust, quantitative methods to optimize resource allocations in response to epidemics has the potential to save lives and minimize health care costs. In this paper, we develop and apply a computationally efficient algorithm that…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-22 Edwin C. Yuan , David L. Alderson , Sean Stromberg , Jean M. Carlson

This paper investigates asymptotic behavior of a stochastic SIR epidemic model, which is a system with degenerate diffusion. It gives sufficient conditions that are very close to the necessary conditions for the permanence. In addition,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-24 N. T. Dieu , D. H. Nguyen , N. H. Du , G. Yin

We consider a SIR model with vaccination strategy on a sparse configuration model random graph. We show the convergence of the system when the number of nodes grows and characterize the scaling limits. Then, we prove the existence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-26 Emanuel Javier Ferreyra , Matthieu Jonckheere , Juan Pablo Pinasco

We study an optimal control problem for a non-autonomous SEIRS model with incidence given by a general function of the infective, the susceptible and the total population, and with vaccination and treatment as control variables. We prove…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-13 Joaquim P. Mateus , Paulo Rebelo , Silvério Rosa , César M. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres
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