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Clustering is an important exploratory data analysis technique to group objects based on their similarity. The widely used $K$-means clustering method relies on some notion of distance to partition data into a fewer number of groups. In the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-14 Yubo Zhuang , Xiaohui Chen , Yun Yang

We are interested in bounding probabilities of rare events in the context of computer experiments. These rare events depend on the output of a physical model with random input variables. Since the model is only known through an expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2012-03-21 Yves Auffray , Pierre Barbillon , Jean-Michel Marin

We present a new surrogate model for emulating the behavior of complex nonlinear dynamical systems with external stochastic excitation. The model represents the system dynamics in state space form through a sparse Kriging model. The…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Kai Chenga , Iason Papaioannoua , MengZe Lyub , Daniel Straub

Wasserstein dictionary learning is an unsupervised approach to learning a collection of probability distributions that generate observed distributions as Wasserstein barycentric combinations. Existing methods for Wasserstein dictionary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Marshall Mueller , Shuchin Aeron , James M. Murphy , Abiy Tasissa

We consider performing simulation experiments in the presence of covariates. Here, covariates refer to some input information other than system designs to the simulation model that can also affect the system performance. To make decisions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-28 Cheng Li , Siyang Gao , Jianzhong Du

Nowadays stochastic computer simulations with both numeral and distribution inputs are widely used to mimic complex systems which contain a great deal of uncertainty. This paper studies the design and analysis issues of such computer…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-26 Chunya Li , Xiaojun Cui , Shifeng Xiong

In spatial statistics, a common objective is to predict values of a spatial process at unobserved locations by exploiting spatial dependence. Kriging provides the best linear unbiased predictor using covariance functions and is often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-25 Wanfang Chen , Yuxiao Li , Brian J Reich , Ying Sun

Environmental monitoring is a task that requires to surrogate system-wide information with limited sensor readings. Under the proximity principle, an environmental monitoring system can be based on the virtual sensing logic and then rely on…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-17 M. Lambardi di San Miniato , R. Bellio , L. Grassetti , P. Vidoni

The squared Wasserstein distance is a natural quantity to compare probability distributions in a non-parametric setting. This quantity is usually estimated with the plug-in estimator, defined via a discrete optimal transport problem which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-30 Lenaic Chizat , Pierre Roussillon , Flavien Léger , François-Xavier Vialard , Gabriel Peyré

The quadratic Wasserstein metric has shown its power in measuring the difference between probability densities, which benefits optimization objective function with better convexity and is insensitive to data noise. Nevertheless, it is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-28 Zhengyang Li , Yijia Tang , Jing Chen , Hao Wu

With computational models becoming more expensive and complex, surrogate models have gained increasing attention in many scientific disciplines and are often necessary to conduct sensitivity studies, parameter optimization etc. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-24 Matthias Fischer , Carsten Proppe

We develop a general framework for statistical inference with the 1-Wasserstein distance. Recently, the Wasserstein distance has attracted considerable attention and has been widely applied to various machine learning tasks because of its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-16 Masaaki Imaizumi , Hirofumi Ota , Takuo Hamaguchi

Learning can be seen as approximating an unknown function by interpolating the training data. Kriging offers a solution to this problem based on the prior specification of a kernel. We explore a numerical approximation approach to kernel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-01 Houman Owhadi , Gene Ryan Yoo

We propose a novel approach to the problem of multilevel clustering, which aims to simultaneously partition data in each group and discover grouping patterns among groups in a potentially large hierarchically structured corpus of data. Our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-26 Viet Huynh , Nhat Ho , Nhan Dam , XuanLong Nguyen , Mikhail Yurochkin , Hung Bui , and Dinh Phung

The paper proposes a new approach to model risk measurement based on the Wasserstein distance between two probability measures. It formulates the theoretical motivation resulting from the interpretation of fictitious adversary of robust…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-05 Yu Feng , Erik Schlögl

In decommissioning projects of nuclear facilities, the radiological characterisation step aims to estimate the quantity and spatial distribution of different radionuclides. To carry out the estimation, measurements are performed on site to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-15 Martin Wieskotten , Marielle Crozet , Bertrand Iooss , Céline Lacaux , Amandine Marrel

In this paper, we explore a static setting for the assessment of risk in the context of mathematical finance and actuarial science that takes into account model uncertainty in the distribution of a possibly infinite-dimensional risk factor.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-13 Max Nendel , Alessandro Sgarabottolo

Gaussian processes (GP) and Kriging are widely used in traditional spatio-temporal mod-elling and prediction. These techniques typically presuppose that the data are observed from a stationary GP with parametric covariance structure.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-21 Pratik Nag , Ying Sun , Brian J Reich

We develop a kernel projected Wasserstein distance for the two-sample test, an essential building block in statistics and machine learning: given two sets of samples, to determine whether they are from the same distribution. This method…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Jie Wang , Rui Gao , Yao Xie

This paper addresses the use of experimental data for calibrating a computer model and improving its predictions of the underlying physical system. A global statistical approach is proposed in which the bias between the computer model and…

Applications · Statistics 2013-02-27 François Bachoc , Guillaume Bois , Josselin Garnier , Jean-Marc Martinez