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A new portmanteau test statistic is proposed for detecting nonlinearity in time series data. In this paper, we elaborate on the Toeplitz autocorrelation matrix to the autocorrelation and cross-correlation of residuals and squared residuals…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-01 Esam Mahdi , Thomas J. Fisher

We propose a new autocorrelation measure for functional time series that we term spherical autocorrelation. It is based on measuring the average angle between lagged pairs of series after having been projected onto the unit sphere. This new…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-14 Chi-Kuang Yeh , Gregory Rice , Joel A. Dubin

The Portmanteau test provides the vanilla method for detecting serial correlations in classical univariate time series analysis. The method is extended to the case of observations from a locally stationary functional time series. Asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-17 Axel Bücher , Holger Dette , Florian Heinrichs

We propose a difference-based nonparametric methodology for the estimation and inference of the time-varying auto-covariance functions of a locally stationary time series when it is contaminated by a complex trend with both abrupt and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Yan Cui , Michael Levine , Zhou Zhou

In this paper we consider portmanteau tests for testing the adequacy of multiplicative seasonal autoregressive moving-average (SARMA) models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent.We relax the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Abdoulkarim Ilmi Amir

In this article, we study the asymptotic behaviour of the residual autocorrelations for periodic vector autoregressive time series models (PVAR henceforth) with uncorrelated but dependent innovations (i.e., weak PVAR). We then deduce the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Yacouba Boubacar Mainassara , Eugen Ursu

This article introduces autocorrelograms for time series of point processes. Such time series usually arise when a longer temporal or spatio-temporal point process is sliced into smaller time units; for example, when an annual process is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-25 Daniel Gervini

This short study presents an opportunistic approach to a (more) reliable validation method for prediction uncertainty average calibration. Considering that variance-based calibration metrics (ZMS, NLL, RCE...) are quite sensitive to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-27 Pascal Pernot

We describe a family of conservative statistical tests for independence of two autocorrelated time series. The series may take values in any sets, and one of them must be stationary. A user-specified function quantifying the association of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-15 Kenneth D. Harris

Autoregressive and moving-average (ARMA) models with stable Paretian errors is one of the most studied models for time series with infinite variance. Estimation methods for these models have been studied by many researchers but the problem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-07 Jen-Wen Lin , A. Ian McLeod

This article proposes omnibus portmanteau tests for contrasting adequacy of time series models. The test statistics are based on combining the autocorrelation function of the conditional residuals, the autocorrelation function of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-02 Esam Mahdi

In high-dimensional time series, the component processes are often assembled into a matrix to display their interrelationship. We focus on detecting mean shifts with unknown change point locations in these matrix time series. Series that…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-16 Xinyu Zhang , Kung-Sik Chan

We propose a novel and unified framework for change-point estimation in multivariate time series. The proposed method is fully nonparametric, enjoys effortless tuning and is robust to temporal dependence. One salient and distinct feature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-12 Zifeng Zhao , Feiyu Jiang , Xiaofeng Shao

This work considers the problem of modified portmanteau tests for testing the adequacy of FARIMA models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent (i.e. weak FARIMA). We first study the joint…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-24 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Youssef Esstafa , Bruno Saussereau

In the common time series model $X_{i,n} = \mu (i/n) + \varepsilon_{i,n}$ with non-stationary errors we consider the problem of detecting a significant deviation of the mean function $\mu$ from a benchmark $g (\mu )$ (such as the initial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Holger Dette , Florian Heinrichs

Multivariate locally stationary functional time series provide a flexible framework for modeling complex data structures exhibiting both temporal and spatial dependencies while allowing for time-varying data generating mechanism. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-15 Lujia Bai , Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

In recent years many procedures have been proposed to check the anisotropy of a dataset. We present a new simple procedure, based on a scale dependent approach, to detect anisotropy signatures in a given distribution with particular…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-08-23 M. Scuderi , M. De Domenico , A. Insolia , H. Lyberis

We demonstrate that extremely rapid and weak periodic and non-periodic signals can easily be detected by using the autocorrelation of intensity as a function of time. We use standard radio-astronomical observations that have artificial…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-16 Ermanno F. Borra , Jonathan D. Romney , Eric Trottier

The paper presents a systematic theory for asymptotic inference of autocovariances of stationary processes. We consider nonparametric tests for serial correlations based on the maximum (or ${\cal L}^\infty$) and the quadratic (or ${\cal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Han Xiao , Wei Biao Wu

We derive tests of stationarity for univariate time series by combining change-point tests sensitive to changes in the contemporary distribution with tests sensitive to changes in the serial dependence. The proposed approach relies on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-21 Axel Bücher , Jean-David Fermanian , Ivan Kojadinovic
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