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In this paper we are interested in empirical likelihood (EL) as a method of estimation, and we address the following two problems: (1) selecting among various empirical discrepancies in an EL framework and (2) demonstrating that EL has a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-25 Marian Grendár , George Judge

This paper provides conditions under which subsampling and the bootstrap can be used to construct estimators of the quantiles of the distribution of a root that behave well uniformly over a large class of distributions $\mathbf{P}$. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh

We consider the problem of testing a null hypothesis defined by equality and inequality constraints on a statistical parameter. Testing such hypotheses can be challenging because the number of relevant constraints may be on the same order…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-19 Nils Sturma , Mathias Drton , Dennis Leung

We derive nonparametric confidence intervals for the eigenvalues of the Hessian at modes of a density estimate. This provides information about the strength and shape of modes and can also be used as a significance test. We use a…

We study the rate of convergence of the Mallows distance between the empirical distribution of a sample and the underlying population. The surprising feature of our results is that the convergence rate is slower in the discrete case than in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Richard Samworth , Oliver Johnson

We consider the issue of performing accurate small sample inference in beta autoregressive moving average model, which is useful for modeling and forecasting continuous variables that assumes values in the interval $(0,1)$. The inferences…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-16 Bruna Gregory Palm , Fábio M. Bayer

In this paper we develop a novel bootstrap test for the comparison of two multinomial distributions. The two distributions are called {\it equivalent} or {\it similar} if a norm of the difference between the class probabilities is smaller…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-16 Patrick Bastian , Holger Dette , Lukas Koletzko

For discrete-valued time series, predictive inference cannot be implemented through the construction of prediction intervals to some predetermined coverage level, as this is the case for real-valued time series. To address this problem, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Maxime Faymonville , Carsten Jentsch , Efstathios Paparoditis

In this paper we study the applicability of the bootstrap to do inference on Manski's maximum score estimator under the full generality of the model. We propose three new, model-based bootstrap procedures for this problem and show their…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-21 Rohit Kumar Patra , Emilio Seijo , Bodhisattva Sen

Statistical multispecies models of multiarea marine ecosystems use a variety of data sources to estimate parameters using composite or weighted likelihood functions with associated weighting issues and questions on how to obtain variance…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-16 Lorna Taylor , Verena M. Trenkel , Vojtech Kupca , Gunnar Stefansson

We propose a methodology for constructing confidence regions with partially identified models of general form. The region is obtained by inverting a test of internal consistency of the econometric structure. We develop a dilation bootstrap…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-10 Alfred Galichon , Marc Henry

Simulator-based models are models for which the likelihood is intractable but simulation of synthetic data is possible. They are often used to describe complex real-world phenomena, and as such can often be misspecified in practice.…

We advance the theory of parametric bootstrap in constructing highly efficient empirical best (EB) prediction intervals of small area means. The coverage error of such a prediction interval is of the order $O(m^{-3/2})$, where $m$ is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Yuting Chen , Masayo Y. Hirose , Partha Lahiri

Reliable uncertainty quantification remains a central challenge in predictive modeling. While Bayesian methods are theoretically appealing, their predictive intervals can exhibit poor frequentist calibration, particularly with small sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Graham Gibson

We consider the problem of finding confidence intervals for the risk of forecasting the future of a stationary, ergodic stochastic process, using a model estimated from the past of the process. We show that a bootstrap procedure provides…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-01 Robert Lunde , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

The limiting distribution for M-estimates in a non-stationary autoregressive model with heavy-tailed error is computationally intractable. To make inferences based on the M-estimates, the bootstrap procedure can be used to approximate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-09 Maryam Sohrabi , Mahmoud Zarepour

This paper develops valid bootstrap inference methods for the dynamic short panel threshold regression. We show that the standard nonparametric bootstrap is inconsistent for the first-differenced generalized method of moments (GMM)…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-18 Woosik Gong , Myung Hwan Seo

Inference in linear panel data models is complicated by the presence of fixed effects when (some of) the regressors are not strictly exogenous. Under asymptotics where the number of cross-sectional observations and time periods grow at the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-13 Ayden Higgins , Koen Jochmans

As an effective nonparametric method, empirical likelihood (EL) is appealing in combining estimating equations flexibly and adaptively for incorporating data information. To select important variables and estimating equations in the sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-02 Jiaqi Li , Liya Fu

Scientific modeling applications often require estimating a distribution of parameters consistent with a dataset of observations - an inference task also known as source distribution estimation. This problem can be ill-posed, however, since…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Julius Vetter , Guy Moss , Cornelius Schröder , Richard Gao , Jakob H. Macke
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