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While statistical learning methods have proved powerful tools for predictive modeling, the black-box nature of the models they produce can severely limit their interpretability and the ability to conduct formal inference. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-30 Lucas Mentch , Giles Hooker

The purpose of this paper is to show that the use of heavy-tailed distributions in Financial problems is theoretically baseless and can lead to significant misunderstandings. The reason for this the authors see in an incorrect…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Lev B Klebanov , Irina V Volchenkova

Score-based diffusion models have become a powerful framework for generative modeling, with score estimation as a central statistical bottleneck. Existing guarantees for score estimation largely focus on light-tailed targets or rely on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Yifeng Yu , Lu Yu

Deep learning algorithms are well-known to have a propensity for fitting the training data very well and often fit even outliers and mislabeled data points. Such fitting requires memorization of training data labels, a phenomenon that has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Vitaly Feldman , Chiyuan Zhang

Strong anomalous diffusion is {often} characterized by a piecewise-linear spectrum of the moments of displacement. The spectrum is characterized by slopes $\xi$ and $\zeta$ for small and large moments, respectively, and by the critical…

Instruction fine-tuning attacks pose a serious threat to large language models (LLMs) by subtly embedding poisoned examples in fine-tuning datasets, leading to harmful or unintended behaviors in downstream applications. Detecting such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Jiawei Li

In the time of Big Data, training complex models on large-scale data sets is challenging, making it appealing to reduce data volume for saving computation resources by subsampling. Most previous works in subsampling are weighted methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-14 Zifeng Wang , Hong Zhu , Zhenhua Dong , Xiuqiang He , Shao-Lun Huang

Random-effects models are frequently used to synthesise information from different studies in meta-analysis. While likelihood-based inference is attractive both in terms of limiting properties and of implementation, its application in…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis , Annamaria Guolo , Cristiano Varin

Influence diagnosis is an integrated component of data analysis, but is severely under-investigated in a high-dimensional setting. One of the key challenges, even in a fixed-dimensional setting, is how to deal with multiple influential…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-07 Junlong Zhao , Chao Liu , Lu Niu , Chenlei Leng

Model selection requires repeatedly evaluating models on a given dataset and measuring their relative performances. In modern applications of machine learning, the models being considered are increasingly more expensive to evaluate and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-21 Anant Raj , Cameron Musco , Lester Mackey , Nicolo Fusi

Every student in statistics or data science learns early on that when the sample size largely exceeds the number of variables, fitting a logistic model produces estimates that are approximately unbiased. Every student also learns that there…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Pragya Sur , Emmanuel J. Candes

We study the problem of linear regression where both covariates and responses are potentially (i) heavy-tailed and (ii) adversarially contaminated. Several computationally efficient estimators have been proposed for the simpler setting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Ankit Pensia , Varun Jog , Po-Ling Loh

This paper studies the finite sample performance of the flexible estimation approach of Farrell, Liang, and Misra (2021a), who propose to use deep learning for the estimation of heterogeneous parameters in economic models, in the context of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-20 Stephan Hetzenecker , Maximilian Osterhaus

This paper deals with the extreme value analysis for the triangular arrays, which appear when some parameters of the mixture model vary as the number of observations grow. When the mixing parameter is small, it is natural to associate one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-17 Vladimir Panov , Ekaterina Morozova

Quantile regression is an increasingly important empirical tool in economics and other sciences for analyzing the impact of a set of regressors on the conditional distribution of an outcome. Extremal quantile regression, or quantile…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-08 Victor Chernozhukov , Ivan Fernandez-Val

Despite extensive research spanning several decades, class imbalance is still considered a profound difficulty for both machine learning and deep learning models. While data oversampling is the foremost technique to address this issue,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Sukumar Kishanthan , Asela Hevapathige

In this paper, we address the important issue of uncertainty in the edge influence probability estimates for the well studied influence maximization problem --- the task of finding $k$ seed nodes in a social network to maximize the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-14 Wei Chen , Tian Lin , Zihan Tan , Mingfei Zhao , Xuren Zhou

In most data-scientific approaches, the principle of Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) is used to a posteriori justify some parametric model which has been already chosen based on experience, prior knowledge or computational simplicity. In a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-29 Orestis Loukas , Ho Ryun Chung

We investigate robust nonparametric regression in the presence of heavy-tailed noise, where the hypothesis class may contain unbounded functions and robustness is ensured via a robust loss function $\ell_\sigma$. Using Huber regression as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Yunlong Feng , Qiang Wu

Aggregated data in real world recommender applications often feature fat-tailed distributions of the number of times individual items have been rated or favored. We propose a model to simulate such data. The model is mainly based on social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-08-14 Marcel Blattner , Matus Medo
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