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Vine copulas are pair-copula constructions enabling multivariate dependence modeling in terms of bivariate building blocks. One of the main tasks of fitting a vine copula is the selection of a suitable tree structure. For this the prevalent…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-16 Daniel Kraus , Claudia Czado

A vine copula model is a flexible high-dimensional dependence model which uses only bivariate building blocks. However, the number of possible configurations of a vine copula grows exponentially as the number of variables increases, making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-05 Yi Sun , Alfredo Cuesta-Infante , Kalyan Veeramachaneni

Despite the major progress of deep models as learning machines, uncertainty estimation remains a major challenge. Existing solutions rely on modified loss functions or architectural changes. We propose to compensate for the lack of built-in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-27 Nataša Tagasovska , Firat Ozdemir , Axel Brando

Regular vine distributions which constitute a flexible class of multivariate dependence models are discussed. Since multivariate copulae constructed through pair-copula decompositions were introduced to the statistical community, interest…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-26 Jeffrey Dissmann , Eike Christian Brechmann , Claudia Czado , Dorota Kurowicka

Uncertain information on input parameters of reliability models is usually modeled by considering these parameters as random, and described by marginal distributions and a dependence structure of these variables. In numerous real-world…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-30 Nazih Benoumechiara , Bertrand Michel , Philippe Saint-Pierre , Nicolas Bousquet

The aim of this work is studying the use of copulas and vines in the optimization with Estimation of Distribution Algorithms (EDAs). Two EDAs are built around the multivariate product and normal copulas, and other two are based on…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-01-14 Marta Soto , Yasser González-Fernández , Alberto Ochoa

Learning from data that contain missing values represents a common phenomenon in many domains. Relatively few Bayesian Network structure learning algorithms account for missing data, and those that do tend to rely on standard approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-23 Yang Liu , Anthony C. Constantinou

Vine copulas are sophisticated models for multivariate distributions and are increasingly used in machine learning. To facilitate their integration into modern ML pipelines, we introduce the vine computational graph, a DAG that abstracts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Tuoyuan Cheng , Thibault Vatter , Thomas Nagler , Kan Chen

We demonstrate how the uncertainty of parameter point estimates can be assessed in a maximum likelihood framework in order to prevent overfitting and erroneous detection of time-inhomogeneity. The class of models we consider are regular…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-23 Jakob Stöber , Ulf Schepsmeier

We propose a novel structure selection method for high dimensional (d > 100) sparse vine copulas. Current sequential greedy approaches for structure selection require calculating spanning trees in hundreds of dimensions and fitting the pair…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-18 Dominik Müller , Claudia Czado

The majority of finite mixture models suffer from not allowing asymmetric tail dependencies within components and not capturing non-elliptical clusters in clustering applications. Since vine copulas are very flexible in capturing these…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-09 Özge Sahin , Claudia Czado

Quantile regression, that is the prediction of conditional quantiles, has steadily gained importance in statistical modeling and financial applications. The authors introduce a new semiparametric quantile regression method based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-17 Daniel Kraus , Claudia Czado

Regular vine copulas can describe a wider array of dependency patterns than the multivariate Gaussian copula or the multivariate Student's t copula. This paper presents two contributions related to model selection of regular vine copulas.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-04 Lutz Gruber , Claudia Czado

Vine copulas are a flexible tool for multivariate non-Gaussian distributions. For data from an observational study where the explanatory variables and response variables are measured together, a proposed vine copula regression method uses…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-30 Bo Chang , Harry Joe

Efficient Neural Architecture Search methods based on weight sharing have shown good promise in democratizing Neural Architecture Search for computer vision models. There is, however, an ongoing debate whether these efficient methods are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-17 Gabriel Bender , Hanxiao Liu , Bo Chen , Grace Chu , Shuyang Cheng , Pieter-Jan Kindermans , Quoc Le

Copulas are a powerful tool for modeling multivariate distributions as they allow to separately estimate the univariate marginal distributions and the joint dependency structure. However, known parametric copulas offer limited flexibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-11 Tim Janke , Mohamed Ghanmi , Florian Steinke

We propose a class of dynamic vine copula models. This is an extension of static vine copulas and a generalization of dynamic C-vine and D-vine copulas studied by Almeida et al (2016) and Goel and Mehra (2019). Within this class, we allow…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-05 Alexander Kreuzer , Claudia Czado

Vine copula models have become highly popular and practical tools for modelling multivariate probability distributions due to their flexibility in modelling different kinds of dependences between the random variables involved. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Dániel Pfeifer , Edith Alice Kovács

Regular vine sequences permit the organisation of variables in a random vector along a sequence of trees. Regular vine models have become greatly popular in dependence modelling as a way to combine arbitrary bivariate copulas into…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-28 Anna Kiriliouk , Jeongjin Lee , Johan Segers

The time-varying Vine Copula model has become a new direction in the Vine Copula class of models due to its time-varying structural parameters. We have observed that the Vine structures of the time-varying Vine Copula model currently used…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-16 XueZeng Yu
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