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We consider the problem in regression analysis of identifying subpopulations that exhibit different patterns of response, where each subpopulation requires a different underlying model. Unlike statistical cohorts, these subpopulations are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-25 Alexander New , Curt Breneman , Kristin P. Bennett

This work aims at providing a new model for time series classification based on learning from just one example. We assume that time series can be well characterized as a parametric random process, a sort of Hidden semi-Markov Model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-18 Adrián Pérez Herrero , Paulo Félix Lamas , Jesús María Rodríguez Presedo

To improve the physical understanding and the predictions of complex dynamic systems, such as ocean dynamics and weather predictions, it is of paramount interest to identify interpretable models from coarsely and off-grid sampled…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-05-04 Gert-Jan Both , Georges Tod , Remy Kusters

State-space models (SSMs) are a powerful statistical tool for modelling time-varying systems via a latent state. In these models, the latent state is never directly observed. Instead, a sequence of data points related to the state are…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-22 Benjamin Cox , Victor Elvira

Tabular datasets with low-sample-size or many variables are prevalent in biomedicine. Practitioners in this domain prefer linear or tree-based models over neural networks since the latter are harder to interpret and tend to overfit when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Junchen Yang , Ofir Lindenbaum , Yuval Kluger

Identifying the governing equations of a nonlinear dynamical system is key to both understanding the physical features of the system and constructing an accurate model of the dynamics that generalizes well beyond the available data. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Peter Y. Lu , Joan Ariño , Marin Soljačić

Compartmental models are valuable tools for investigating infectious diseases. Researchers building such models typically begin with a simple structure where compartments correspond to individuals with different epidemiological statuses,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-21 Darren Flynn-Primrose , Steven C. Walker , Michael Li , Benjamin M. Bolker , David J. D. Earn , Jonathan Dushoff

When data contains measurement errors, it is necessary to make assumptions relating the observed, erroneous data to the unobserved true phenomena of interest. These assumptions should be justifiable on substantive grounds, but are often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-24 Noam Finkelstein , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria , Ilya Shpitser

Compartmental models are used in epidemiology to capture the evolution of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 in a population by assigning members of it to compartments with labels such as susceptible, infected, and recovered. In a…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Tim Leys , Guillermo A. Perez

Dynamical systems modeling is a core pillar of scientific inquiry across natural and life sciences. Increasingly, dynamical system models are learned from data, rendering identifiability a paramount concept. For systems that are not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Cecilia Casolo , Sören Becker , Niki Kilbertus

This paper deals with the problem of estimating variables in nonlinear models for the spread of disease and its application to the COVID-19 epidemic. First unconstrained methods are revisited and they are shown to correspond to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-20 Mauricio C. de Oliveira

Sparse coding aims to model data vectors as sparse linear combinations of basis elements, but a majority of related studies are restricted to continuous data without spatial or temporal structure. A new model-based sparse coding (MSC)…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-24 Xin Xing , Rui Xie , Wenxuan Zhong

Many conventional statistical procedures are extremely sensitive to seemingly minor deviations from modeling assumptions. This problem is exacerbated in modern high-dimensional settings, where the problem dimension can grow with and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-27 Simon S. Du , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Aarti Singh

In the present paper, our goal is to establish a framework for the mathematical modelling and the analysis of the spread of an epidemic in a large population commuting regularly, typically along a time-periodic pattern, as is roughly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-29 Pierre-Alexandre Bliman , Boureima Sangaré , Assane Savadogo

Irregularly-sampled time series occur in many domains including healthcare. They can be challenging to model because they do not naturally yield a fixed-dimensional representation as required by many standard machine learning models. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Steven Cheng-Xian Li , Benjamin M. Marlin

We consider the problem of high-dimensional classification between the two groups with unequal covariance matrices. Rather than estimating the full quadratic discriminant rule, we propose to perform simultaneous variable selection and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-01 Irina Gaynanova , Tianying Wang

Deep neural networks have emerged as powerful tools for learning operators defined over infinite-dimensional function spaces. However, existing theories frequently encounter difficulties related to dimensionality and limited…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Jianfei Li , Shuo Huang , Han Feng , Ding-Xuan Zhou , Gitta Kutyniok

Many statistical inference problems correspond to recovering the values of a set of hidden variables from sparse observations on them. For instance, in a planted constraint satisfaction problem such as planted 3-SAT, the clauses are sparse…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Siqi Liu , Sidhanth Mohanty , Prasad Raghavendra

Standard Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) implicitly assume that the conditional independence among variables is common to all observations in the sample. However, in practice, observations are usually collected form heterogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-01-26 Abel Rodriguez , Alex Lenkoski , Adrian Dobra

Mathematical models of biological populations commonly use discrete structure classes to capture trait variation among individuals (e.g. age, size, phenotype, intracellular state). Upscaling these discrete models into continuum descriptions…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-18 Eleonora Agostinelli , Keith L. Chambers , Helen M. Byrne , Mohit P. Dalwadi