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While previous works have shown that machine learning (ML) can improve the prediction accuracy of coarse-grid climate models, these ML-augmented methods are more vulnerable to irregular inputs than the traditional physics-based models they…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-28 Clayton Sanford , Anna Kwa , Oliver Watt-Meyer , Spencer Clark , Noah Brenowitz , Jeremy McGibbon , Christopher Bretherton

The forecast accuracy of machine learning (ML) weather prediction models is improving rapidly, leading many to speak of a "second revolution in weather forecasting". With numerous methods being developed and limited physical guarantees…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-24 Olivier C. Pasche , Jonathan Wider , Zhongwei Zhang , Jakob Zscheischler , Sebastian Engelke

This paper presents a practical architecture for after-sales demand forecasting and monitoring that unifies a revenue- and cluster-aware ensemble of statistical, machine-learning, and deep-learning models with a role-driven analytics layer…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Saravanan Venkatachalam

In recent years, climate extremes such as floods have created significant environmental and economic hazards for Australia. Deep learning methods have been promising for predicting extreme climate events; however, large flooding events…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Rohitash Chandra , Arpit Kapoor , Siddharth Khedkar , Jim Ng , R. Willem Vervoort

Physics-based numerical models have been the bedrock of atmospheric sciences for decades, offering robust solutions but often at the cost of significant computational resources. Deep learning (DL) models have emerged as powerful tools in…

Probabilistic forecasting of infectious diseases is crucial for public health but relies on labor-intensive manual model curation by expert modeling teams. This bespoke development bottlenecks scalability to granular geographic resolutions…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Sarah Martinson , Michael P. Brenner , Martyna Plomecka , Brian P. Williams , Nicholas G. Reich , Zahra Shamsi

Diabetes remains a significant health challenge globally, contributing to severe complications like kidney disease, vision loss, and heart issues. The application of machine learning (ML) in healthcare enables efficient and accurate disease…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Mahade Hasan , Farhana Yasmin

Time series forecasting aims to model temporal dependencies among variables for future state inference, holding significant importance and widespread applications in real-world scenarios. Although deep learning-based methods have achieved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Zesen Wang , Lijuan Lan , Yonggang Li

We present a timely and novel methodology that combines disease estimates from mechanistic models with digital traces, via interpretable machine-learning methodologies, to reliably forecast COVID-19 activity in Chinese provinces in…

Atmospheric Extreme Events (EEs) cause severe damages to human societies and ecosystems. The frequency and intensity of EEs and other associated events are increasing in the current climate change and global warming risk. The accurate…

Rapid and accurate detection of community outbreaks is critical to address the threat of resurgent waves of COVID-19. A practical challenge in outbreak detection is balancing accuracy vs. speed. In particular, while estimation accuracy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Zhaowei She , Zilong Wang , Turgay Ayer , Asmae Toumi , Jagpreet Chhatwal

The parameterization of moist convection contributes to uncertainty in climate modeling and numerical weather prediction. Machine learning (ML) can be used to learn new parameterizations directly from high-resolution model output, but it…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-11-30 Paul A. O'Gorman , John G. Dwyer

Accurate forecasts of the number of newly infected people during an epidemic are critical for making effective timely decisions. This paper addresses this challenge using the SIMLR model, which incorporates machine learning (ML) into the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Roberto Vega , Leonardo Flores , Russell Greiner

The outburst of COVID-19 in late 2019 was the start of a health crisis that shook the world and took millions of lives in the ensuing years. Many governments and health officials failed to arrest the rapid circulation of infection in their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Mehrdad Fazli , Heman Shakeri

Epidemiological models are best suitable to model an epidemic if the spread pattern is stationary. To deal with non-stationary patterns and multiple waves of an epidemic, we develop a hybrid model encompassing epidemic modeling, particle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-01 Naresh Kumar , Seba Susan

During the COVID-19 pandemic, a significant effort has gone into developing ML-driven epidemic forecasting techniques. However, benchmarks do not exist to claim if a new AI/ML technique is better than the existing ones. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-08 Ajitesh Srivastava , Tianjian Xu , Viktor K. Prasanna

Most state-of-the-art approaches for weather and climate modeling are based on physics-informed numerical models of the atmosphere. These approaches aim to model the non-linear dynamics and complex interactions between multiple variables,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Tung Nguyen , Johannes Brandstetter , Ashish Kapoor , Jayesh K. Gupta , Aditya Grover

When extreme weather events affect large areas, their regional to sub-continental spatial scale is important for their impacts. We propose a novel machine learning (ML) framework that integrates spatial extreme-value theory to model weather…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-29 Jonathan Koh , Daniel Steinfeld , Olivia Martius

Smartphone sensing offers an unobtrusive and scalable way to track daily behaviors linked to mental health, capturing changes in sleep, mobility, and phone use that often precede symptoms of stress, anxiety, or depression. While most prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Kaidong Feng , Zhu Sun , Roy Ka-Wei Lee , Xun Jiang , Yin-Leng Theng , Yi Ding

Effective disaster management requires timely and accurate insights, yet traditional methods struggle to integrate multimodal data such as images, weather records, and textual reports. To address this, we propose DisasterNet-LLM, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Manaswi Kulahara , Gautam Siddharth Kashyap , Nipun Joshi , Arpita Soni