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Robust estimation for modern portfolio selection on a large set of assets becomes more important due to large deviation of empirical inference on big data. We propose a distributionally robust methodology for high-dimensional mean-variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-12 Ruike Wu , Yanrong Yang , Han Lin Shang , Huanjun Zhu

We introduce new mathematical methods to study the optimal portfolio size of investment portfolios over time, considering investors with varying skill levels. First, we explore the benefit of portfolio diversification on an annual basis for…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-26 Nick James , Max Menzies

We investigate whether sophisticated volatility estimation improves the out-of-sample performance of mean-variance portfolio strategies relative to the naive 1/N strategy. The portfolio strategies rely solely upon second moments. Using a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-15 Michael Curran , Patrick O'Sullivan , Ryan Zalla

This paper introduces a novel stochastic control framework to enhance the capabilities of automated investment managers, or robo-advisors, by accurately inferring clients' investment preferences from past activities. Our approach leverages…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Haoyang Cao , Zhengqi Wu , Renyuan Xu

Optimizing Conditional Value-at-risk (CVaR) using policy gradient (a.k.a CVaR-PG) faces significant challenges of sample inefficiency. This inefficiency stems from the fact that it focuses on tail-end performance and overlooks many sampled…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Yudong Luo , Erick Delage

We propose a fast and flexible method to scale multivariate return volatility predictions up to high-dimensions using a dynamic risk factor model. Our approach increases parsimony via time-varying sparsity on factor loadings and is able to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-15 Bruno P. C. Levy , Hedibert F. Lopes

This scientific paper propose a novel portfolio optimization model using an improved deep reinforcement learning algorithm. The objective function of the optimization model is the weighted sum of the expectation and value at risk(VaR) of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-30 Boyi Jin

We study optimal monetary policy when a central bank maximizes a quantile utility objective rather than expected utility. In our framework, the central bank's risk attitude is indexed by the quantile index level, providing a transparent…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-29 Gabriel Montes-Rojas , Fernando Toledo , Nicolás Bertholet , Kevin Corfield

This survey reviews portfolio selection problem for long-term horizon. We consider two objectives: (i) maximize the probability for outperforming a target growth rate of wealth process (ii) minimize the probability of falling below a target…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-28 Huyen Pham

We study the design of portfolios under a minimum risk criterion. The performance of the optimized portfolio relies on the accuracy of the estimated covariance matrix of the portfolio asset returns. For large portfolios, the number of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-20 Liusha Yang , Romain Couillet , Matthew R. McKay

We study the problem of optimal long term portfolio selection with a view to beat a benchmark. Two kinds of objectives are considered. One concerns the probability of outperforming the benchmark and seeks either to minimise the decay rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

The majority of standard approaches to financial portfolio optimization (PO) are based on the mean-variance (MV) framework. Given a risk aversion coefficient, the MV procedure yields a single portfolio that represents the optimal trade-off…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-27 Bruno Gašperov , Marko Đurasević , Domagoj Jakobovic

We analyze characteristics' joint predictive information through the lens of out-of-sample power utility functions. Linking weights to characteristics to form optimal portfolios suffers from estimation error which we mitigate by maximizing…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-05 Christopher G. Lamoureux , Huacheng Zhang

Quantitative Investment, built on the solid foundation of robust financial theories, is at the center stage in investment industry today. The essence of quantitative investment is the multi-factor model, which explains the relationship…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-10-15 Xuanwu Yue , Jiaxin Bai , Qinhan Liu , Yiyang Tang , Abishek Puri , Ke Li , Huamin Qu

This paper presents a deep reinforcement learning (DRL) framework for dynamic portfolio optimization under market uncertainty and risk. The proposed model integrates a Sharpe ratio-based reward function with direct risk control mechanisms,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-17 Emmanuel Lwele , Sabuni Emmanuel , Sitali Gabriel Sitali

In this paper, we implement and evaluate a conditional diffusion model for asset return prediction and portfolio construction on large-scale equity data. Our method models the full distribution of future returns conditioned on firm…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Avi Bagchi , Michael Tesfaye , Om Shastri

This paper considers the portfolio management problem of optimal investment, consumption and life insurance. We are concerned with time inconsistency of optimal strategies. Natural assumptions, like different discount rates for consumption…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-07-25 Ivar Ekeland , Oumar Mbodji , Traian A. Pirvu

We study the problem of active portfolio management where an investor aims to outperform a benchmark strategy's risk profile while not deviating too far from it. Specifically, an investor considers alternative strategies whose terminal…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Silvana Pesenti , Sebastian Jaimungal

In this paper, we consider the revealed preferences problem from a learning perspective. Every day, a price vector and a budget is drawn from an unknown distribution, and a rational agent buys his most preferred bundle according to some…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-11-20 Morteza Zadimoghaddam , Aaron Roth

We consider an optimal investment and risk control problem for an insurer under the mean-variance (MV) criterion. By introducing a deterministic auxiliary process defined forward in time, we formulate an alternative time-consistent problem…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-12 Yang Shen , Bin Zou
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