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Random matrix theory has become a widely useful tool in high-dimensional statistics and theoretical machine learning. However, random matrix theory is largely focused on the proportional asymptotics in which the number of columns grows…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Chen Cheng , Andrea Montanari

Modern neural networks are often operated in a strongly overparametrized regime: they comprise so many parameters that they can interpolate the training set, even if actual labels are replaced by purely random ones. Despite this, they…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-10 Andrea Montanari , Yiqiao Zhong

We provide a statistical analysis of regularization-based continual learning on a sequence of linear regression tasks, with emphasis on how different regularization terms affect the model performance. We first derive the convergence rate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Xuyang Zhao , Huiyuan Wang , Weiran Huang , Wei Lin

Standard conformal anomaly detection provides marginal finite-sample guarantees under the assumption of exchangeability . However, real-world data often exhibit distribution shifts, necessitating a weighted conformal approach to adapt to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-25 Oliver Hennhöfer , Christine Preisach

We study high-dimensional, ridge-regularized logistic regression in a setting in which the covariates may be missing or corrupted by additive noise. When both the covariates and the additive corruptions are independent and normally…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-03 Kabir Aladin Verchand , Andrea Montanari

We establish precise structural and risk equivalences between subsampling and ridge regularization for ensemble ridge estimators. Specifically, we prove that linear and quadratic functionals of subsample ridge estimators, when fitted with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-19 Pratik Patil , Jin-Hong Du

Regularized models are often sensitive to the scales of the features in the data and it has therefore become standard practice to normalize (center and scale) the features before fitting the model. But there are many different ways to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-04 Johan Larsson , Jonas Wallin

We study the supervised clustering problem under the two-component anisotropic Gaussian mixture model in high dimensions and in the non-asymptotic setting. We first derive a lower and a matching upper bound for the minimax risk of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Stanislav Minsker , Mohamed Ndaoud , Yiqiu Shen

Modern regression problems often involve high-dimensional data and a careful tuning of the regularization hyperparameters is crucial to avoid overly complex models that may overfit the training data while guaranteeing desirable properties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Maria-Florina Balcan , Saumya Goyal , Dravyansh Sharma

Ridge regression is a popular method for dense least squares regularization. In this work, ridge regression is studied in the context of VAR model estimation and inference. The implications of anisotropic penalization are discussed and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Giovanni Ballarin

Multicollinearity produces an inflation in the variance of the Ordinary Least Squares estimators due to the correlation between two or more independent variables (including the constant term). A widely applied solution is to estimate with…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-30 Román Salmerón Gómez , Catalina García García , José García Pérez

In deep learning, often the training process finds an interpolator (a solution with 0 training loss), but the test loss is still low. This phenomenon, known as benign overfitting, is a major mystery that received a lot of recent attention.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Mo Zhou , Rong Ge

We study a localized notion of uniform convergence known as an "optimistic rate" (Panchenko 2002; Srebro et al. 2010) for linear regression with Gaussian data. Our refined analysis avoids the hidden constant and logarithmic factor in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-09 Lijia Zhou , Frederic Koehler , Danica J. Sutherland , Nathan Srebro

Existing theory suggests that for linear regression problems categorized by capacity and source conditions, gradient descent (GD) is always minimax optimal, while both ridge regression and online stochastic gradient descent (SGD) are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-23 Jingfeng Wu , Peter L. Bartlett , Jason D. Lee , Sham M. Kakade , Bin Yu

Given a large number of covariates $Z$, we consider the estimation of a high-dimensional parameter $\theta$ in an individualized linear threshold $\theta^T Z$ for a continuous variable $X$, which minimizes the disagreement between…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Huijie Feng , Yang Ning , Jiwei Zhao

Regularization is an essential element of virtually all kernel methods for nonparametric regression problems. A critical factor in the effectiveness of a given kernel method is the type of regularization that is employed. This article…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-31 Lee H. Dicker , Dean P. Foster , Daniel Hsu

We study the generalization capability of nearly-interpolating linear regressors: $\boldsymbol{\beta}$'s whose training error $\tau$ is positive but small, i.e., below the noise floor. Under a random matrix theoretic assumption on the data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-13 Yutong Wang , Rishi Sonthalia , Wei Hu

This work studies finite-sample properties of the risk of the minimum-norm interpolating predictor in high-dimensional regression models. If the effective rank of the covariance matrix $\Sigma$ of the $p$ regression features is much larger…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-23 Florentina Bunea , Seth Strimas-Mackey , Marten Wegkamp

We consider fully row/column-correlated linear regression models and study several classical estimators (including minimum norm interpolators (GLS), ordinary least squares (LS), and ridge regressors). We show that \emph{Random Duality…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-14 Mihailo Stojnic

Overparametrization often helps improve the generalization performance. This paper presents a dual view of overparametrization suggesting that downsampling may also help generalize. Focusing on the proportional regime $m\asymp n \asymp p$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Xin Chen , Yicheng Zeng , Siyue Yang , Qiang Sun