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The temporal dynamics of social interactions were shown to influence the spread of disease. Here, we model the conditions of progression and competition for several viral strains, exploring various levels of cross-immunity over temporal…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-14 Alex Abbey , Yuval Shahar , Osnat Mokryn

Current modeling of infectious diseases allows for the study of complex and realistic scenarios that go from the population to the individual level of description. However, most epidemic models assume that the spreading process takes place…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-04-15 Joaquín Sanz , Cheng-Yi Xia , Sandro Meloni , Yamir Moreno

Diffusion processes are governed by external triggers and internal dynamics in complex systems. Timely and cost-effective control of infectious disease spread critically relies on uncovering the underlying diffusion mechanisms, which is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-09 Minkyoung Kim , Dean Paini , Raja Jurdak

Non-pharmacologic interventions (NPIs) are one method to mitigate the spread and effects of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States. NPIs promote protective actions to reduce exposure risk and can reduce mobility patterns within…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-16 Natalie Coleman , Xinyu Gao , Jared DeLeon , Ali Mostafavi

The behaviour of individuals is a main actor in the control of the spread of a communicable disease and, in turn, the spread of an infectious disease can trigger behavioural changes in a population. Here, we study the emergence of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-26 Mozhgan Khanjanianpak , Nahid Azimi-Tafreshi , Alex Arenas , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes

Interactions between COVID-19 and other pathogens may change their dynamics. Specifically, this may hinder the modelling of empirical data when the symptoms of both infections are hard to distinguish. We introduce a model coupling the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-24 Jorge P. Rodríguez , Víctor M. Eguíluz

Human behaviour strongly influences the spread of infectious diseases: understanding the interplay between epidemic dynamics and adaptive behaviours is essential to improve response strategies to epidemics, with the goal of containing the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-21 Marco Mancastroppa , Alessandro Vezzani , Vittoria Colizza , Raffaella Burioni

Diverse non-pharmacological interventions (NPIs), serving as the primary approach for COVID-19 control prior to pharmaceutical interventions, showed heterogeneous spatiotemporal effects on pandemic management. Investigating the dynamic…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-25 Binbin Lin , Yimin Dai , Lei Zou , Ning Ning

Social dilemmas where the good of a group is at odds with individual interests are usually considered as static -- the dilemma does not change over time. In the COVID-19 pandemic, social dilemmas occurred in the mitigation of epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-31 Lucas S. Flores , Amanda de Azevedo-Lopes , Chadi M. Saad-Roy , Arne Traulsen

The concept of the mutual influence that awareness and disease may exert on each other has recently presented significant challenges. The actions individuals take to prevent contracting a disease and their level of awareness can profoundly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Sara Shabani , Sahar Jafarbegloo , Sadegh Raeisi , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad

Records of social interactions provide us with new sources of data for understanding how interaction patterns affect collective dynamics. Such human activity patterns are often bursty, i.e., they consist of short periods of intense activity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Taro Takaguchi , Naoki Masuda , Petter Holme

The informational environment surrounding the Covid-19 pandemic has been widely recognized as fragmented, politicized, and complex [1]. This has resulted in polarized public views regarding the veracity of scientific communication, the…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Alex Rich , Cameron Yick , David Gotz

One approach to understand people's efforts to reduce disease transmission, is to consider the effect of behaviour on case rates. In this paper we present a spatial infection-reducing game model of public behaviour, formally equivalent to a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-05 James Burridge , Michal Gnacik

Human pathogens transmitted through environmental pathways are subject to stress and pressures outside of the host. These pressures may cause pathogen pathovars to diverge in their environmental persistence and their infectivity on an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-16 Andrew F. Brouwer , Marisa C. Eisenberg , Nancy G. Love , Joseph N. S. Eisenberg

Two factors that are often ignored but could play a crucial role in the progression of an infectious disease are the distributions of inherent susceptibility ($\sigma_{inh}$) and external infectivity ($\iota_{ext}$), in a given population.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-01 Saumyak Mukherjee , Sayantan Mondal , Biman Bagchi

Modeling epidemic dynamics plays an important role in studying how diseases spread, predicting their future course, and designing strategies to control them. In this letter, we introduce a model of SIR (susceptible-infected-removed) type…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-12-17 Li Chen , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Weiran Cai , Peter Grassberger

Motivated by the increasing number of COVID-19 cases that have been observed in many countries after the vaccination and relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions, we propose a mathematical model on time-varying networks for the spread…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-09 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

Motivated by the importance of individual differences in risk perception and behavior change in people's responses to infectious disease outbreaks (particularly the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic), we propose a heterogeneous…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-04 Yang Ye , Qingpeng Zhang , Zhongyuan Ruan , Zhidong Cao , Qi Xuan , Daniel Dajun Zeng

The spreading dynamics of infectious diseases is influenced by individual behaviours, which are in turn affected by the level of awareness about the epidemic. Modelling the co-evolution of disease transmission and behavioural changes within…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-27 Daniele Proverbio , Riccardo Tessarin , Giulia Giordano

To date, the only effective means to respond to the spreading of COVID-19 pandemic are non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), which entail policies to reduce social activity and mobility restrictions. Quantifying their effect is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-01 Francesco Parino , Lorenzo Zino , Maurizio Porfiri , Alessandro Rizzo