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Time-varying random objects have been increasingly encountered in modern data analysis. Moreover, in a substantial number of these applications, periodic behaviour of the random objects has been observed. We develop a novel procedure to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-27 Jiazhen Xu , Andrew T. A. Wood , Tao Zou

We introduce and test several novel approaches for periodicity detection in unevenly-spaced sparse datasets. Specifically, we examine five different kinds of periodicity metrics, which are based on non-parametric measures of serial…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-01-07 Shay Zucker

This paper introduces a novel uncertainty quantification framework for regression models where the response takes values in a separable metric space, and the predictors are in a Euclidean space. The proposed algorithms can efficiently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-09 Gábor Lugosi , Marcos Matabuena

Periodic and semi periodic patterns are very common in nature. In this paper we introduce a topological toolbox aiming in detecting and quantifying periodicity. The presented technique is of a general nature and may be employed wherever…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2019-05-30 Paweł Dłotko , Wanling Qiu , Simon Rudkin

The estimation of periodicity is a fundamental task in many scientific areas of study. Existing methods rely on theoretical assumptions that the observation times have equal or i.i.d. spacings, and that common estimators, such as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-01 Panos Toulis , Jacob Bean

In many applications, it is often of practical and scientific interest to detect anomaly events in a streaming sequence of high-dimensional or non-Euclidean observations. We study a non-parametric framework that utilizes nearest neighbor…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Lynna Chu , Hao Chen

Ongoing and future surveys with repeat imaging in multiple bands are producing (or will produce) time-spaced measurements of brightness, resulting in the identification of large numbers of variable sources in the sky. A large fraction of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-29 Abhijit Saha , A. Katherina Vivas

Data objects taking value in a general metric space have become increasingly common in modern data analysis. In this paper, we study two important statistical inference problems, namely, two-sample testing and change-point detection, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-11 Feiyu Jiang , Changbo Zhu , Xiaofeng Shao

The non-stationary evolution of observable quantities in complex systems can frequently be described as a juxtaposition of quasi-stationary spells. Given that standard theoretical and data analysis approaches usually rely on the assumption…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-18 S. Camargo , S. Duarte Queirós , C. Anteneodo

This work introduces a novel framework for quantifying the presence and strength of recurrent dynamics in video data. Specifically, we provide continuous measures of periodicity (perfect repetition) and quasiperiodicity (superposition of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-01-23 Christopher J. Tralie , Jose A. Perea

Detection of periodic patterns of interest within noisy time series data plays a critical role in various tasks, spanning from health monitoring to behavior analysis. Existing learning techniques often rely on labels or clean versions of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Berken Utku Demirel , Christian Holz

As a growing number of problems involve variables that are random objects, the development of models for such data has become increasingly important. This paper introduces a novel varying-coefficient Fr\'echet regression model that extends…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Yanzhao Wang , Jianqiang Zhang , Wangli Xu

Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is essential for various downstream tasks. Most existing approaches rely on the sequences being uniformly spaced and aligned across all variables. However, real-world multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yijun Li , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu

Functional data analysis offers a diverse toolkit of statistical methods tailored for analyzing samples of real-valued random functions. Recently, samples of time-varying random objects, such as time-varying networks, have been increasingly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-10 Jiazhen Xu , Andrew T. A. Wood , Tao Zou

Accurate quantification of model uncertainty has long been recognized as a fundamental requirement for trusted AI. In regression tasks, uncertainty is typically quantified using prediction intervals calibrated to a specific operating point,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Jiri Navratil , Benjamin Elder , Matthew Arnold , Soumya Ghosh , Prasanna Sattigeri

The detection of periodic signals in irregularly-sampled time series is a problem commonly encountered in astronomy. Traditional tools used for periodic searches, such as the periodogram, have poorly defined statistical properties under…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-13 A. Gúrpide , M. Middleton

Uncertainty quantification has been a core of the statistical machine learning, but its computational bottleneck has been a serious challenge for both Bayesians and frequentists. We propose a model-based framework in quantifying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Minsuk Shin , Young Lee , Jun S. Liu

The design of a metric between probability distributions is a longstanding problem motivated by numerous applications in Machine Learning. Focusing on continuous probability distributions on the Euclidean space $\mathbb{R}^d$, we introduce…

Many studies in uncertainty quantification have been carried out under the assumption of an input random field in which a countable number of independent random variables are each uniformly distributed on an interval, with these random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Vesa Kaarnioja , Frances Y. Kuo , Ian H. Sloan

The advent of data science has provided an increasing number of challenges with high data complexity. This paper addresses the challenge of space-time data where the spatial domain is not a planar surface, a sphere, or a linear network, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 Emilio Porcu , Philip A. White , Marc G. Genton
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