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A monopolist seller of multiple goods screens a buyer whose type is initially unknown to both but drawn from a commonly known distribution. The buyer privately learns about his type via a signal. We derive the seller's optimal mechanism in…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-05-27 Rahul Deb , Anne-Katrin Roesler

We develop a novel framework for costly information acquisition in which a decision-maker learns about an unobserved state by choosing a signal distribution, with the cost of information determined by the distribution of noise in the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-03-27 Peter Achim , Kemal Ozbek

This paper studies a dynamic information acquisition model with payoff externalities. Two players can acquire costly information about an unknown state before taking a safe or risky action. Both information and the action taken are private.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-07-08 Guo Bai

In many engineered systems, optimization is used for decision making at time-scales ranging from real-time operation to long-term planning. This process often involves solving similar optimization problems over and over again with slightly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-18 Sidhant Misra , Line Roald , Yeesian Ng

Robust optimization is a popular paradigm for modeling and solving two- and multi-stage decision-making problems affected by uncertainty. In many real-world applications, the time of information discovery is decision-dependent and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-24 Phebe Vayanos , Angelos Georghiou , Han Yu

The long-term impact of algorithmic decision making is shaped by the dynamics between the deployed decision rule and individuals' response. Focusing on settings where each individual desires a positive classification---including many…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-10-10 Lydia T. Liu , Ashia Wilson , Nika Haghtalab , Adam Tauman Kalai , Christian Borgs , Jennifer Chayes

We propose a learning dynamics to model how strategic agents repeatedly play a continuous game while relying on an information platform to learn an unknown payoff-relevant parameter. In each time step, the platform updates a belief estimate…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Manxi Wu , Saurabh Amin , Asuman Ozdaglar

This paper studies sequential information acquisition by an ambiguity-averse decision maker (DM), who decides how long to collect information before taking an irreversible action. The agent optimizes against the worst-case belief and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-10-06 Sarah Auster , Yeon-Koo Che , Konrad Mierendorff

Under certain circumstances such as lack of information or bounded rationality, human players can take decisions on which strategy to choose in a game on the basis of simple opinions. These opinions can be modified after each round by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Floriana Gargiulo , Jose J. Ramasco

In this paper, we wish to investigate the dynamics of information transfer in evolutionary dynamics. We use information theoretic tools to track how much information an evolving population has obtained and managed to retain about different…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-09 Nicholas Guttenberg

In this paper, we investigate discrete-time decision-making problems in uncertain systems with partially observed states. We consider a non-stochastic model, where uncontrolled disturbances acting on the system take values in bounded sets…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-18 Aditya Dave , Nishanth Venkatesh , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

Minimizing volatility and adjustment costs is of central importance in many economic environments, yet it is often complicated by evolving feasibility constraints. We study a decision maker who repeatedly selects an action from a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-18 Simon Jantschgi , Heinrich H. Nax , Bary S. R. Pradelski , Marek Pycia

In many real-world sequential decision making problems, the number of available actions (decisions) can vary over time. While problems like catastrophic forgetting, changing transition dynamics, changing rewards functions, etc. have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Yash Chandak , Georgios Theocharous , Chris Nota , Philip S. Thomas

Nature is in constant flux, so animals must account for changes in their environment when making decisions. How animals learn the timescale of such changes and adapt their decision strategies accordingly is not well understood. Recent…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-24 Zachary P. Kilpatrick , William R. Holmes , Tahra L. Eissa , Krešimir Josić

We study an optimal investment problem under default risk where related information such as loss or recovery at default is considered as an exogenous random mark added at default time. Two types of agents who have different levels of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-02 Ying Jiao , Idris Kharroubi

Sellers in online markets face the challenge of determining the right time to sell in view of uncertain future offers. Classical stopping theory assumes that sellers have full knowledge of the value distributions, and leverage this…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-06-30 Pieter Kleer , Johan van Leeuwaarden

As humans, our goals and our environment are persistently changing throughout our lifetime based on our experiences, actions, and internal and external drives. In contrast, typical reinforcement learning problem set-ups consider decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-19 Annie Xie , James Harrison , Chelsea Finn

An important question that often arises in the operation of networked systems is whether to collect the real-time data or to estimate them based on the previously collected data. Various factors should be taken into account such as how…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Jalal Arabneydi , Amir G. Aghdam

We study data-driven learning of robust stochastic control for infinite-horizon systems with potentially continuous state and action spaces. In many managerial settings--supply chains, finance, manufacturing, services, and dynamic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-18 Shengbo Wang , Jason Meng , Nian Si , Jose Blanchet , Zhengyuan Zhou

We consider adaptive decision-making problems where an agent optimizes a cumulative performance objective by repeatedly choosing among a finite set of options. Compared to the classical prediction-with-expert-advice set-up, we consider…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-10 Michael Muehlebach