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From biotechnology to cyber-risks, most extreme technological risks cannot be reliably estimated from historical statistics. Therefore, engineers resort to predictive methods, such as fault/event trees in the framework of probabilistic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-26 D. Sornette , T. Maillart , W. Kroeger

Although numerous machine learning models exist to detect issues like rolling bearing strain and deformation, typically caused by improper mounting, overloading, or poor lubrication, these models often struggle to isolate faults from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Diogo Risca , Afonso Lourenço , Goreti Marreiros

During a financial crisis, the capital markets network frequently exhibits a high correlation between returns. We developed a network analysis framework based on daily returns from 42 countries to determine systemic stability. Our network…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Supanat Kamtue , Pongsak Luangaram , Sirawit Woramongkhon

Power system robustness against high impact low probability events is becoming a major concern. To depict distinct phases of a system response during these disturbances, an irregular polygon model is derived from the conventional trapezoid…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-11 Giritharan Vijay Iswaran , Ramin Vakili , Mojdeh Khorsand

Event Tree (ET) analysis is a widely used forward deductive safety analysis technique for decision-making at a system design stage. Existing ET tools usually provide Graphical Users Interfaces (GUI) for users to manually draw system-level…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-23 Mohamed Abdelghany , Waqar Ahmad , Sofiene Tahar , Sowmith Nethula

In data analysis, latent variables play a central role because they help provide powerful insights into a wide variety of phenomena, ranging from biological to human sciences. The latent tree model, a particular type of probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-05 Raphaël Mourad , Christine Sinoquet , Nevin L. Zhang , Tengfei Liu , Philippe Leray

Survival analysis studies and predicts the time of death, or other singular unrepeated events, based on historical data, while the true time of death for some instances is unknown. Survival trees enable the discovery of complex nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Tim Huisman , Jacobus G. M. van der Linden , Emir Demirović

We introduce data to predictive control, D2PC, a framework to facilitate the design of robust and predictive controllers from data. The proposed framework is designed for discrete-time stochastic linear systems with output measurements and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-26 Haldun Balim , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Johannes Köhler

Dropout has been demonstrated as a simple and effective module to not only regularize the training process of deep neural networks, but also provide the uncertainty estimation for prediction. However, the quality of uncertainty estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Xinjie Fan , Shujian Zhang , Korawat Tanwisuth , Xiaoning Qian , Mingyuan Zhou

This paper presents a new state space generation approach for dynamic fault trees (DFTs) together with a technique to synthesise failures rates in DFTs. Our state space generation technique aggressively exploits the DFT structure ---…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2019-03-14 Matthias Volk , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen

Reliable and interpretable traffic crash modeling is essential for understanding causality and improving road safety. This study introduces a novel approach to predicting collision types by utilizing a comprehensive dataset fused from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Oscar Lares , Hao Zhen , Jidong J. Yang

This survey (re)introduces reinforcement learning methods to economists. The curse of dimensionality limits how far exact dynamic programming can be effectively applied, forcing us to rely on suitably "small" problems or our ability to…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-25 Pranjal Rawat

By exploiting the increasing surface attack of systems, cyber-attacks can cause catastrophic events, such as, remotely disable safety mechanisms. This means that in order to avoid hazards, safety and security need to be integrated,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-01-03 Vivek Nigam , Alexander Pretschner , Harald Ruess

Foundation models have revolutionized general-purpose problem-solving, offering rapid task adaptation through pretraining, meta-training, and finetuning. Recent crucial advances in these paradigms reveal the importance of challenging task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Qi Wang , Zehao Xiao , Yixiu Mao , Yun Qu , Jiayi Shen , Yiqin Lv , Xiangyang Ji

The vast majority of scientific contributions in the field of computational systems biology are based on mathematical models. These models can be broadly classified as either dynamic (kinetic) models or steady-state (constraint-based)…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-17 Moritz E. Beber

Our decision-making processes are becoming more data driven, based on data from multiple sources, of different types, processed by a variety of technologies. As technology becomes more relevant for decision processes, the more likely they…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-01-01 Tomasz Ostwald

A tremendous range of design tasks in materials, physics, and biology can be formulated as finding the optimum of an objective function depending on many parameters without knowing its closed-form expression or the derivative. Traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-08 Ye Wei , Bo Peng , Ruiwen Xie , Yangtao Chen , Yu Qin , Peng Wen , Stefan Bauer , Po-Yen Tung

The theory of complex networks and of disordered systems is used to study the stability and dynamical properties of a simple model of material flow networks defined on random graphs. In particular we address instabilities that are…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Kartik Anand , Tobias Galla

Dynamic Fault Trees (DFTs) is a widely used failure modeling technique that allows capturing the dynamic failure characteristics of systems in a very effective manner. Simulation and model checking have been traditionally used for the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-08-01 Yassmeen Elderhalli , Waqar Ahmad , Osman Hasan , Sofiene Tahar

Relation Extraction (RE) is one of the fundamental tasks in Information Extraction and Natural Language Processing. Dependency trees have been shown to be a very useful source of information for this task. The current deep learning models…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-07-09 Amir Pouran Ben Veyseh , Thien Huu Nguyen , Dejing Dou