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Dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) consist of a sequence of decision rules, one per stage of intervention, that finds effective treatments for individual patients according to patient information history. DTRs can be estimated from models…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-07 Zeyu Bian , Erica EM Moodie , Susan M Shortreed , Sahir Bhatnagar

Leveraging external or historical data to improve the efficiency of randomized clinical trials without introducing bias or inflating the Type I error rate remains challenging. Recent work on externally trained prognostic scores, such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-28 Junyi Zhou , Qing Liu , May Mo , Amy Xia

For time-to-event data with finitely many competing risks, the proportional hazards model has been a popular tool for relating the cause-specific outcomes to covariates [Prentice et al. Biometrics 34 (1978) 541--554]. This article studies…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-04 Yanqing Sun , Peter B. Gilbert , Ian W. McKeague

We provide a unified analysis of the predictive risk of ridge regression and regularized discriminant analysis in a dense random effects model. We work in a high-dimensional asymptotic regime where $p, n \to \infty$ and $p/n \to \gamma \in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-05 Edgar Dobriban , Stefan Wager

The Huber's criterion is a useful method for robust regression. The adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (lasso) is a popular technique for simultaneous estimation and variable selection. In the case of small sample size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-31 Laurent Zwald , Sophie Lambert-Lacroix

Causal inference across multiple data sources offers a promising avenue to enhance the generalizability and replicability of scientific findings. However, data integration methods for time-to-event outcomes, common in biomedical research,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-16 Yi Liu , Alexander W. Levis , Ke Zhu , Shu Yang , Peter B. Gilbert , Larry Han

In recent years, real-world external controls have grown in popularity as a tool to empower randomized placebo-controlled trials, particularly in rare diseases or cases where balanced randomization is unethical or impractical. However, as…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Chenyin Gao , Shu Yang , Mingyang Shan , Wenyu Ye , Ilya Lipkovich , Douglas Faries

When modelling competing risks survival data, several techniques have been proposed in both the statistical and machine learning literature. State-of-the-art methods have extended classical approaches with more flexible assumptions that can…

Designing randomized online algorithms that perform reliably not only in expectation but also under unfavorable realizations of randomness is a fundamental challenge in online decision-making. In this paper, we study this challenge in…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Hossein Nekouyan , Bo Sun , Raouf Boutaba , Xiaoqi Tan

Propensity score methods are increasingly being used to reduce estimation bias of treatment effects for observational studies. Previous research has shown that propensity score methods consistently estimate the marginal hazard ratio for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-19 Haodi Liang , Cecilia Cotton

In many high-dimensional prediction or classification tasks, complementary data on the features are available, e.g. prior biological knowledge on (epi)genetic markers. Here we consider tasks with numerical prior information that provide an…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-19 Armin Rauschenberger , Zied Landoulsi , Mark A. van de Wiel , Enrico Glaab

Most risk analysis models systematically underestimate the probability and impact of catastrophic events (e.g., economic crises, natural disasters, and terrorism) by not taking into account interconnectivity and interdependence of risks. To…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-10-17 Xin Lin , Alaa Moussawi , Gyorgy Korniss , Jonathan Z. Bakdash , Boleslaw K. Szymanski

We consider the problem of testing for differences in group-specific slopes between the selected groups in panel data identified via k-means clustering. In this setting, the classical Wald-type test statistic is problematic because it…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-07 Chuang Wan , Jiajun Sun , Xingbai Xu

We study the problem of detecting adverse drug events in electronic healthcare records. The challenge in this work is to aggregate heterogeneous data types involving diagnosis codes, drug codes, as well as lab measurements. An earlier…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-16 Maria Bampa , Panagiotis Papapetrou

Epidemiological approaches for examining human health responses to environmental exposures in observational studies often control for confounding by implementing clever matching schemes and using statistical methods based on conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-21 Jacob Englert , Stefanie Ebelt , Howard Chang

We propose a new approach to train a variational information bottleneck (VIB) that improves its robustness to adversarial perturbations. Unlike the traditional methods where the hard labels are usually used for the classification task, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Weizhu Qian , Bowei Chen , Xiaowei Huang

The rapid expansion of large-scale electronic health record (EHR) data offers unique opportunities to improve the accuracy and efficiency of clinical risk estimation. Yet, because clinical events may occur outside the recording health…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Jie Zhou , Enhao Wang , Xuan Wang

We consider the problem of sparse variable selection on high dimension heterogeneous data sets, which has been taking on renewed interest recently due to the growth of biological and medical data sets with complex, non-i.i.d. structures and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-22 Hui Liu , Xiang Liu , Jing Diao , Wenting Ye , Xueling Liu , Dehui Wei

Popular statistical software provides Bayesian information criterion (BIC) for multilevel models or linear mixed models. However, it has been observed that the combination of statistical literature and software documentation has led to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-24 Sun-Joo Cho , Hao Wu , Matthew Naveiras

We develop a continuous-time penalized regression framework for the estimation of time-varying coefficients and variable selection when both the response and covariates are It\^o semimartingales with jumps. The coefficient paths are…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-28 Aleksey Kolokolov , Shifan Yu