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We consider a model of selective prediction, where the prediction algorithm is given a data sequence in an online fashion and asked to predict a pre-specified statistic of the upcoming data points. The algorithm is allowed to choose when to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-30 Mingda Qiao , Gregory Valiant

This paper deals with the problem of detecting non-isotropic high-dimensional geometric structure in random graphs. Namely, we study a model of a random geometric graph in which vertices correspond to points generated randomly and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Ronen Eldan , Dan Mikulincer

We show the existence of rigid combinatorial objects which previously were not known to exist. Specifically, for a wide range of the underlying parameters, we show the existence of non-trivial orthogonal arrays, $t$-designs, and $t$-wise…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-03-14 Greg Kuperberg , Shachar Lovett , Ron Peled

We study a class of hypothesis testing problems in which, upon observing the realization of an $n$-dimensional Gaussian vector, one has to decide whether the vector was drawn from a standard normal distribution or, alternatively, whether…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-22 Louigi Addario-Berry , Nicolas Broutin , Luc Devroye , Gábor Lugosi

We propose a distribution-free approach to the study of random geometric graphs. The distribution of vertices follows a Poisson point process with intensity function $nf(\cdot)$, where $n\in \mathbb{N}$, and $f$ is a probability density…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-22 Srikanth K. Iyer , Debleena Thacker

The semi-random graph process is a single player game in which the player is initially presented an empty graph on $n$ vertices. In each round, a vertex $u$ is presented to the player independently and uniformly at random. The player then…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-06-05 Pu Gao , Bogumil Kaminski , Calum MacRury , Pawel Pralat

In [1], the authors consider a random walk $(Z_{n,1},\ldots,Z_{n,K+1})\in \mathbb{Z}^{K+1}$ with the constraint that each coordinate of the walk is at distance one from the following one. A functional central limit theorem for the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Thibault Espinasse , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard , Philippe Nadeau

We study the random graph G_{n,\lambda/n} conditioned on the event that all vertex degrees lie in some given subset S of the non-negative integers. Subject to a certain hypothesis on S, the empirical distribution of the vertex degrees is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-04 Geoffrey Grimmett , Svante Janson

Let $K_n$ denote the number of distinct values among the first $n$ terms of an infinite exchangeable sequence of random variables $(X_1,X_2,\ldots)$. We prove for $n=3$ that the extreme points of the convex set of all possible laws of $K_3$…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Theodore Zhu

Suppose that the edges of a complete graph are assigned weights independently at random and we ask for the weight of the minimal-weight spanning tree, or perfect matching, or Hamiltonian cycle. For these and several other common…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Yun Cheng , Yixue Liu , Tomasz Tkocz , Albert Xu

The distribution of the hypervolume $V$ and surface $\partial V$ of convex hulls of (multiple) random walks in higher dimensions are determined numerically, especially containing probabilities far smaller than $P = 10^{-1000}$ to estimate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-12-06 Hendrik Schawe , Alexander K. Hartmann , Satya N. Majumdar

The generalised random graph contains $n$ vertices with positive i.i.d. weights. The probability of adding an edge between two vertices is increasing in their weights. We require the weight distribution to have finite second moments and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Matthias Lienau

It is shown that the recently introduced lower cone distribution function and the associated set-valued multivariate quantile generate a Galois connection between a complete lattice of closed convex sets and the intervall [0,1]. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Cagin Ararat , Andreas H Hamel

Random graph generation is an important tool for studying large complex networks. Despite abundance of random graph models, constructing models with application-driven constraints is poorly understood. In order to advance state-of-the-art…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-01-01 Mohsen Bayati , Andrea Montanari , Amin Saberi

Generalized linear regressions, such as logistic regressions or Poisson regressions, are long-studied regression analysis approaches, and their applications are widely employed in various classification problems. Our study considers a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-17 Vu Duc Anh , Tran Anh Tuan , Tran Ngoc Thang , Nguyen Thi Ngoc Anh

Background: Imagine a paper with n nodes on it where each pair undergoes a coin toss experiment; if heads we connect the pair with an undirected link, while tails maintain the disconnection. This procedure yields a random graph. Now…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Georgios Argyris

We consider a graphical model where a multivariate normal vector is associated with each node of the underlying graph and estimate the graphical structure. We minimize a loss function obtained by regressing the vector at each node on those…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-19 Xingqi Du , Subhashis Ghosal

A set of independence statements may define the independence structure of interest in a family of joint probability distributions. This structure is often captured by a graph that consists of nodes representing the random variables and of…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-15 Nanny Wermuth

Statistical decision problems lie at the heart of statistical machine learning. The simplest problems are binary and multiclass classification and class probability estimation. Central to their definition is the choice of loss function,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Robert C. Williamson , Zac Cranko

We construct a new tail bound for the sum of independent random variables for situations in which the expected value of the sum is known and each random variable lies within a specified interval, which may be different for each variable.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Jackson Loper , Jeffrey Regier