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We consider nonparametric prediction with multiple covariates, in particular categorical or functional predictors, or a mixture of both. The method proposed bases on an extension of the Nadaraya-Watson estimator where a kernel function is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-05 Leonie Selk , Jan Gertheiss

Data sampling is an effective method to improve the training speed of neural networks, with recent results demonstrating that it can even break the neural scaling laws. These results critically rely on high-quality scores to estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Shabnam Daghaghi , Benjamin Coleman , Benito Geordie , Anshumali Shrivastava

This paper derives limit properties of nonparametric kernel regression estimators without requiring existence of density for regressors in $\mathbb{R}^{q}.$ In functional regression limit properties are established for multivariate…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-08 Marcia Schafgans , Victoria Zinde-Walsh

Route alignment design in surveying and transportation engineering frequently involves fixed waypoint constraints, where a path must precisely traverse specific coordinates. While existing literature primarily relies on geometric…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Shiyin Du , Yiting Chen , Wenzhi Yang , Qiong Li , Xiaoping Shi

This paper provides the theory about the convergence rate of the tilted version of linear smoother. We study tilted linear smoother, a nonparametric regression function estimator, which is obtained by minimizing the distance to an infinite…

We provide an introduction to the signature method, focusing on its theoretical properties and machine learning applications. Our presentation is divided into two parts. In the first part, we present the definition and fundamental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-29 Ilya Chevyrev , Andrey Kormilitzin

We introduce a new method of nowcasting using regression on path signatures. Path signatures capture the geometric properties of sequential data. Because signatures embed observations in continuous time, they naturally handle mixed…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-17 Samuel N. Cohen , Giulia Mantoan , Lars Nesheim , Áureo de Paula , Arthur Turrell , Lingyi Yang

In this paper, we consider contextual stochastic optimization using Nadaraya-Watson kernel regression, which is one of the most common approaches in nonparametric regression. Recent studies have explored the asymptotic convergence behavior…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Yijie Wang , Grani A. Hanasusanto , Chin Pang Ho

This paper presents a Bayesian sampling approach to bandwidth estimation for the local linear estimator of the regression function in a nonparametric regression model. In the Bayesian sampling approach, the error density is approximated by…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-10 Han Lin Shang , Xibin Zhang

This study proposes a debiasing method for smooth nonparametric estimators. While machine learning techniques such as random forests and neural networks have demonstrated strong predictive performance, their theoretical properties remain…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-19 Masahiro Kato

The celebrated Nadaraya-Watson kernel estimator is among the most studied method for nonparametric regression. A classical result is that its rate of convergence depends on the number of covariates and deteriorates quickly as the dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Daniel Conn , Gang Li

Locally stationary (LSPs) constitute an essential modeling paradigm for capturing the nuanced dynamics inherent in time series data whose statistical characteristics, including mean and variance, evolve smoothly across time. In this paper,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Jan Nino G. Tinio , Mokhtar Z. Alaya , Salim Bouzebda

Central to rough path theory is the signature transform of a path, an infinite series of tensors given by the iterated integrals of the underlying path. The signature poses an effective way to capture sequentially ordered information,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-18 Daniil Shmelev , Cristopher Salvi

The sequential data observed in earth science can be regarded as paths in multidimensional space. To read the path effectively, it is useful to convert it into a sequence of numbers called the signature, which can faithfully describe the…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-04-05 Nozomi Sugiura

This paper is devoted to the nonparametric estimation of the derivative of the regression function in a nonparametric regression model. We implement a very efficient and easy to handle statistical procedure based on the derivative of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Bernard Bercu , Sami Capderou , Gilles Durrieu

This paper is devoted to the parametric estimation of a shift together with the nonparametric estimation of a regression function in a semiparametric regression model. We implement a very efficient and easy to handle Robbins-Monro…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-05 Bernard Bercu , Philippe Fraysse

We bring the theory of rough paths to the study of non-parametric statistics on streamed data. We discuss the problem of regression where the input variable is a stream of information, and the dependent response is also (potentially) a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-23 Daniel Levin , Terry Lyons , Hao Ni

This work extends local linear regression to Banach space-valued time series for estimating smoothly varying means and their derivatives in non-stationary data. The asymptotic properties of both the standard and bias-reduced Jackknife…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Florian Heinrichs

Associated kernels have been introduced to improve the classical continuous kernels for smoothing any functional on several kinds of supports such as bounded continuous and discrete sets. This work deals with the effects of combined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-08 Sobom M. Somé , Célestin C. Kokonendji

While both classical and neural network classifiers can achieve high accuracy, they fall short on offering uncertainty bounds on their predictions, making them unfit for safety-critical applications. Existing kernel-based classifiers that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Shreeram Murali , Cristian R. Rojas , Dominik Baumann
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