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Effect modification occurs when the impact of the treatment on an outcome varies based on the levels of other covariates known as effect modifiers. Modeling these effect differences is important for etiological goals and for purposes of…

The identification of factors associated with mental and behavioral disorders in early childhood is critical both for psychopathology research and the support of primary health care practices. Motivated by the Millennium Cohort Study, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-15 Luca Merlo , Lea Petrella , Nikos Tzavidis

Additive noise models (ANMs) are an important setting studied in causal inference. Most of the existing works on ANMs assume causal sufficiency, i.e., there are no unobserved confounders. This paper focuses on confounded ANMs, where a set…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-16 Muhammad Qasim Elahi , Mahsa Ghasemi , Murat Kocaoglu

The identification of latent mediator variables is typically conducted using standard structural equation models (SEMs). When SEM is applied to mediation analysis with a causal interpretation, valid inference relies on the strong assumption…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-02 Sofia Morelli , Roberto Faleh , Holger Brandt

We propose a semi-partitioned Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) framework for analyzing longitudinal data with time-dependent covariates, within a marginal modeling paradigm. This approach addresses limitations of both aggregated and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Niloofar Ramezani , Jeffrey R. Wilson

Construction of just-in-time adaptive interventions, such as prompts delivered by mobile apps to promote and maintain behavioral change, requires knowledge about time-varying moderated effects to inform when and how we deliver intervention…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Jieru Shi , Zhenke Wu , Walter Dempsey

Marginal structural models fit via inverse probability of treatment weighting are commonly used to control for confounding when estimating causal effects from observational data. When planning a study that will be analyzed with marginal…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-16 Bonnie E. Shook-Sa , Michael G. Hudgens

The traditional model specification of stepped-wedge cluster-randomized trials assumes a homogeneous treatment effect across time while adjusting for fixed-time effects. However, when treatment effects vary over time, the constant effect…

Magnetoencephalography (MEG) and Electroencephalography (EEG) source estimates have thus far mostly been derived sample by sample, i.e., independent of each other in time. However, neuronal assemblies are heavily interconnected,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-09 Christoph Dinh , John GW Samuelsson , Alexander Hunold , Matti S Hämäläinen , Sheraz Khan

Masked autoencoders (MAEs) represent a prominent self-supervised learning paradigm in computer vision. Despite their empirical success, the underlying mechanisms of MAEs remain insufficiently understood. Recent studies have attempted to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Tao Huang , Yanxiang Ma , Shan You , Chang Xu

This paper studies the generalization of the targeted minimum loss-based estimation (TMLE) framework to estimation of effects of time-varying interventions in settings where both interventions, covariates, and outcome can happen at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-06 Helene C. Rytgaard , Thomas A. Gerds , Mark J. van der Laan

Two of the principle tasks of causal inference are to define and estimate the effect of a treatment on an outcome of interest. Formally, such treatment effects are defined as a possibly functional summary of the data generating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-26 Herbert Susmann , Antoine Chambaz

Despite the simplicity and intuitive interpretation of Minimum Mean Squared Error (MMSE) estimators, their effectiveness in certain scenarios is questionable. Indeed, minimizing squared errors on average does not provide any form of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-09 Dionysios S. Kalogerias , Luiz F. O. Chamon , George J. Pappas , Alejandro Ribeiro

Speech emotion recognition (SER) plays a critical role in building emotion-aware speech systems, but its performance degrades significantly under noisy conditions. Although speech enhancement (SE) can improve robustness, it often introduces…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-29 Jing-Tong Tzeng , Carlos Busso , Chi-Chun Lee

Poor sleep habits may cause serious problems of mind and body, and it is a commonly observed issue for college students due to study workload as well as peer and social influence. Understanding its impact and identifying students with poor…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-21 Teng Guo , Linhong Li , Dongyu Zhang , Feng Xia

We investigate the finite sample performance of sample splitting, cross-fitting and averaging for the estimation of the conditional average treatment effect. Recently proposed methods, so-called meta-learners, make use of machine learning…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-27 Daniel Jacob

This manuscript investigates unconditional and conditional-on-stopping maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs), information measures and information loss associated with conditioning in group sequential designs (GSDs). The possibility of early…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-06 Sergey Tarima , Nancy Flournoy

Longitudinal studies frequently incorporate covariates that evolve over time, creating complex dependence structures between outcomes and predictors. When covariates are time dependent, standard power analysis tools--largely developed for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Niloofar Ramezani , Oliver Hurst

Minimizing the Mean Squared Error (MSE) is a key objective in machine learning and is commonly used for imputing missing values. While this approach provides accurate point estimates, it introduces systematic biases in downstream analyses.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-06 Stef van Buuren

We introduce and analyze a variant of multivariate singular spectrum analysis (mSSA), a popular time series method to impute and forecast a multivariate time series. Under a spatio-temporal factor model we introduce, given $N$ time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Anish Agarwal , Abdullah Alomar , Devavrat Shah