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This work introduces a Bayesian smoothing approach for the joint graduation of mortality rates across multiple populations. In particular, dynamical linear models are used to induce smoothness across ages through structured dependence,…

Intercurrent events, such as treatment switching, rescue medication, dropout, or truncation by death, frequently complicate intention-to-treat analyses in randomized clinical trials. Existing causal inference frameworks typically target…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Georgi Baklicharov , Kelly Van Lancker , Stijn Vansteelandt

Predicting the incidence of complex chronic conditions such as heart failure is challenging. Deep learning models applied to rich electronic health records may improve prediction but remain unexplainable hampering their wider use in medical…

Complex dynamical systems are prevalent in many scientific disciplines. In the analysis of such systems two aspects are of particular interest: 1) the temporal patterns along which they evolve and 2) the underlying causal mechanisms.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-31 Nicolas-Domenic Reiter , Andreas Gerhardus , Jakob Runge

Causal discovery methods can identify valid adjustment sets for causal effect estimation for a pair of target variables, even when the underlying causal graph is unknown. Global causal discovery methods focus on learning the whole causal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-01 Mátyás Schubert , Tom Claassen , Sara Magliacane

Verbal autopsy procedures are widely used for estimating cause-specific mortality in areas without medical death certification. Data on symptoms reported by caregivers along with the cause of death are collected from a medical facility, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-08-06 Gary King , Ying Lu

Accurately assessing a patient's risk of a given event is essential in making informed treatment decisions. One approach is to stratify patients into two or more distinct risk groups with respect to a specific outcome using both clinical…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 Karen Lostritto , Robert Strawderman , Annette Molinaro

The predominant knowledge-based approach to automated model construction, compositional modelling, employs a set of models of particular functional components. Its inference mechanism takes a scenario describing the constituent interacting…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-07-04 J. Keppens , Q. Shen

Heart failure (HF) is a critical condition in which the accurate prediction of mortality plays a vital role in guiding patient management decisions. However, clinical datasets used for mortality prediction in HF often suffer from an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Hanif Kia , Mansour Vali , Hadi Sabahi

The availability of multi-modality datasets provides a unique opportunity to characterize the same object of interest using multiple viewpoints more comprehensively. In this work, we investigate the use of canonical correlation analysis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Vaishnavi Subramanian , Tanveer Syeda-Mahmood , Minh N. Do

Understanding the longitudinally changing associations between Social Determinants of Health (SDOH) and stroke mortality is essential for effective stroke management. Previous studies have uncovered significant regional disparities in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Fangzhi Luo , Jianbin Tan , Donglan Zhang , Hui Huang , Ye Shen

Meta-analysis, by synthesizing effect estimates from multiple studies conducted in diverse settings, stands at the top of the evidence hierarchy in clinical research. Yet, conventional approaches based on fixed- or random-effects models…

In observational studies, the causal effect of a treatment may be confounded with variables that are related to both the treatment and the outcome of interest. In order to identify a causal effect, such studies often rely on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-17 Emma Persson , Jenny Häggström , Ingeborg Waernbaum , Xavier de Luna

Heart Disease has become one of the most serious diseases that has a significant impact on human life. It has emerged as one of the leading causes of mortality among the people across the globe during the last decade. In order to prevent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Muhammad Salman Pathan , Avishek Nag , Muhammad Mohisn Pathan , Soumyabrata Dev

Over the last decades, many prognostic models based on artificial intelligence techniques have been used to provide detailed predictions in healthcare. Unfortunately, the real-world observational data used to train and validate these models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Alice Bernasconi , Alessio Zanga , Peter J. F. Lucas , Marco Scutari , Fabio Stella

In statistics, forecast uncertainty is often quantified using a specified statistical model, though such approaches may be vulnerable to model misspecification, selection bias, and limited finite-sample validity. While bootstrapping can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Han Lin Shang

Compositional data consists of vectors of proportions whose components sum to 1. Such vectors lie in the standard simplex, which is a manifold with boundary. One issue that has been rather controversial within the field of compositional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-22 Yannis Pantazis , Michail Tsagris , Andrew T. A. Wood

We evaluated the sensitivity of estimated PM2.5 and NO2 health impacts to varying key input parameters and assumptions including: 1) the spatial scale at which impacts are estimated, 2) using either a single concentration-response function…

Understanding patterns in mortality across subpopulations is essential for local health policy decision making. One of the key challenges of subnational mortality rate estimation is the presence of small populations and zero or near zero…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-16 Ameer Dharamshi , Monica Alexander , Celeste Winant , Magali Barbieri

High-dimensional compositional covariates, often derived from count data, are subject to measurement error and are frequently analyzed after aggregation along a prespecified tree to improve interpretability in applications such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Zhenghan Li , Tianying Wang
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