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Consider a scenario where we have access to train data with both covariates and outcomes while test data only contains covariates. In this scenario, our primary aim is to predict the missing outcomes of the test data. With this objective in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Masahiro Kato , Kota Matsui , Ryo Inokuchi

The problem of error density estimation for a functional single index model with dependent errors is studied. A Bayesian method is utilized to simultaneously estimate the bandwidths in the kernel-form error density and regression function,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-23 Han Lin Shang

Estimating the ratio of two probability densities from finitely many samples, is a central task in machine learning and statistics. In this work, we show that a large class of kernel methods for density ratio estimation suffers from error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Lukas Gruber , Markus Holzleitner , Johannes Lehner , Sepp Hochreiter , Werner Zellinger

Within Bayesian nonparametrics, dependent Dirichlet process mixture models provide a highly flexible approach for conducting inference about the conditional density function. However, several formulations of this class make either rather…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 María Xosé Rodríguez-Álvarez , Vanda Inácio , Nadja Klein

Answering causal questions often involves estimating linear functionals of conditional expectations, such as the average treatment effect or the effect of a longitudinal modified treatment policy. By the Riesz representation theorem, these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-06 Kaitlyn J. Lee , Alejandro Schuler

We study the problem of causal function estimation in the Proxy Causal Learning (PCL) framework, where confounders are not observed but proxies for the confounders are available. Two main approaches have been proposed: outcome bridge-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Bariscan Bozkurt , Houssam Zenati , Dimitri Meunier , Liyuan Xu , Arthur Gretton

Multivariate density estimation is a popular technique in statistics with wide applications including regression models allowing for heteroskedasticity in conditional variances. The estimation problems become more challenging when…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-15 Zhen Li , Lili Wu , Weilian Zhou , Sujit Ghosh

Density regression characterizes the conditional density of the response variable given the covariates, and provides much more information than the commonly used conditional mean or quantile regression. However, it is often computationally…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-15 Yunlu Chen , Nan Zhang

Bregman divergences play a pivotal role in statistics, machine learning and computational information geometry. Particularly in the context of machine learning, they are central to clustering, exponential families, parameter estimation and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Russell Tsuchida , Frank Nielsen

Statistical causal inference from observational studies often requires adjustment for a possibly multi-dimensional variable, where dimension reduction is crucial. The propensity score, first introduced by Rosenbaum and Rubin, is a popular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Hui Guo , Philip Dawid , Giovanni Berzuini

In a previous article, a least square regression estimation procedure was proposed: first, we condiser a family of functions and study the properties of an estimator in every unidimensionnal model defined by one of these functions; we then…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Pierre Alquier

Dealing with distribution shifts is one of the central challenges for modern machine learning. One fundamental situation is the covariate shift, where the input distributions of data change from training to testing stages while the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Yu-Jie Zhang , Zhen-Yu Zhang , Peng Zhao , Masashi Sugiyama

We address the setting of Proxy Causal Learning (PCL), which has the goal of estimating causal effects from observed data in the presence of hidden confounding. Proxy methods accomplish this task using two proxy variables related to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Bariscan Bozkurt , Ben Deaner , Dimitri Meunier , Liyuan Xu , Arthur Gretton

Kernel density estimation is a popular method for estimating unseen probability distributions. However, the convergence of these classical estimators to the true density slows down in high dimensions. Moreover, they do not define meaningful…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Jack Kendrick

We introduce a new approach for estimating the invariant density of a multidimensional diffusion when dealing with high-frequency observations blurred by independent noises. We consider the intermediate regime, where observations occur at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Raphaël Maillet , Grégoire Szymanski

Density ratio estimation (DRE) is a fundamental machine learning technique for comparing two probability distributions. However, existing methods struggle in high-dimensional settings, as it is difficult to accurately compare probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Kristy Choi , Chenlin Meng , Yang Song , Stefano Ermon

Divergence estimators based on direct approximation of density-ratios without going through separate approximation of numerator and denominator densities have been successfully applied to machine learning tasks that involve distribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-06-24 Makoto Yamada , Taiji Suzuki , Takafumi Kanamori , Hirotaka Hachiya , Masashi Sugiyama

Density-based minimum divergence procedures represent popular techniques in parametric statistical inference. They combine strong robustness properties with high (sometimes full) asymptotic efficiency. Among density-based minimum distance…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-23 Pushpinder Singh , Abhijit Mandal , Ayanendranath Basu

Flexibly modeling how an entire density changes with covariates is an important but challenging generalization of mean and quantile regression. While existing methods for density regression primarily consist of covariate-dependent discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-24 Vittorio Orlandi , Jared Murray , Antonio Linero , Alexander Volfovsky

Dyadic data is often encountered when quantities of interest are associated with the edges of a network. As such it plays an important role in statistics, econometrics and many other data science disciplines. We consider the problem of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Matias D. Cattaneo , Yingjie Feng , William G. Underwood