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$\alpha$-stable distributions are utilised as models for heavy-tailed noise in many areas of statistics, finance and signal processing engineering. However, in general, neither univariate nor multivariate $\alpha$-stable models admit closed…

Computation · Statistics 2009-12-24 G. W. Peters , S. A. Sisson , Y. Fan

We present a general method for Bayesian inference of the underlying covariance structure of random fields on a sphere. We employ the Bipolar Spherical Harmonic (BipoSH) representation of general covariance structure on the sphere. We…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-11-04 Santanu Das , Benjamin D. Wandelt , Tarun Souradeep

Various subsystems of the Earth system may undergo critical transitions by passing a so-called tipping point, under sustained changes to forcing. For example, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is of particular…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-01 Kerstin Lux , Peter Ashwin , Richard Wood , Christian Kuehn

We develop Bayesian nonparametric models for spatially indexed data of mixed type. Our work is motivated by challenges that occur in environmental epidemiology, where the usual presence of several confounding variables that exhibit complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-17 Georgios Papageorgiou , Sylvia Richardson , Nicky Best

We consider the problem of local radioelectric property estimation from global electromagnetic scattering measurements. This challenging ill-posed high dimensional inverse problem can be explored by intensive computations of a parallel…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-19 P. Minvielle , A. Todeschini , F. Caron , P. Del Moral

We introduce a computational framework to statistically infer thermophysical properties of any given wall from in-situ measurements of air temperature and surface heat fluxes. The proposed framework uses these measurements, within a…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-16 Lia De Simon , Marco Iglesias , Benjamin Jones , Christopher Wood

This paper considers a multivariate spatial random field, with each component having univariate marginal distributions of the skew-Gaussian type. We assume that the field is defined spatially on the unit sphere embedded in $\mathbb{R}^3$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-05 Alfredo Alegría , Sandra Caro , Moreno Bevilacqua , Emilio Porcu , Jorge Clarke

As machine learning systems get widely adopted for high-stake decisions, quantifying uncertainty over predictions becomes crucial. While modern neural networks are making remarkable gains in terms of predictive accuracy, characterizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-14 Melanie F. Pradier , Weiwei Pan , Jiayu Yao , Soumya Ghosh , Finale Doshi-velez

Recent technological advances have enabled researchers in a variety of fields to collect accurately geocoded data for several variables simultaneously. In many cases it may be most appropriate to jointly model these multivariate spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-29 Maria A. Terres , Montserrat Fuentes , Dean Hesterberg , Matthew Polizzotto

We propose a novel Riemannian geometric framework for variational inference in Bayesian models based on the nonparametric Fisher-Rao metric on the manifold of probability density functions. Under the square-root density representation, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-29 Abhijoy Saha , Karthik Bharath , Sebastian Kurtek

Deformation in the lithosphere-asthenosphere system can be accommodated by faulting and plastic flow. However, incorporating structural data in models of distributed deformation still represents a challenge. Here, I present solutions for…

Geophysics · Physics 2018-06-27 Sylvain Barbot

Diffusion generative models have excelled at diverse image generation and reconstruction tasks across fields. A less explored avenue is their application to discriminative tasks involving regression or classification problems. The…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-26 Nayantara Mudur , Carolina Cuesta-Lazaro , Douglas P. Finkbeiner

Spatio-temporal prediction of levels of an environmental exposure is an important problem in environmental epidemiology. Our work is motivated by multiple studies on the spatio-temporal distribution of mobile source, or traffic related,…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-14 Nikolay Bliznyuk , Christopher J. Paciorek , Joel Schwartz , Brent Coull

Multivariate spatial field data are increasingly common and whose modeling typically relies on building cross-covariance functions to describe cross-process relationships. An alternative viewpoint is to model the matrix of spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-07 William Kleiber

Future ground-based and space-borne interferometric gravitational-wave detectors may capture between tens and thousands of binary coalescence events per year. There is a significant and growing body of work on the estimation of…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2010-04-23 Ilya Mandel

Multilayer networks have become increasingly ubiquitous across diverse scientific fields, ranging from social sciences and biology to economics and international relations. Despite their broad applications, the inferential theory for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Zhaozhe Liu , Gongjun Xu , Haoran Zhang

We present a method for modelling the covariance structure of tensor-variate data, with the ulterior aim of learning an unknown model parameter vector using such data. We express the high-dimensional observable as a function of this sought…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-18 Kangrui Wang , Dalia Chakrabarty

A metric tensor for Riemann manifold Monte Carlo particularly suited for non-linear Bayesian hierarchical models is proposed. The metric tensor is built from symmetric positive semidefinite log-density gradient covariance (LGC) matrices,…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-20 Tore Selland Kleppe

Accurate quantification of uncertainty in neural network predictions remains a central challenge for scientific applications involving high-dimensional, correlated data. While existing methods capture either aleatoric or epistemic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Harrison J. Goldwyn , Mitchell Krock , Johann Rudi , Daniel Getter , Julie Bessac

We implemented the Bayesian analysis to the polarised neutron reflectivity data. Reflectivity data from a magnetic TbCo thin film structure was studied using the bundle of a Monte-Carlo Markov-chain algorithm, likelihood estimation, and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-05-03 P. S. Savchenkov , K. V. Nikolaev , V. I. Bodnarchuk , A. N. Pirogov , A. V. Belushkin , S. N. Yakunin