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Bayesian doubly robust (DR) causal inference faces a fundamental dilemma: joint modeling of outcome and propensity score suffers from the feedback problem where outcome information contaminates propensity score estimation, while two-step…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Shunichiro Orihara , Tomotaka Momozaki , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Clinical trials usually involve sequential patient entry. When designing a clinical trial, it is often desirable to include a provision for interim analyses of accumulating data with the potential for stopping the trial early. We review…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-13 Tianjian Zhou , Yuan Ji

The goal of the Step Grounding task is to locate temporal boundaries of activities based on natural language descriptions. This technical report introduces a Bayesian-VSLNet to address the challenge of identifying such temporal segments in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Carlos Plou , Lorenzo Mur-Labadia , Ruben Martinez-Cantin , Ana C. Murillo

This article proposes a periodic event-triggered adaptive barrier control policy for the trajectory tracking problem of perturbed Euler-Lagrangian systems with state, input, and temporal (SIT) constraints. In particular, an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-06 Chidre Shravista Kashyap , Karnan A , Pushpak Jagtap , Jishnu Keshavan

Accurate modeling of bacterial biofilm growth is essential for understanding their complex dynamics in biomedical, environmental, and industrial settings. These dynamics are shaped by a variety of environmental influences, including the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Lukas Fritsch , Hendrik Geisler , Jan Grashorn , Felix Klempt , Meisam Soleimani , Matteo Broggi , Philipp Junker , Michael Beer

Real-time tsunami early warning relies on distributed sensor networks to infer seismic sources and seafloor motion. Optimizing these networks via Bayesian optimal experimental design (OED) is exceptionally challenging for systems governed…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Sreeram Venkat , Stefan Henneking , Omar Ghattas

Simulation models of critical systems often have parameters that need to be calibrated using observed data. For expensive simulation models, calibration is done using an emulator of the simulation model built on simulation output at…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-24 Özge Sürer , Matthew Plumlee , Stefan M. Wild

In critical decision support systems based on medical imaging, the reliability of AI-assisted decision-making is as relevant as predictive accuracy. Although deep learning models have demonstrated significant accuracy, they frequently…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Hua Xu , Julián D. Arias-Londoño , Juan I. Godino-Llorente

Research in emergency triage is restricted to structured electronic health records (EHR) due to regulatory constraints on nurse-patient interactions. We introduce TriageSim, a simulation framework for generating persona-conditioned triage…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Dipankar Srirag , Quoc Dung Nguyen , Aditya Joshi , Padmanesan Narasimhan , Salil Kanhere

Intensive Care Unit (ICU) patients often present with complex, overlapping signs of physiological deterioration that require timely escalation of care. Traditional early warning systems, such as SOFA or MEWS, are limited by their focus on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Syed Ahmad Chan Bukhari , Amritpal Singh , Shifath Hossain , Iram Wajahat

We propose a multi-metric flexible Bayesian framework to support efficient interim decision-making in multi-arm multi-stage phase II clinical trials. Multi-arm multi-stage phase II studies increase the efficiency of drug development, but…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-15 Suzanne M. Dufault , Angela M. Crook , Katie Rolfe , Patrick P. J. Phillips

Patient triage plays a crucial role in emergency departments, ensuring timely and appropriate care based on correctly evaluating the emergency grade of patient conditions. Triage methods are generally performed by human operator based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Annamaria Defilippo , Pierangelo Veltri , Pietro Lio' , Pietro Hiram Guzzi

For many social, scientific, and commercial purposes, it is often important to estimate the distribution of the users' data regarding a sensitive attribute, e.g., their ages, locations, etc. To allow this estimation while protecting the…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Ehab ElSalamouny , Catuscia Palamidessi

Drowsy driving is a growing cause of traffic accidents, prompting recent exploration of electroencephalography (EEG)-based drowsiness detection systems. However, the inherent variability of EEG signals due to psychological and physical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Geun-Deok Jang , Dong-Kyun Han , Seo-Hyeon Park , Seong-Whan Lee

Personal health analytics systems face a persistent cold-start dilemma: users expect meaningful insights early in data collection, while conventional statistical inference requires data volumes that often exceed engagement horizons.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Richik Chakraborty

Spatiotemporal predictive learning aims to generate future frames by learning from historical frames. In this paper, we investigate existing methods and present a general framework of spatiotemporal predictive learning, in which the spatial…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Cheng Tan , Zhangyang Gao , Lirong Wu , Yongjie Xu , Jun Xia , Siyuan Li , Stan Z. Li

Joint modeling of longitudinal and survival data has become increasingly important in medical research, particularly for understanding disease progression in chronic conditions where both repeated biomarker measurements and time-to-event…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Nithisha Suryadevara , Vivek Reddy Srigiri

Closed-loop performance of sequential decision making algorithms, such as model predictive control, depends strongly on the choice of controller parameters. Bayesian optimization allows learning of parameters from closed-loop experiments,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-18 Sebastian Hirt , Lukas Theiner , Rolf Findeisen

Early event prediction (EEP) systems continuously estimate a patient's imminent risk to support clinical decision-making. For bedside trust, risk trajectories must be accurate and temporally stable, shifting only with new, relevant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Mayank Keoliya , Seewon Choi , Rajeev Alur , Mayur Naik , Eric Wong

Estimating the entropy rate of discrete time series is a challenging problem with important applications in numerous areas including neuroscience, genomics, image processing and natural language processing. A number of approaches have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-22 Ioannis Papageorgiou , Ioannis Kontoyiannis