English
Related papers

Related papers: Tackling Time-Series Forecasting Generalization vi…

200 papers

Multivariate time series forecasting has been widely used in various practical scenarios. Recently, Transformer-based models have shown significant potential in forecasting tasks due to the capture of long-range dependencies. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Zhe Li , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Zenglin Xu

The diversity of time series applications and scarcity of domain-specific data highlight the need for time-series models with strong few-shot learning capabilities. In this work, we propose a novel training scheme and a transformer-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Ege Onur Taga , M. Emrullah Ildiz , Samet Oymak

For Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF), recent deep learning applications show that univariate models frequently outperform multivariate ones. To address the difficiency in multivariate models, we introduce a method to Construct…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-06 Jiecheng Lu , Xu Han , Yan Sun , Shihao Yang

The society produces textual data online in several ways, e.g., via reviews and social media posts. Therefore, numerous researchers have been working on discovering patterns in textual data that can indicate peoples' opinions, interests,…

We introduce a novel modeling approach for time series imputation and forecasting, tailored to address the challenges often encountered in real-world data, such as irregular samples, missing data, or unaligned measurements from multiple…

The process industry's high expectations for Digital Twins require modeling approaches that can generalize across tasks and diverse domains with potentially different data dimensions and distributional shifts i.e., Foundational Models.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-18 Michael Mayr , Georgios C. Chasparis , Josef Küng

We introduce a technique of time series analysis, potential forecasting, which is based on dynamical propagation of the probability density of time series. We employ polynomial coefficients of the orthogonal approximation of the empirical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-12 V. N. Livina , G. Lohmann , M. Mudelsee , T. M. Lenton

The recent developments of deep learning models that capture complex temporal patterns of crop phenology have greatly advanced crop classification from Satellite Image Time Series (SITS). However, when applied to target regions spatially…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-10 Joachim Nyborg , Charlotte Pelletier , Sébastien Lefèvre , Ira Assent

The past decades witness the significant advancements in time series forecasting (TSF) across various real-world domains, including e-commerce and disease spread prediction. However, TSF is usually constrained by the uncertainty dilemma of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Yingwei Zhang , Ke Bu , Zhuoran Zhuang , Tao Xie , Yao Yu , Dong Li , Yang Guo , Detao Lv

Non-stationarity poses significant challenges for multivariate time series forecasting due to the inherent short-term fluctuations and long-term trends that can lead to spurious regressions or obscure essential long-term relationships. Most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Peiyuan Liu , Beiliang Wu , Yifan Hu , Naiqi Li , Tao Dai , Jigang Bao , Shu-tao Xia

Time-series forecasting plays an important role in many domains. Boosted by the advances in Deep Learning algorithms, it has for instance been used to predict wind power for eolic energy production, stock market fluctuations, or motor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Luis P. Silvestrin , Leonardos Pantiskas , Mark Hoogendoorn

Common statistical prediction models often require and assume stationarity in the data. However, in many practical applications, changes in the relationship of the response and predictor variables are regularly observed over time, resulting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-05 Heng Wang , Zubin Abraham

Machine learning approaches for image classification have led to impressive advances in that field. For example, convolutional neural networks are able to achieve remarkable image classification accuracy across a wide range of applications…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-30 Christopher T. Franck , Anne R. Driscoll , Zoe Szajnfarber , William H. Woodall

Conformal prediction is a powerful post-hoc framework for uncertainty quantification that provides distribution-free coverage guarantees. However, these guarantees crucially rely on the assumption of exchangeability. This assumption is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 M. Stocker , W. Małgorzewicz , M. Fontana , S. Ben Taieb

Forecasting the behaviour of complex dynamical systems such as interconnected sensor networks characterized by high-dimensional multivariate time series(MTS) is of paramount importance for making informed decisions and planning for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Sagar Srinivas Sakhinana , Shivam Gupta , Krishna Sai Sudhir Aripirala , Venkataramana Runkana

Multivariate time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various real-world applications. Significant efforts have been made to integrate advanced network architectures and training strategies that enhance the capture of temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Zhiding Liu , Jiqian Yang , Qingyang Mao , Yuze Zhao , Mingyue Cheng , Zhi Li , Qi Liu , Enhong Chen

While most ML models expect independent and identically distributed data, this assumption is often violated in real-world scenarios due to distribution shifts, resulting in the degradation of machine learning model performance. Until now,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Kai Helli , David Schnurr , Noah Hollmann , Samuel Müller , Frank Hutter

Accurate Multivariate Time Series (MTS) forecasting is crucial for collaborative design of complex systems, Digital Twin building, and maintenance ahead of time. However, the collaborative industrial environment presents new challenges for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Shaoxun Wang , Xingjun Zhang , Kun Xia , Qianyang Li , Jiawei Cao , Zhendong Tan

Deep learning has achieved strong performance in Time Series Forecasting (TSF). However, we identify a critical representation paradox, termed Latent Chaos: models with accurate predictions often learn latent representations that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Jie Yang , Yifan Hu , Yuante Li , Kexin Zhang , Kaize Ding , Philip S. Yu

Accurate forecasts are vital for supporting the decisions of modern companies. Forecasters typically select the most appropriate statistical model for each time series. However, statistical models usually presume some data generation…