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This paper explores stochastic modeling approaches to elucidate the intricate dynamics of stock prices and volatility in financial markets. Beginning with an overview of Brownian motion and its historical significance in finance, we delve…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2024-05-03 Aashrit Cunchala

Diffusion processes driven by Fractional Brownian motion (FBM) have often been considered in modeling stock price dynamics in order to capture the long range dependence of stock price observed in reality. Option prices for such models had…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-29 Ananya Lahiri , Rituparna Sen

We investigated the quality of forecasting of fractional Brownian motion, and new method for estimating of Hurst exponent is validated. Stochastic model of the time series in the form of converted fractional Brownian motion is proposed. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-05 Valeria Bondarenko , Victor Bondarenko , Kiryl Truskovsky , Ina Taralova

Despite the success of fractional Brownian motion (fBm) in modeling systems that exhibit anomalous diffusion due to temporal correlations, recent experimental and theoretical studies highlight the necessity for a more comprehensive approach…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-02 Adrian Pacheco-Pozo , Diego Krapf

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the time-changed stochastic process $\vphantom{X}^f\!X(t)=B(\vphantom{S}^f\!S (t))$, where $B$ is a standard one-dimensional Brownian motion and $\vphantom{S}^f\!S$ is the (generalized) inverse of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-26 Marcin Magdziarz , Rene L. Schilling

We extend to quantum mechanics the technique of stochastic subordination, by means of which one can express any semi-martingale as a time-changed Brownian motion. As examples, we considered two versions of the q-deformed Harmonic oscillator…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 Claudio Albanese , Stephan Lawi

We focus on variational inference in dynamical systems where the discrete time transition function (or evolution rule) is modelled by a Gaussian process. The dominant approach so far has been to use a factorised posterior distribution,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-17 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , James Hensman , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Fractional Brownian motion is a Gaussian stochastic process with long-range correlations in time; it has been shown to be a useful model of anomalous diffusion. Here, we investigate the effects of mutual interactions in an ensemble of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-15 Jonathan House , Rashad Bakhshizada , Skirmantas Janušonis , Ralf Metzler , Thomas Vojta

We introduce a generalized mixed fractional Brownian motion (gmfBm) as a linear combination of two independent fractional Brownian motions with possibly different Hurst indices and investigate conditions under which the time-changed gmfBm…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-10 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

In this paper we provide a comprehensive analysis of a structural model for the dynamics of prices of assets traded in a market originally proposed in [1]. The model takes the form of an interacting generalization of the geometric Brownian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-06 Kartik Anand , Jonathan Khedair , Reimer Kuehn

We consider a stochastic volatility model where the dynamics of the volatility are given by a possibly infinite linear combination of the elements of the time extended signature of a Brownian motion. First, we show that the model is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-03 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Louis-Amand Gérard

The fractional Brownian motion (fBm) extends the standard Brownian motion by introducing some dependence between non-overlapping increments. Consequently, if one considers for example that log-prices follow an fBm, one can exploit the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-02 Matthieu Garcin

The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

Stochastic process exhibiting power-law slopes in the frequency domain are frequently well modeled by fractional Brownian motion (fBm). In particular, the spectral slope at high frequencies is associated with the degree of small-scale…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-13 J. M. Lilly , A. M. Sykulski , J. J Early , S. C. Olhede

The rate of strong convergence is investigated for an approximation scheme for a class of stochastic differential equations driven by a time-changed Brownian motion, where the random time changes $(E_t)_{t\ge 0}$ considered include the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-02 Sixian Jin , Kei Kobayashi

A new extension of the sub-fractional Brownian motion, and thus of the Brownian motion, is introduced. It is a linear combination of a finite number of sub-fractional Brownian motions, that we have chosen to call the mixed sub-fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-13 Mounir Zili

This paper deals with the identification of the multivariate fractional Brownian motion, a recently developed extension of the fractional Brownian motion to the multivariate case. This process is a $p$-multivariate self-similar Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-16 Pierre-Olivier Amblard , Jean-François Coeurjolly

Financial markets have long since been modeled using stochastic methods such as Brownian motion, and more recently, rough volatility models have been built using fractional Brownian motion. This fractional aspect brings memory into the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-01 Patrick Geraghty

Many stochastic processes in the physical and biological sciences can be modelled as Brownian dynamics with multiplicative noise. However, numerical integrators for these processes can lose accuracy or even fail to converge when the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Dominic Phillips , Charles Matthews , Benedict Leimkuhler

The sub-fractional Brownian motion (sfBm) is a stochastic process, characterized by non-stationarity in their increments and long-range dependency, considered as an intermediate step between the standard Brownian motion (Bm) and the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-09 Axel A. Araneda , Nils Bertschinger