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The aim of this article is to design a moment transformation for Student- t distributed random variables, which is able to account for the error in the numerically computed mean. We employ Student-t process quadrature, an instance of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-17 Jakub Prüher , Filip Tronarp , Toni Karvonen , Simo Särkkä , Ondřej Straka

The problem of the optimal allocation (in the expected mean square error sense) of a measurement budget for particle filtering is addressed. We propose three different optimal intermittent filters, whose optimality criteria depend on the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-29 Antoine Aspeel , Amaury Gouverneur , Raphaël M. Jungers , Benoit Macq

In the following article we consider the numerical approximation of the non-linear filter in continuous-time, where the observations and signal follow diffusion processes. Given access to high-frequency, but discrete-time observations, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Ajay Jasra , Fangyuan Yu , Jeremy Heng

This paper proposes and analyzes fully data driven methods for inference about the mean function of a stochastic process from a sample of independent trajectories of the process, observed at discrete time points and corrupted by additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-05-20 F. Bunea , M. H. Wegkamp , A. E. Ivanescu

Let $W_i,i\in{\mathbb{N}}$, be independent copies of a zero-mean Gaussian process $\{W(t),t\in{\mathbb{R}}^d\}$ with stationary increments and variance $\sigma^2(t)$. Independently of $W_i$, let $\sum_{i=1}^{\infty}\delta_{U_i}$ be a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-25 Zakhar Kabluchko , Martin Schlather , Laurens de Haan

Under a complex technical condition, similar to such used in extreme value theory, we find the rate q(\epsilon)^{-1} at which a stochastic process with stationary increments \xi should be sampled, for the sampled process \xi(\lfloor\cdot…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 J. M. P. Albin

We study discrete-time stochastic processes $(X_t)$ on $[0,\infty)$ with asymptotically zero mean drifts. Specifically, we consider the critical (Lamperti-type) situation in which the mean drift at $x$ is about $c/x$. Our focus is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-27 Ostap Hryniv , Mikhail V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade

One of the main problem in prediction theory of stationary processes $X(t)$ is to describe the asymptotic behavior of the best linear mean squared prediction error in predicting $X(0)$ given $ X(t),$ $-n\le t\le-1$, as $n$ goes to infinity.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Nikolay M. Babayan , Mamikon S. Ginovyan

This paper addresses a problem of estimating an additive functional given $n$ i.i.d. samples drawn from a discrete distribution $P=(p_1,...,p_k)$ with alphabet size $k$. The additive functional is defined as…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Kazuto Fukuchi , Jun Sakuma

One of the main problem in prediction theory of discrete-time second-order stationary processes $X(t)$ is to describe the asymptotic behavior of the best linear mean squared prediction error in predicting $X(0)$ given $ X(t),$ $-n\le…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Nikolay M. Babayan , Mamikon S. Ginovyan , Murad S. Taqqu

Consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of an unknown $\beta$-H\"older smooth density $p_{XY}$ at a given point, where $X$ and $Y$ are both $d$ dimensional. An infinite sequence of i.i.d.\ samples $(X_i,Y_i)$ are generated…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Jingbo Liu

We treat the optimal linear filtering problem for a sum of two second order uncorrelated generalized stochastic processes. This is an operator equation involving covariance operators. We study both the wide-sense stationary case and the…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-28 Patrik Wahlberg

We study the problem of the nonparametric estimation for the density $\pi$ of the stationary distribution of a $d$-dimensional stochastic differential equation $(X_t)_{t \in [0, T]}$. From the continuous observation of the sampling path on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter

In this paper, a posteriori error estimates of functional type for a stationary diffusion problem with nonsymmetric coefficients are derived. The estimate is guaranteed and does not depend on any particular numerical method. An algorithm…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-11-24 Olli Mali

We consider a one-dimensional stationary stochastic process $x(\tau)$ of duration $T$. We study the probability density function (PDF) $P(t_{\rm m}|T)$ of the time $t_{\rm m}$ at which $x(\tau)$ reaches its global maximum. By using a path…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-15 Francesco Mori , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

We consider the problem of approximating optimal in the Minimum Mean Squared Error (MMSE) sense nonlinear filters in a discrete time setting, exploiting properties of stochastically convergent state process approximations. More…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Dionysios S. Kalogerias , Athina P. Petropulu

We consider the system of stochastic differential equation $dX_t = A(X_{t-}) \, dZ_t$, $ X_0 = x$, driven by cylindrical $\alpha$-stable process $Z_t$ in $\mathbb{R}^d$. We assume that $A(x) = (a_{ij}(x))$ is diagonal and $a_{ii}(x)$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Tadeusz Kulczycki , Michal Ryznar

A method for the construction of approximate analytical expressions for the stationary marginal densities of general stochastic search processes is proposed. By the marginal densities, regions of the search space that with high probability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2008-01-30 Arturo Berrones

We derive finite time error bounds for estimating general linear time-invariant (LTI) systems from a single observed trajectory using the method of least squares. We provide the first analysis of the general case when eigenvalues of the LTI…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-14 Tuhin Sarkar , Alexander Rakhlin

Consider the max-stable process $\eta(t) = \max_{i\in\mathbb N} U_i \rm{e}^{\langle X_i, t\rangle - \kappa(t)}$, $t\in\mathbb{R}^d$, where $\{U_i, i\in\mathbb{N}\}$ are points of the Poisson process with intensity $u^{-2}\rm{d} u$ on…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-09 Sebastian Engelke , Zakhar Kabluchko