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This paper presents a novel probabilistic approach for assessing the risk of West Nile Disease (WND) spillover to the human population. The assessment has been conducted under two different scenarios: (1) assessment of the onset of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-25 Saman Hosseini , Lee W. Cohnstaedt , Matin Marjani , Caterina Scoglio

West Nile virus (WNV) is a climate-sensitive mosquito-borne arbovirus circulating between mosquitoes of the genus Culex and birds, with a potential spillover to humans and other mammals. Recent trends in climatic change, characterized by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-18 Pride Duve , Felix Sauer , Renke Lühken

West Nile virus (WNV) is a vector-borne pathogen of global relevance and is currently the most widely distributed flavivirus of encephalitis worldwide. This virus infects birds, humans, horses, and other mammals, and its transmission cycle…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-05 Camila Lorenz , Thiago Salomao de Azevedo , Francisco Chiaravalloti-Neto

West Nile virus is a significant, and growing, public health issue in the United States. With no human vaccine, mosquito control programs rely on accurate forecasting to determine when and where WNV will emerge. Recently, spatial Graph…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-30 Ethan Greiffenstein , Trevor Harris , Rebecca Smith

The paper deals with a West Nile virus (WNv) model, where the nonlocal diffusion is introduced to characterize a long-range dispersal, the free boundary is used to describe the spreading front, and seasonal succession accounts for the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-11-22 Liqiong Pu , Zhigui Lin , Yuan Lou

The occurrence of West Nile Virus (WNV) represents one of the most common mosquito-borne zoonosis viral infections. Its circulation is usually associated with climatic and environmental conditions suitable for vector proliferation and virus…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-07 Lorenzo Bonicelli , Angelo Porrello , Stefano Vincenzi , Carla Ippoliti , Federica Iapaolo , Annamaria Conte , Simone Calderara

Understanding the dynamics of infectious disease spread in a heterogeneous population is an important factor in designing control strategies. Here, we develop a novel tensor-driven multi-compartment version of the classic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-22 Inbar Seroussi , Nir Levy , Elad Yom-Tov

Machine learning methods have seen increased application to geospatial environmental problems, such as precipitation nowcasting, haze forecasting, and crop yield prediction. However, many of the machine learning methods applied to mosquito…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-09 Adam Tonks , Trevor Harris , Bo Li , William Brown , Rebecca Smith

In 2018, West Nile Virus (WNV) was detected for the first time in Germany. Since the first detection, 36 human cases and 175 cases in horses and birds are detected. The transmission cycle of West Nile Virus includes birds and mosquitoes and…

Biological Physics · Physics 2021-01-28 Suman Bhowmick , Jörn Gethmann , Igor M. Sokolov , Franz J. Conraths , Hartmut H. K. Lentz

This paper is concerned with a simplified epidemic model for West Nile virus in a heterogeneous time-periodic environment. By means of the model, we will explore the impact of spatial heterogeneity of environment and temporal periodicity on…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Jing Ge , Zhigui Lin , Huaiping Zhu

West Nile virus (WNV) is prevalent in the United States but it shows considerable divergence in transmission patterns and spatio-temporal intensity.It is to be noted that the mechanism that drives the transmission potential of WNV is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-10 Suman Bhowmick , Megan Fritz , Rebecca Lee Smith

Reliable and timely dengue predictions provide actionable lead time for targeted vector control and clinical preparedness, reducing preventable diseases and health-system costs in at-risk communities. Dengue forecasting often relies on…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-01 Saman Hosseini , Lee W. Cohnstaedt , Caterina Scoglio

In this paper, a reaction-diffusion system is proposed to model the spatial spreading of West Nile virus in vector mosquitoes and host birds in North America. Infection dynamics are based on a simplified model for cross infection between…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-03-24 Zhigui Lin , Huaiping Zhu

In current paper, we put forward a reaction-diffusion system for West Nile virus in spatial heterogeneous and time almost periodic environment with free boundaries to investigate the influences of the habitat differences and seasonal…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Chengcheng Cheng , Zuohuan Zheng

Even as the incidence of mosquito-borne diseases like West Nile Virus (WNV) in North America has risen over the past decade, effectively modelling mosquito population density or, the abundance has proven to be a persistent challenge. It is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-19 Suman Bhowmick , Patrick Irwin , Kristina Lopez , Megan Lindsay Fritz , Rebecca Lee Smith

This paper proposes a novel framework for enhancing the prediction accuracy and lead time of El Ni\~no events, crucial for mitigating their global climatic, economic, and societal impacts. Traditional prediction models often rely on oceanic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Viet Trinh , Ha-Vy Luu , Quoc-Khiem Nguyen-Pham , Hung Tong , Thanh-Huyen Tran , Hoai-Nam Nguyen Dang

This paper aims to explore the temporal-spatial spreading and asymptotic behaviors of West Nile virus by a reaction-advection-diffusion system with free boundaries, especially considering the impact of advection term on the extinction and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-01-20 Chengcheng Cheng , Zuohuan Zheng

In this paper, we study a simplified version of a West Nile virus model discussed by Lewis et al. [28], which was considered as a first approximation for the spatial spread of WNv. The basic reproduction number $R_0$ for the non-spatial…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Abdelrazig K. Tarboush , Zhigui Lin , Mengyun Zhang

We present a model for the growth of West Nile virus in mosquito and bird populations based on observations of the initial epidemic in the U.S. Increase of bird mortality as a result of infection, which is a feature of the epidemic, is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 V. M. Kenkre , R. R. Parmenter , I. D. Peixoto , L. Sadasiv

In recent years, there has been growing interest in using Precipitable Water Vapor (PWV) derived from Global Positioning System (GPS) signal delays to predict rainfall. However, the occurrence of rainfall is dependent on a myriad of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-08 Shilpa Manandhar , Soumyabrata Dev , Yee Hui Lee , Yu Song Meng , Stefan Winkler
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