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In this paper we consider fully Bayesian inference in general state space models. Existing particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms use an augmented model that takes into account all the variable sampled in a sequential Monte…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-31 Christopher K. Carter , Eduardo F. Mendes , Robert Kohn

The fermion sign problem constitutes one of the most fundamental obstacles in quantum many-body theory. Recently, it has been suggested to circumvent the sign problem by carrying out path integral simulations with a fictitious quantum…

Branching processes are a class of continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) prevalent for modeling stochastic population dynamics in ecology, biology, epidemiology, and many other fields. The transient or finite-time behavior of these systems…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-24 Achal Awasthi , Jason Xu

Gauge theories establish the standard model of particle physics, and lattice gauge theory (LGT) calculations employing Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have been pivotal in our understanding of fundamental interactions. The present…

Neural networks are a commonly used approach to replace physical models with computationally cheap surrogates. Parametric uncertainty quantification can be included in training, assuming that an accurate prior distribution of the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Heikki Haario , Zhi-Song Liu , Martin Simon , Hendrik Weichel

Polynomial approximations to the inverse of the fermion matrix are used to filter the dynamics of the upper energy scales in HMC simulations. The use of a multiple time-scale integration scheme allows the filtered pseudofermions to be…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2015-05-28 Waseem Kamleh , Mike Peardon

Quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) methods represent a powerful family of computational techniques for tackling complex quantum many-body problems and performing calculations of stationary state properties. QMC is among the most accurate and…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-01-08 Alfonso Annarelli , Dario Alfè , Andrea Zen

Polymer-assisted ion transport underpins both energy storage technologies and emerging neuromorphic computing devices. Efficient modeling of ion migration is essential for understanding the performance of batteries and memristors, but it…

Methods that bypass analytical evaluations of the likelihood function have become an indispensable tool for statistical inference in many fields of science. These so-called likelihood-free methods rely on accepting and rejecting simulations…

The event-chain Monte Carlo (ECMC) method is an irreversible Markov process based on the factorized Metropolis filter and the concept of lifted Markov chains. Here, ECMC is applied to all-atom models of multi-particle interactions that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-13 Michael F. Faulkner , Liang Qin , A. C. Maggs , Werner Krauth

Stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have received much attention in Bayesian computing for big data problems, but they are only applicable to a small class of problems for which the parameter space has a fixed…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-10 Qifan Song , Yan Sun , Mao Ye , Faming Liang

The bold diagrammatic Monte Carlo (BDMC) method performs an unbiased sampling of Feynman's diagrammatic series using skeleton diagrams. For lattice models the efficiency of BDMC can be dramatically improved by incorporating dynamic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-20 L. Pollet , N. V. Prokof'ev , B. V. Svistunov

We propose a novel sampling framework for inference in probabilistic models: an active learning approach that converges more quickly (in wall-clock time) than Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) benchmarks. The central challenge in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-04 Tom Gunter , Michael A. Osborne , Roman Garnett , Philipp Hennig , Stephen J. Roberts

Kinetic Monte Carlo (KMC) is an important computational tool in physics and chemistry. In contrast to standard Monte Carlo, KMC permits the description of time dependent dynamical processes and is not restricted to systems in equilibrium.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-04-22 William Robert Saunders , James Grant , Eike Hermann Müller , Ian Thompson

Quantum Monte Carlo simulations are powerful and versatile tools for the quantum many-body problem. In addition to the usual calculations of energies and eigenstate observables, quantum Monte Carlo simulations can in principle be used to…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2023-12-29 Avik Sarkar , Dean Lee , Ulf-G. Meißner

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are ubiquitous tools for simulation-based inference in many fields but designing and identifying good MCMC samplers is still an open question. This paper introduces a novel MCMC algorithm, namely,…

We develop an Evolutionary Markov Chain Monte Carlo (EMCMC) algorithm for sampling spatial partitions that lie within a large and complex spatial state space. Our algorithm combines the advantages of evolutionary algorithms (EAs) as…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-19 Wendy K. Tam Cho , Yan Y. Liu

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are ubiquitous in Bayesian computations. However, they need to access the full data set in order to evaluate the posterior density at every step of the algorithm. This results in a great…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-21 Mike Giles , Tigran Nagapetyan , Lukasz Szpruch , Sebastian Vollmer , Konstantinos Zygalakis

Monte Carlo studies involving real time dynamics are severely restricted by the sign problem that emerges from highly oscillatory phase of the path integral. In this letter, we present a new method to compute real time quantities on the…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2016-08-24 Andrei Alexandru , Gokce Basar , Paulo F. Bedaque , Sohan Vartak , Neill C. Warrington

We investigate the QCD phase diagram in the strong coupling limit by using a newly developed auxiliary field Monte-Carlo (AFMC) method. Starting from an effective action in the leading order of the 1/g^2 and 1/d expansion with one species…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2012-11-13 Akira Ohnishi , Terukazu Ichihara , Takashi Z. Nakano