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The paper introduces a novel topological method for prediction and modeling for a nonlinear time--series that exhibit recurring patterns. According to the model, global manifold of the reconstructed state--space can be approximated by a few…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-11-21 Sajini Anand P S , Prabhakar G Vaidya

Functional autoregressive (FAR) models provide a fundamental framework for analyzing temporally dependent functional data. However, the infinite-dimensional nature of the underlying Hilbert space introduces intrinsic ill-posedness, as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-17 Ying Niu , Yuwei Zhao , Zhao Chen , Christina Dan Wang

We consider nonparametric testing in a non-asymptotic framework. Our statistical guarantees are exact in the sense that Type I and II errors are controlled for any finite sample size. Meanwhile, one proposed test is shown to achieve minimax…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-07 Yun Yang , Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng

Optimal values and solutions of empirical approximations of stochastic optimization problems can be viewed as statistical estimators of their true values. From this perspective, it is important to understand the asymptotic behavior of these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Johannes Milz , Thomas M. Surowiec

In this paper, we consider asymptotics of the optimal value and the optimal solutions of parametric minimax estimation problems. Specifically, we consider estimators of the optimal value and the optimal solutions in a sample minimax problem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Mika Meitz , Alexander Shapiro

We propose a new framework for imposing monotonicity constraints in a Bayesian nonparametric setting based on numerical solutions of stochastic differential equations. We derive a nonparametric model of monotonic functions that allows for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-26 Ivan Ustyuzhaninov , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Carl Henrik Ek , Neill D. F. Campbell

The first purpose of this article is to obtain a.s. asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator in the autoregressive process driven by a stationary Gaussian noise. The second purpose is to show the local asymptotic normality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-23 Marius Soltane

We consider statistical inference for a finite-dimensional parameter in a regular semiparametric model under a distributed setting with blockwise missingness, where entire blocks of variables are unavailable at certain sites and sharing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Jingyue Huang , Huiyuan Wang , Yuqing Lei , Yong Chen

Embedding graphs in continous spaces is a key factor in designing and developing algorithms for automatic information extraction to be applied in diverse tasks (e.g., learning, inferring, predicting). The reliability of graph embeddings…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Andrea Marinoni , Pietro Lio' , Alessandro Barp , Christian Jutten , Mark Girolami

We study the asymptotic properties of geodesically convex $M$-estimation on non-linear spaces. Namely, we prove that under very minimal assumptions besides geodesic convexity of the cost function, one can obtain consistency and asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-08 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

We investigate the asymptotic behavior, in the long time limit, of the random homology associated to realizations of stochastic diffusion processes on a compact Riemannian manifold. In particular a rigidity result is established: if the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-26 Artem Galkin , Mauro Mariani

Parametric high-dimensional regression analysis requires the usage of regularization terms to get interpretable models. The respective estimators can be regarded as regularized M-functionals which are naturally highly nonlinear. We study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Tino Werner

The research is about a systematic investigation on the following issues. First, we construct different outcome regression-based estimators for conditional average treatment effect under, respectively, true (oracle), parametric,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-23 Lu Li , Niwen Zhou , Lixing Zhu

For many tasks of data analysis, we may only have the information of the explanatory variable and the evaluation of the response values are quite expensive. While it is impractical or too costly to obtain the responses of all units, a…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-07 Wei Zheng , Ting Tian , Xueqin Wang

A variance reduction technique in nonparametric smoothing is proposed: at each point of estimation, form a linear combination of a preliminary estimator evaluated at nearby points with the coefficients specified so that the asymptotic bias…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Ming-Yen Cheng , Liang Peng , Jyh-Shyang Wu

Consider a semiparametric model with a Euclidean parameter and an infinite-dimensional parameter, to be called a Banach parameter. Assume: (a) There exists an efficient estimator of the Euclidean parameter. (b) When the value of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Chris A. J. Klaassen , Hein Putter

Modern generative modeling methods have demonstrated strong performance in learning complex data distributions from clean samples. In many scientific and imaging applications, however, clean samples are unavailable, and only noisy or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Willem Diepeveen , Oscar Leong

The aim of this Lecture Note is to introduce the Signal Processing (SP) community to a powerful yet still under-utilised tool: the semiparametric statistics. In short, the semiparametric framework allows us to estimate or perform hypothesis…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-26 Stefano Fortunati

We introduce a new family of estimators for unnormalized statistical models. Our family of estimators is parameterized by two nonlinear functions and uses a single sample from an auxiliary distribution, generalizing Maximum Likelihood Monte…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Miika Pihlaja , Michael Gutmann , Aapo Hyvarinen

This article introduces a new data-driven approach that leverages a manifold embedding generated by the invertible neural network to improve the robustness, efficiency, and accuracy of the constitutive-law-free simulations with limited…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Bahador Bahmani , WaiChing Sun