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In this paper, we investigate how to achieve the unpredictability against malicious inferences for linear systems. The key idea is to add stochastic control inputs, named as unpredictable control, to make the outputs irregular. The future…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-21 Chendi Qu , Jianping He , Jialun Li , Xiaoming Duan

A growing number of biological, soft, and active matter systems are observed to exhibit normal diffusive dynamics with a linear growth of the mean squared displacement, yet with a non-Gaussian distribution of increments. Based on the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-04-12 A. V. Chechkin , F. Seno , R. Metzler , I. M. Sokolov

Propagating state distributions through a generic, uncertain nonlinear dynamical model is known to be intractable and usually begets numerical or analytical approximations. We introduce a method for state prediction, called the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Hardik Parwana , Dimitra Panagou

Distribution data refers to a data set where each sample is represented as a probability distribution, a subject area receiving burgeoning interest in the field of statistics. Although several studies have developed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-09 Ryo Okano , Masaaki Imaizumi

Despite the celebrated success of stochastic control approaches for uncertain systems, such approaches are limited in the ability to handle non-Gaussian uncertainties. This work presents an adaptive robust control for linear uncertain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Xuehui Ma , Shiliang Zhang , Zhiyong Sun , Xiaohui Zhang , Sabita Maharjan

Control of nonlinear uncertain systems is a common challenge in the robotics field. Nonlinear latent force models, which incorporate latent uncertainty characterized as Gaussian processes, carry the promise of representing such systems…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-29 Thomas Woodruff , Iman Askari , Guanghui Wang , Huazhen Fang

We explore situations in which certain stochastic and high-dimensional deterministic systems behave effectively as low-dimensional dynamical systems. We define and study moment maps, maps on spaces of low-order moments of evolving…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 D. Barkley , I. G. Kevrekidis , A. M. Stuart

Stochastic Model Predictive Control addresses uncertainties by incorporating chance constraints that provide probabilistic guarantees of constraint satisfaction. However, simultaneously optimizing over the risk allocation and the feedback…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Filipe Marques Barbosa , Johan Löfberg

Gaussian process (GP) regression has been widely used in supervised machine learning due to its flexibility and inherent ability to describe uncertainty in function estimation. In the context of control, it is seeing increasing use for…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Lukas Hewing , Juraj Kabzan , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Linear-Quadratic-Gaussian (LQG) control is a fundamental control paradigm that is studied in various fields such as engineering, computer science, economics, and neuroscience. It involves controlling a system with linear dynamics and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-02 Bahar Taşkesen , Dan A. Iancu , Çağıl Koçyiğit , Daniel Kuhn

In this article we present a general framework for non-concave robust stochastic control problems under model uncertainty in a discrete time finite horizon setting. Our framework allows to consider a variety of different path-dependent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Ariel Neufeld , Julian Sester

The basic goal of computer engineering is the analysis of data. Such data are often large data sets distributed according to various distribution models. In this manuscript we focus on the analysis of non-Gaussian distributed data. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-11 Krzysztof Domino

As we aim to control complex systems, use of a simulator in model-based reinforcement learning is becoming more common. However, it has been challenging to overcome the Reality Gap, which comes from nonlinear model bias and susceptibility…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-05-16 Gilwoo Lee , Siddhartha S. Srinivasa , Matthew T. Mason

Optimal control of stochastic nonlinear dynamical systems is a major challenge in the domain of robot learning. Given the intractability of the global control problem, state-of-the-art algorithms focus on approximate sequential optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-23 Joe Watson , Hany Abdulsamad , Jan Peters

The observable outputs of many complex dynamical systems consist in time series exhibiting autocorrelation functions of great diversity of behaviors, including long-range power-law autocorrelation functions, as a signature of interactions…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-09-05 Pedro Carpena , Pedro A. Bernaola-Galván , Manuel Gómez-Extremera , Ana V. Coronado

We develop a class of nearest-neighbor mixture models that provide direct, computationally efficient, probabilistic modeling for non-Gaussian geospatial data. The class is defined over a directed acyclic graph, which implies conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-28 Xiaotian Zheng , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

Contextual optimization enhances decision quality by leveraging side information to improve predictions of uncertain parameters. However, existing approaches face significant challenges when dealing with multimodal or mixtures of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-19 YoungChul Yoon , Grani A. Hanasusanto , Yijie Wang

The Gaussian process (GP) is a nonparametric prior distribution over functions indexed by time, space, or other high-dimensional index set. The GP is a flexible model yet its limitation is given by its very nature: it can only model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-15 Gonzalo Rios , Felipe Tobar

We consider a multi-period stochastic control problem where the multivariate driving stochastic factor of the system has known marginal distributions but uncertain dependence structure. To solve the problem, we propose to implement the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Erhan Bayraktar , Tao Chen

Data-driven modeling is useful for reconstructing nonlinear dynamical systems when the underlying process is unknown or too expensive to compute. Having reliable uncertainty assessment of the forecast enables tools to be deployed to predict…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-01 Mengyang Gu , Yizi Lin , Victor Chang Lee , Diana Qiu
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