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Conformal prediction provides prediction sets with finite-sample marginal coverage, but many applications require coverage guarantees that adapt to individual test points, a subpopulation, or a structural component of the data. Existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-27 Yinjie Min , Liuhua Peng , Changliang Zou

The rules of d-separation provide a framework for deriving conditional independence facts from model structure. However, this theory only applies to simple directed graphical models. We introduce relational d-separation, a theory for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-16 Marc Maier , David Jensen

We introduce a conditional generative model for learning to disentangle the hidden factors of variation within a set of labeled observations, and separate them into complementary codes. One code summarizes the specified factors of variation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-11 Michael Mathieu , Junbo Zhao , Pablo Sprechmann , Aditya Ramesh , Yann LeCun

The framework of Inferential Models (IMs) has recently been developed in search of what is referred to as the holy grail of statistical theory, that is, prior-free probabilistic inference. Its method of Conditional IMs (CIMs) is a critical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-13 Rongrong Zhang , Michael Y. Zhu , Chuanhai Liu

We propose a new class of metrics, called the survival independence divergence (SID), to test dependence between a right-censored outcome and covariates. A key technique for deriving the SIDs is to use a counting process strategy, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Jinhong Li , Jicai Liu , Jinhong You , Riquan Zhang

Inferring causal relationships from observed data is an important task, yet it becomes challenging when the data is subject to various external interferences. Most of these interferences are the additional effects of external factors on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Ruichu Cai , Xiaokai Huang , Wei Chen , Zijian Li , Zhifeng Hao

We give a finite-sample analysis of predictive inference procedures after model selection in regression with random design. The analysis is focused on a statistically challenging scenario where the number of potentially important…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Hannes Leeb

In many real-world scenarios, interested variables are often represented as discretized values due to measurement limitations. Applying Conditional Independence (CI) tests directly to such discretized data, however, can lead to incorrect…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Boyang Sun , Yu Yao , Xinshuai Dong , Zongfang Liu , Tongliang Liu , Yumou Qiu , Kun Zhang

This paper introduces an innovative method for conducting conditional independence testing in high-dimensional data, facilitating the automated discovery of significant associations within distinct subgroups of a population, all while…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-19 Matteo Sesia , Tianshu Sun

Bipartite determinantal ideals are introduced by Illian and the author as a vast generalization of the classical determinantal ideals intensively studied in commutative algebra, algebraic geometry, representation theory and combinatorics.…

Commutative Algebra · Mathematics 2024-07-22 Li Li

Composite indicators are widely used to score or classify units evaluated on multiple criteria. Their construction typically involves aggregating criteria evaluations, a common practice in Multiple Criteria Decision Aiding (MCDA). Beyond…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Salvatore Corrente , Salvatore Greco , Roman Słowiński , Silvano Zappalà

Independence -- the study of what is relevant to a given problem of reasoning -- has received an increasing attention from the AI community. In this paper, we consider two basic forms of independence, namely, a syntactic one and a semantic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-24 J. Lang , P. Liberatore , P. Marquis

Deploying machine learning models in safety-related do-mains (e.g. autonomous driving, medical diagnosis) demands for approaches that are explainable, robust against adversarial attacks and aware of the model uncertainty. Recent deep…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Jan Kronenberger , Anselm Haselhoff

We give a collection of explicit sufficient conditions for the true martingale property of a wide class of exponentials of semimartingales. We express the conditions in terms of semimartingale characteristics. This turns out to be very…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-12 David Criens , Kathrin Glau , Zorana Grbac

Gradient descent for matrix factorization exhibits an implicit bias toward approximately low-rank solutions. While existing theories often assume the boundedness of iterates, empirically the bias persists even with unbounded sequences. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Yikun Hou , Suvrit Sra , Alp Yurtsever

This dissertation presents new results on three different themes all related to matroid polytopes. First we investigate properties of Ehrhart polynomials of matroid polytopes, independence matroid polytopes, and polymatroids. We prove that…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2009-05-28 David C. Haws

For a joint probability density function f(x) of a random vector X the mixed partial derivatives of log f(x) can be interpreted as limiting cumulants in an infinitesimally small open neighborhood around x. Moreover, setting them to zero…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Daniel Bruynooghe , Henry P. Wynn

The validity OF a causal model can be tested ONLY IF the model imposes constraints ON the probability distribution that governs the generated data. IN the presence OF unmeasured variables, causal models may impose two types OF constraints :…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Jin Tian , Judea Pearl

For a natural number $c$, a $c$-arrangement is an arrangement of dimension $c$ subspaces satisfying the following condition: the sum of any subset of the subspaces has dimension a multiple of $c$. Matroids arising as normalized rank…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-09-21 Lukas Kühne , Geva Yashfe

In this paper we consider monomial localizations of monomial ideals and conjecture that a monomial ideal is polymatroidal if and only if all its monomial localizations have a linear resolution. The conjecture is proved for squarefree…

Commutative Algebra · Mathematics 2012-06-15 Somayeh Bandari , Jürgen Herzog
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