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Agent-based models provide a constructive approach to studying emergent dynamics in life-like systems composed of interacting, adaptive agents. Financial markets serve as a canonical example of such systems, where collective price dynamics…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-28 Ryuji Hashimoto , Ryosuke Takata , Masahiro Suzuki , Yuki Tanaka , Kiyoshi Izumi

This paper investigates whether large language models (LLMs) can generate reliable stock market predictions. We evaluate four state-of-the-art models - ChatGPT, Gemini, DeepSeek, and Perplexity - across three prompting strategies: a naive…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-21 Ricardo Crisostomo , Diana Mykhalyuk

The study of social emergence has long been a central focus in social science. Traditional modeling approaches, such as rule-based Agent-Based Models (ABMs), struggle to capture the diversity and complexity of human behavior, particularly…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Yuzhe Yang , Yifei Zhang , Minghao Wu , Kaidi Zhang , Yunmiao Zhang , Honghai Yu , Yan Hu , Benyou Wang

The advent of artificial intelligence has led to a growing emphasis on data-driven modeling in macroeconomics, with agent-based modeling (ABM) emerging as a prominent bottom-up simulation paradigm. In ABM, agents (e.g., households, firms)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-05-27 Nian Li , Chen Gao , Mingyu Li , Yong Li , Qingmin Liao

Recently, Large Language Models (LLMs) have attracted significant attention for their exceptional performance across a broad range of tasks, particularly in text analysis. However, the finance sector presents a distinct challenge due to its…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Meiyun Wang , Kiyoshi Izumi , Hiroki Sakaji

Results in the Heterogeneous Agent Model (HAM) literature determine the proportion of fundamentalists and trend followers in the financial market. This proportion varies according to the periods analyzed. In this paper, we use a large…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-13 Filippo Gusella , Eugenio Vicario

As AI agents increasingly act on behalf of human stakeholders in economic settings, understanding their behavior in complex market environments becomes critical. This article examines how Large Language Models coordinate on markets that are…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-11 Alexander Erlei , Lukas Meub

Flood insurance is an effective strategy for individuals to mitigate disaster-related losses. However, participation rates among at-risk populations in the United States remain strikingly low. This gap underscores the need to understand and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Ziheng Geng , Jiachen Liu , Ran Cao , Lu Cheng , Dan M. Frangopol , Minghui Cheng

This paper presents a Multi Agent Bitcoin Trading system that utilizes Large Language Models (LLMs) for alpha generation and portfolio management in the cryptocurrencies market. Unlike equities, cryptocurrencies exhibit extreme volatility…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-17 Aadi Singhi

Relational learning is a challenging problem that has motivated a wide range of approaches, including graph-based models (e.g., graph neural networks, graph transformers), tabular methods (e.g., tabular foundation models), and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Xingyue Huang , Louis Tichelman , Jinwoo Kim , Krzysztof Olejniczak , İsmail İlkan Ceylan

In transportation system demand modeling and simulation, agent-based models and microsimulations are current state-of-the-art approaches. However, existing agent-based models still have some limitations on behavioral realism and resource…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Tianming Liu , Jirong Yang , Yafeng Yin

Agent-based modeling is a powerful simulation technique to understand the collective behavior and microscopic interaction in complex financial systems. Recently, the concept for determining the key parameters of the agent-based models from…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-21 T. T. Chen , B. Zheng , Y. Li , X. F. Jiang

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated promising performance in various financial applications, though their potential in complex investment strategies remains underexplored. To address this gap, we investigate how LLMs can predict…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Yoshia Abe , Shuhei Matsuo , Ryoma Kondo , Ryohei Hisano

Large Language Models (LLMs) are transforming artificial intelligence, evolving into task-oriented systems capable of autonomous planning and execution. One of the primary applications of LLMs is conversational AI systems, which must…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Elad Levi , Ilan Kadar

Agent-based models help explain stock price dynamics as emergent phenomena driven by interacting investors. In this modeling tradition, investor behavior has typically been captured by two distinct mechanisms -- learning and heterogeneous…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Ryuji Hashimoto , Ryosuke Takata , Masahiro Suzuki , Yuki Tanaka , Kiyoshi Izumi

This paper introduces a Large Language Model (LLM)-based multi-agent framework designed to enhance anomaly detection within financial market data, tackling the longstanding challenge of manually verifying system-generated anomaly alerts.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-01 Taejin Park

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in social science simulations. While their performance on reasoning and optimization tasks has been extensively evaluated, less attention has been paid to their ability to simulate human…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Yuanjun Feng , Vivek Choudhary , Yash Raj Shrestha

The emergence of Large Language Models (LLMs), has opened exciting possibilities for constructing computational simulations designed to replicate human behavior accurately. Current research suggests that LLM-based agents become increasingly…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Amir Taubenfeld , Yaniv Dover , Roi Reichart , Ariel Goldstein

This paper pioneers a novel approach to economic and public policy analysis by leveraging multiple Large Language Models (LLMs) as heterogeneous artificial economic agents. We first evaluate five LLMs' economic decision-making capabilities…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Yuzhi Hao , Danyang Xie

Large language models (LLMs) have drastically changed the possible ways to design intelligent systems, shifting the focuses from massive data acquisition and new modeling training to human alignment and strategical elicitation of the full…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-15 Frank Xing